Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Chelsea
5/16/25 15:15
Manchester United

Prediction:

 

Manuel Ugarte to Get a Card

+290
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

On Friday night, there's EPL action at Stamford Bridge, which is where Chelsea will continue to fight for their place in the all important top five. Having lost to Newcastle last weekend, the Blues are no longer in a secure position regarding UEFA Champions League qualification, and since one of their biggest rivals for a top-five spot has a seemingly easy home game on Friday, this is very much a game that Enzo Maresca's men need to win. 

Fortunately, just like the hosts at Villa Park, Maresca's players have the luxury of facing not only a poor Man United team but a Man United team that has nothing to fight for in the league, a team that is also preparing for a huge UEFA Europa League final, which takes place five days after this fixture. Therefore, this is a gilt-edged opportunity for a side that has won two of the last two (in the league) at home to pick up an important win. 

Chelsea vs Manchester United Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Chelsea
Chelsea
69 38 20 9 9 21
15
Manchester United
Manchester United
42 38 11 9 18 -10

Chelsea and Manchester United Latest Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 11, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

May 8, 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Djurgardens IF

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

May 1, 2025 - Conference League

Djurgardens IF
1 :  4
Chelsea

Apr 26, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Everton

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Chelsea
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 8, 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Djurgardens IF

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

Apr 26, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Everton

Apr 17, 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Legia Warszawa

Apr 13, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Ipswich Town

Apr 3, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Tottenham
L D W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 11, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

May 1, 2025 - Conference League

Djurgardens IF
1 :  4
Chelsea

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Chelsea

Apr 10, 2025 - Conference League

Legia Warszawa
0 :  3
Chelsea

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 16, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea
Manchester United
Manchester United Latest matches
L D W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 11, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
West Ham

May 8, 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  3
Manchester United

May 1, 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Manchester United

Apr 27, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Wolves
W D W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 11, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
West Ham

May 8, 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Wolves

Apr 17, 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
5 :  4
Lyon

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City

Mar 13, 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Real Sociedad
L D L D W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  3
Manchester United

May 1, 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Manchester United

Apr 27, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 13, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 10, 2025 - Europa League

Lyon
2 :  2
Manchester United

Apr 1, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Manchester United

Chelsea against Manchester United : Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

17 %

Draw

50 %

Manchester United

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Nov 3, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Chelsea

Apr 4, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  3
Manchester United

Dec 6, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Chelsea

May 25, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Chelsea

Oct 22, 2022 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 28, 2022 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Chelsea

Chelsea - Manchester United: Form Analysis

After a run of 3 Premier League wins in a row and qualification for the Europa Conference League, Chelsea have just fallen off the pace. Last weekend, in a clash with Newcastle United, the London club lost 2-0. They are likely to be shaking in the race for Champions League qualification. It's the top 5 teams in the standings who will book their ticket for the next Champions League. At the moment, the Blues are in 5th place, but with the same number of points as Aston Villa (6th). The team coached by Enzo Maresca will be doing everything in their power to get back to winning ways in this fixture and keep their destiny in their own hands going into the final matchday.

Manchester United could already be looking ahead to next Wednesday's Europa League final.

All the more so as Manchester United have little to look forward to at the end of the Premier League. They haven't been in the fight for Europe at all this season in the PL. The Mancunians have not won in their last 7 matches and are only 16th in the table. Even so, the Red Devils' survival is assured. And they have a big match on their hands to save their campaign. Next Wednesday, Ruben Amorim's men face Tottenham in the Europa League final. A Europa League triumph would allow them to qualify for the next edition of the Champions League.

Chelsea against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11

Chelsea

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Sanchez
24
R. James
4
T. Adarabioyo
6
L. Colwill
3
M. Cucurella
25
M. Caicedo
8
E. Fernandez
7
P. Neto
20
C. Palmer
11
N. Madueke
32
T. George
9
R. Hojlund
8
B. Fernandes
16
A. Diallo
13
P. Dorgu
7
M. Mount
18
Casemiro
3
N. Mazraoui
23
L. Shaw
5
H. Maguire
2
V. Lindelof
24
A. Onana

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Manchester United

Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

W. Fofana

Forward

O. Kellyman

M. Mudryk

M. Guiu

C. Nkunku

N. Jackson

J. Sancho

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

L. Martinez

D. Dalot

M. De Ligt

L. Yoro

Forward

J. Zirkzee

Chelsea & Manchester United Squad Analysis

Chelsea will have to make do with a number of absentees for this Premier League clash. Nicolas Jackson is suspended after being sent off against Newcastle United. Wesley Fofana, Mykhaïlo Mudryk, Omari Kellyman, Christopher Nkunku and Marc Guiu are also unavailable. Enzo Maresca will need all his key players to hit the ground running this Friday evening. Cole Palmer found the back of the net against Liverpool on May 4. He'll be looking to continue that form against another big name. Enzo Fernandez is another player to keep an eye on. He has been decisive in 4 of his last 5 games for the Blues.

A number of Manchester United's key players could be in for a breather ahead of the Europa League final.

For Manchester United, there will be several absentees. Diogo Dalot, Lisandro Martinez, Matthijs de Ligt and Joshua Zirkzee are injured. In the last match, Leny Yoro went off injured against West Ham and remains doubtful. One thing is certain: Ruben Amorim will not be taking the slightest risk, just a few days away from a Europa League final. Bruno Fernandes is hoping to continue his fine form with the Red Devils. He has 19 goals and 19 assists in all competitions. Amad Diallo recently returned from injury and has been decisive in 2 of Manchester United's last 3 games.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato Manchester United
Top Goalscorer
England C. Palmer (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal B. Fernandes (17 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina E. Fernandez (13 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal B. Fernandes (16 Assists)

Chelsea - Manchester United Key Points

  1. Manuel Ugarte has been booked more times than any other Man United player this season.
  2. In the Premier League, Manuel Ugarte has picked up 10 yellow cards.
  3. Manuel Ugarte currently averages 0.51 cards per 90 minutes in the Premier League.
  4. Manuel Ugarte also averages 1.98 fouls per 90 minutes in the Premier League.

Our Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction

Let's be honest, Manuel Ugarte finds it very hard to stay out of trouble. This serial fouler and often rash tackler has been booked on a regular basis this season, giving referees no choice but to reach for the yellow card on far too many occasions. Given his rather eye-catching card-related stats, he looks generously priced to be booked at Stamford Bridge. 

Our Chelsea vs Man United Pick: Manuel Ugarte to Get a Card. 

Prediction:

 

Manuel Ugarte to Get a Card

+290
$1500 offered for betting!

Chelsea vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Picks

Kobbie Mainoo to Get a Card.

Odds +360
Kobbie Mainoo also looks a little generously priced to go in the book on Friday night. Since regaining full fitness, the English midfielder hasn't played too much, but he's likely to feature here, and let's face it, like Ugarte, he's no stranger to stepping out of line. An average 0.29 cards per 90 minutes makes odds of +360 look a little chunky.
$1500 offered for betting!

Cole Palmer Anytime Goal Scorer

Odds +100
During Chelsea's last Premier League match, Cole Palmer was finally able to find the net again. He scored from the penalty spot against Liverpool. The Blues talent will be hoping to follow this up against another of the Premier League's big guns.
$1500 offered for betting!

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Chelsea vs Manchester United Picks