Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Chelsea
3/14/26 13:30
Newcastle

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

+132
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 by Simon Day | in Premier League Picks

Chelsea host Newcastle United in a huge Saturday evening Premier League clash, as the Blues look to strengthen their push for a place in next seaosn's Champions League. 

Last week's superb 4-1 win at Aston Villa kept Chelsea in fifth position and means they are now just three points behind third placed Manchester United. After dropping points in each of their last two home games (against Burnley and Leeds), Liam Rosenior's side will be desperate to get back to winning ways at Stamford Bridge. 

Newcastle's Premier League season has struggled to get out of second gear, although last week's dramatic 2-1 win over Manchester United is sure to have given Eddie Howe's side a big boost as they look to force their way into the battle for European places. 

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Chelsea vs Newcastle Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10 Chelsea
52 38 14 10 14 +6
12 Newcastle
49 38 14 7 17 -2

Chelsea and Newcastle Latest Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
W D L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  2
Chelsea

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Wrexham
2 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Burnley

Feb 13, 2026 - FA Cup

Hull
0 :  4
Chelsea
L W W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Burnley

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Leeds

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
West Ham

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Pafos FC

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Brentford

Jan 14, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  2
Chelsea

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Wrexham
2 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea

Feb 13, 2026 - FA Cup

Hull
0 :  4
Chelsea

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Chelsea
Newcastle
Newcastle Latest matches
L W L W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Barcelona

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
1 :  3
Manchester City

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Manchester United

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Everton

Feb 24, 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  2
Qarabag FK

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Newcastle
L W L W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Barcelona

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
1 :  3
Manchester City

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Manchester United

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Everton

Feb 24, 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  2
Qarabag FK

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Brentford
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Newcastle

Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
1 :  6
Newcastle

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Newcastle

Feb 4, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Newcastle

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Newcastle

Chelsea against Newcastle : Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

33 %

Draw

33 %

Newcastle

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Chelsea

May 11, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

Oct 30, 2024 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

Oct 27, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Newcastle

Mar 11, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
Newcastle

Dec 19, 2023 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
1 :  1
Newcastle
Chelsea vs Newcastle Picks

Chelsea against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11

Chelsea

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Sanchez
27
M. Gusto
29
W. Fofana
23
T. Chalobah
3
M. Cucurella
24
R. James
25
M. Caicedo
10
C. Palmer
8
E. Fernandez
49
A. Garnacho
20
Joao Pedro
10
A. Gordon
11
H. Barnes
27
N. Woltemade
23
J. Murphy
41
J. Ramsey
28
J. Willock
3
L. Hall
4
S. Botman
12
M. Thiaw
21
T. Livramento
32
A. Ramsdale

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Newcastle

Substitutes

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

T. Sharman-Lowe

Defender

J. Hato

W. Fofana 82'

M. Sarr

B. Badiashile

T. Adarabioyo

Midfielder

R. Lavia

M. Caicedo 61'

A. Santos

Forward

M. Guiu

L. Delap

M. Gusto 46'

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

J. Ruddy

N. Pope

Defender

A. Murphy

K. Trippier

T. Livramento 77'

D. Burn

J. Willock 77'

Forward

A. Elanga

J. Murphy 77'

W. Osula

Joelinton

N. Woltemade 67'

Y. Wissa

Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

L. Colwill

Forward

M. Mudryk

J. Gittens

Estevao

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

F. Schar

Midfielder

B. Guimaraes

L. Miley

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato Newcastle
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Joao Pedro (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil B. Guimaraes (9 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal P. Neto (6 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil B. Guimaraes (5 Assists)

Chelsea - Newcastle Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in each of Chelsea's last 3 home games
  2. Chelsea have scored in each of their last 16 home matches
  3. Both teams have scored in each of the last 4 games between Chelsea and Newcastle
  4. Both teams have scored in Newcastle's last 7 away games
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Our Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction

Given Chelsea's poor home form, plus Newcastle's lack of consistency, we think the smart option here is to avoid the moneyline and instead look at the total goals markets. 

The likes of Anthony Gordon, Joao Pedro and Cole Palmer are all in excellent form, so both goalkeepers could be in for a tough time on Saturday evening. 

When you also consider the fact that both Chelsea and Newcastle have displayed plenty of defensive vulnerabilities in recent weeks, we are confident that there will be plenty of goals at Stamford Bridge.

Our prediction for Chelsea vs Newcastle United is: Over 3.5 goals. 

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

+132
$1000 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.