Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Chelsea
5/16/25 15:15
Manchester United

Prediction:

 

Manuel Ugarte to Get a Card

+290
$1500 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

On Friday night, there's EPL action at Stamford Bridge, which is where Chelsea will continue to fight for their place in the all important top five. Having lost to Newcastle last weekend, the Blues are no longer in a secure position regarding UEFA Champions League qualification, and since one of their biggest rivals for a top-five spot has a seemingly easy home game on Friday, this is very much a game that Enzo Maresca's men need to win. 

Fortunately, just like the hosts at Villa Park, Maresca's players have the luxury of facing not only a poor Man United team but a Man United team that has nothing to fight for in the league, a team that is also preparing for a huge UEFA Europa League final, which takes place five days after this fixture. Therefore, this is a gilt-edged opportunity for a side that has won two of the last two (in the league) at home to pick up an important win. 

Chelsea vs Manchester United Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Chelsea
Chelsea
63 36 18 9 9 19
16
Manchester United
Manchester United
39 36 10 9 17 -11

Chelsea and Manchester United Latest Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 11, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

May 8, 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Djurgardens IF

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

May 1, 2025 - Conference League

Djurgardens IF
1 :  4
Chelsea

Apr 26, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Everton

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Chelsea
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 8, 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Djurgardens IF

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

Apr 26, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Everton

Apr 17, 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Legia Warszawa

Apr 13, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Ipswich Town

Apr 3, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Tottenham
L D W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 11, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

May 1, 2025 - Conference League

Djurgardens IF
1 :  4
Chelsea

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Chelsea

Apr 10, 2025 - Conference League

Legia Warszawa
0 :  3
Chelsea

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 16, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea
Manchester United
Manchester United Latest matches
L D W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 11, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
West Ham

May 8, 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  3
Manchester United

May 1, 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Manchester United

Apr 27, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Wolves
W D W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 11, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
West Ham

May 8, 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Wolves

Apr 17, 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
5 :  4
Lyon

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City

Mar 13, 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Real Sociedad
L D L D W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  3
Manchester United

May 1, 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Manchester United

Apr 27, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 13, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 10, 2025 - Europa League

Lyon
2 :  2
Manchester United

Apr 1, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Manchester United

Chelsea against Manchester United : Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

17 %

Draw

50 %

Manchester United

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Nov 3, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Chelsea

Apr 4, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  3
Manchester United

Dec 6, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Chelsea

May 25, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Chelsea

Oct 22, 2022 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 28, 2022 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Chelsea

Chelsea - Manchester United: Form Analysis

Last weekend, Chelsea's pleasing run came to an end, with the Blues losing to Newcastle away from home. Fortunately, they'd been in hot form prior to that fixture, winning five on the spin in all competitions. In front of their own fans, they've won each of their last three (in all competitions), conceding just one goal in the process, which bodes well given that United haven't scored many goals on the road this season. 

The Red Devils also lost at the weekend, coming unstuck at home to West Ham, going down to by two goals to zero. They're now without a league win in seven games, so we really shouldn't be surprised if they struggle at Stamford Bridge, especially as the remainder of the season for Ruben Amorim's men is now all about the Europa League. 

Manchester United v Chelsea last Lineups

Chelsea

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Sanchez
25
M. Caicedo
23
T. Chalobah
6
L. Colwill
3
M. Cucurella
45
R. Lavia
8
E. Fernandez
7
P. Neto
20
C. Palmer
11
N. Madueke
15
N. Jackson
9
R. Hojlund
7
M. Mount
8
B. Fernandes
41
H. Amass
25
M. Ugarte
37
K. Mainoo
16
A. Diallo
23
L. Shaw
15
L. Yoro
3
N. Mazraoui
1
A. Bayindir

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Manchester United

Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

W. Fofana

Midfielder

A. Anselmino

Forward

O. Kellyman

M. Mudryk

M. Guiu

C. Nkunku

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

L. Martinez

A. Heaven

D. Dalot

M. De Ligt

Midfielder

T. Collyer

Forward

J. Zirkzee

Chelsea & Manchester United Squad Analysis

Both Wesley Fofana and Christopher Nkunku continue to be sidelined with injury, while Nicolas Jackson is suspended following his red card last weekend. Having recently played well in the UEFA Europa Conference League, Tyrique George could be handed a rare Premier League start. 

For the visitors, there could be some rotation as manager Ruben Amorim looks to ensure that none of his key players pick up knocks ahead of United's biggest game of the campaign. Then again, the Red Devils need to build momentum, so the likes of Bruno Fernandes, Alejandro Garnacho and Patrick Dorgu should all feature at some point. Diego Dalot is out injured, while the same can be said for Joshua Zirkzee, Lisandro Martinez and Matthijs de Ligt. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato Manchester United
Top Goalscorer
England C. Palmer (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal B. Fernandes (17 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina E. Fernandez (12 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal B. Fernandes (16 Assists)

Chelsea and Manchester United Stats in Premier League

Chelsea
Chelsea
Manchester United
Manchester United
50%
Victories
28%
25%
Draw
25%
25%
Defeats
47%
2.92
Total goals per match
2.64
1.72
Goals scored per match
1.17
1.19
Goals conceded per match
1.47
58%
Over 2.5
53%
42%
Under 2.5
47%
61%
BTTS
44%
25%
No goals conceded
25%

Chelsea - Manchester United Key Points

  1. Manuel Ugarte has been booked more times than any other Man United player this season.
  2. In the Premier League, Manuel Ugarte has picked up 10 yellow cards.
  3. Manuel Ugarte currently averages 0.51 cards per 90 minutes in the Premier League.
  4. Manuel Ugarte also averages 1.98 fouls per 90 minutes in the Premier League.

Our Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction

Let's be honest, Manuel Ugarte finds it very hard to stay out of trouble. This serial fouler and often rash tackler has been booked on a regular basis this season, giving referees no choice but to reach for the yellow card on far too many occasions. Given his rather eye-catching card-related stats, he looks generously priced to be booked at Stamford Bridge. Our Chelsea vs Man United Pick: Manuel Ugarte to Get a Card. 

Prediction:

 

Manuel Ugarte to Get a Card

+290
$1500 offered for betting!

Chelsea vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Picks

Kobbie Mainoo to Get a Card.

Odds +360
Kobbie Mainoo also looks a little generously priced to go in the book on Friday night. Since regaining full fitness, the English midfielder hasn't played too much, but he's likely to feature here, and let's face it, like Ugarte, he's no stranger to stepping out of line. An average 0.29 cards per 90 minutes makes odds of +360 look a little chunky.
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Chelsea vs Manchester United Picks