Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Chelsea
11/30/25 11:30
Arsenal

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

-115
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 by Carlos Zabala in Premier League Picks

Next Sunday, the match attracting the most attention in Europe's top leagues will undoubtedly be the London derby between Chelsea and Arsenal, who until Friday were second and first in the Premier League, respectively. In long-term betting, Arteta's Gunners remain the overwhelming favorites to finally capture the Premier League title, with odds of -227. However, despite scoring 24 goals and conceding only 6, Arsenal has a reputation for faltering in crucial moments of the season, and Sunday's match against Chelsea could be one such instance.

Nevertheless, Arsenal's form is tremendous; after the FIFA break, they thrashed Tottenham in the other London derby. At the Emirates Stadium, English midfielder Eberechi Eze probably had the best game of his life, scoring a hat-trick against Spurs to secure a 4-1 victory.

That Arsenal victory would be the prelude to an even more inspiring Champions League win at the Emirates, where goals from Timber, Madueke, and Martinelli ended Bayern Munich's 18-match unbeaten run.

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Chelsea vs Arsenal Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Arsenal
Arsenal
29 12 9 2 1 18
2
Chelsea
Chelsea
23 12 7 2 3 12

Chelsea and Arsenal Latest Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Barcelona

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Chelsea

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Wolves

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  2
Chelsea

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Chelsea

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
3 :  4
Chelsea
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Barcelona

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Wolves

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Sunderland

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Ajax

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Liverpool

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Chelsea

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  2
Chelsea

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Chelsea

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
3 :  4
Chelsea

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  3
Chelsea

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Lincoln City
1 :  2
Chelsea
Arsenal
Arsenal Latest matches
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Bayern Munich

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Tottenham

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  2
Arsenal

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Slavia Prague
0 :  3
Arsenal

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Arsenal

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brighton
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Bayern Munich

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Tottenham

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brighton

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Crystal Palace

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
4 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
West Ham
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  2
Arsenal

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Slavia Prague
0 :  3
Arsenal

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Arsenal

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  1
Arsenal

Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Arsenal

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Port Vale
0 :  2
Arsenal

Chelsea against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

0 %

Draw

33 %

Arsenal

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

Nov 10, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 23, 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Chelsea

Oct 21, 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Arsenal

May 2, 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Chelsea

Nov 6, 2022 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Arsenal
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Chelsea - Arsenal: Form Analysis

But Chelsea also comes into this match having won their last three games; before the international break, they had beaten Wolves 2-0; when they returned to action at Turf Moor, they defeated Burnley with goals from Neto and Enzo Fernández. In the Champions League, in a highly anticipated clash, they were absolutely superior to Barcelona. Estevao scored a truly spectacular goal in the continental victory that put Chelsea among the Champions League top 8.

The Club World Cup champions are back. The Blues had a turbulent start, so much so that some of the club's most ardent fans questioned whether Enzo Maresca was the right man to lead the team, but the Italian manager didn't succumb to the pressure, and his team responded. Especially in November, Chelsea displayed a defense that was as fast as it was organized, capable of winning back possession anywhere on the pitch, and with which they recorded four clean sheets since the beginning of the month.

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Arsenal v Chelsea last Lineups

Chelsea

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Sanchez
27
M. Gusto
29
W. Fofana
23
T. Chalobah
3
M. Cucurella
24
R. James
25
M. Caicedo
41
Estevao
8
E. Fernandez
49
A. Garnacho
7
P. Neto
19
L. Trossard
23
M. Merino
7
B. Saka
10
E. Eze
41
D. Rice
36
M. Zubimendi
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
3
C. Mosquera
2
W. Saliba
12
J. Timber
1
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3

Arsenal

Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

L. Colwill

Midfielder

C. Palmer

R. Lavia

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

G. Magalhaes

Midfielder

M. Odegaard

Forward

G. Jesus

K. Havertz

V. Gyokeres

Chelsea & Arsenal Squad Analysis

Against Barcelona, ​​the Spanish full-back, as has become customary, had an outstanding match, highly influential in the rapid attacks down his flank and very alert in winning back possession on numerous occasions. The young Estevao showcased his quality, single-handedly orchestrating a move with a series of dribbles that he finished off with a powerful shot for Chelsea's decisive goal against Barcelona. In midfield, the Argentine Enzo Fernández was once again key, capable of creating plays as well as making runs into space with his renowned speed.

For Arsenal, Buyako Saka had a standout performance against Bayern Munich, playing the 98 minutes he was on the pitch and registering an assist. Full-back Timbers also impressed during the week. However, although Arteta has a history of winning despite numerous absences, the Gunners' injury list is once again a cause for concern. The latest addition to the list is Trossard with a minor injury, but Havertz, Gyokeres, and Gabriel Jesus are also unavailable, meaning the attacking responsibility largely rests on Merino and Martinelli's shoulders on Sunday.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Estevao (5 Goals)
Argentina E. Fernandez (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England B. Saka (6 Goals) Sweden V. Gyokeres (6 Goals)
Best assists
England R. James (6 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium L. Trossard (5 Assists)
England D. Rice (5 Assists)

Chelsea and Arsenal Stats in Premier League

Chelsea
Chelsea
Arsenal
Arsenal
58%
Victories
75%
17%
Draw
17%
25%
Defeats
8%
2.83
Total goals per match
2.5
1.92
Goals scored per match
2
0.92
Goals conceded per match
0.5
67%
Over 2.5
42%
33%
Under 2.5
58%
50%
BTTS
33%
50%
No goals conceded
58%

Chelsea - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Arsenal have a goal difference of +18 in this Premier League season after 12 matchdays
  2. Joao Pedro, Fernandez, and Neto have each scored 4 league goals for Chelsea this season
  3. Chelsea only conceded two goals in a single match throughout the entire month of November
  4. Chelsea reduced Barcelona's xG to 0.80 in their last Champions League match.
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Our Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction

The last time Arsenal visited Chelsea at Stamford Bridge, they drew 1-1; Martinelli scored for the Gunners and Neto for the Blues on that occasion. But in March of this year, Arsenal managed a 1-0 victory with a Merino goal in another close match.

Chelsea historically held a dominant position against Arsenal at home, a dominance that has diminished in recent years; in fact, Arsenal haven't lost to the Blues at Stamford Bridge for seven years. The defensive solidity of both teams and Arsenal's attacking absences could produce another tight, low-scoring affair

Our prediction for Arsenal vs Chelsea is: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

-115
$150 offered for betting!

Chelsea vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Picks

Chelsea to win or draw

Odds -160
A safer bet is to back Chelsea to win or draw; given the Blues' recent strong defensive performances, coupled with Arsenal's injury woes, it seems like a solid option.
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