Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction & Picks - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Carlos Zabala | in Premier League Picks
Next Sunday, the match attracting the most attention in Europe's top leagues will undoubtedly be the London derby between Chelsea and Arsenal, who until Friday were second and first in the Premier League, respectively. In long-term betting, Arteta's Gunners remain the overwhelming favorites to finally capture the Premier League title, with odds of -227. However, despite scoring 24 goals and conceding only 6, Arsenal has a reputation for faltering in crucial moments of the season, and Sunday's match against Chelsea could be one such instance.
Nevertheless, Arsenal's form is tremendous; after the FIFA break, they thrashed Tottenham in the other London derby. At the Emirates Stadium, English midfielder Eberechi Eze probably had the best game of his life, scoring a hat-trick against Spurs to secure a 4-1 victory.
That Arsenal victory would be the prelude to an even more inspiring Champions League win at the Emirates, where goals from Timber, Madueke, and Martinelli ended Bayern Munich's 18-match unbeaten run.
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Chelsea vs Arsenal Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
49 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | +26 |
|
8
|
31 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +10 |
Chelsea and Arsenal Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League
Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League
Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League
Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League
Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League
Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League
Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup
Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League
Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League
Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League
Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup
Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League
Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League
Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League
Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League
Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League
Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup
Chelsea against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Mar 16, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 10, 2024 - Premier League
Apr 23, 2024 - Premier League
Oct 21, 2023 - Premier League
May 2, 2023 - Premier League
Nov 6, 2022 - Premier League
Chelsea - Arsenal: Form Analysis
But Chelsea also comes into this match having won their last three games; before the international break, they had beaten Wolves 2-0; when they returned to action at Turf Moor, they defeated Burnley with goals from Neto and Enzo Fernández. In the Champions League, in a highly anticipated clash, they were absolutely superior to Barcelona. Estevao scored a truly spectacular goal in the continental victory that put Chelsea among the Champions League top 8.
The Club World Cup champions are back. The Blues had a turbulent start, so much so that some of the club's most ardent fans questioned whether Enzo Maresca was the right man to lead the team, but the Italian manager didn't succumb to the pressure, and his team responded. Especially in November, Chelsea displayed a defense that was as fast as it was organized, capable of winning back possession anywhere on the pitch, and with which they recorded four clean sheets since the beginning of the month.
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Players list
R. Sanchez
DefenderM. Gusto
W. Fofana
T. Chalobah
M. Cucurella
R. James
MidfielderM. Caicedo
E. Fernandez
ForwardEstevao
P. Neto
Joao Pedro
D. Raya
DefenderJ. Timber
C. Mosquera
P. Hincapie
R. Calafiori
MidfielderM. Zubimendi
D. Rice
M. Merino
ForwardE. Eze
B. Saka
G. Martinelli
Substitutes
F. Jorgensen
DefenderB. Badiashile
J. Acheampong
T. Adarabioyo
MidfielderC. Palmer
A. Santos
ForwardJ. Gittens
A. Garnacho
L. Delap
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderB. White
MidfielderC. Norgaard
M. Odegaard
M. Lewis-Skelly
N. Madueke
E. Nwaneri
V. Gyokeres
G. Jesus
Missing players
L. Colwill
MidfielderR. Lavia
ForwardM. Mudryk
W. Saliba
Chelsea & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Against Barcelona, the Spanish full-back, as has become customary, had an outstanding match, highly influential in the rapid attacks down his flank and very alert in winning back possession on numerous occasions. The young Estevao showcased his quality, single-handedly orchestrating a move with a series of dribbles that he finished off with a powerful shot for Chelsea's decisive goal against Barcelona. In midfield, the Argentine Enzo Fernández was once again key, capable of creating plays as well as making runs into space with his renowned speed.
For Arsenal, Buyako Saka had a standout performance against Bayern Munich, playing the 98 minutes he was on the pitch and registering an assist. Full-back Timbers also impressed during the week. However, although Arteta has a history of winning despite numerous absences, the Gunners' injury list is once again a cause for concern. The latest addition to the list is Trossard with a minor injury, but Havertz, Gyokeres, and Gabriel Jesus are also unavailable, meaning the attacking responsibility largely rests on Merino and Martinelli's shoulders on Sunday.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Arsenal
E. Fernandez
(6 Goals)
, 
Joao Pedro
(6 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(5 Goals)
, 
L. Trossard
(5 Goals)
R. James
(4 Assists)
L. Trossard
(4 Assists)
Chelsea - Arsenal Key Points
- Arsenal have a goal difference of +18 in this Premier League season after 12 matchdays
- Joao Pedro, Fernandez, and Neto have each scored 4 league goals for Chelsea this season
- Chelsea only conceded two goals in a single match throughout the entire month of November
- Chelsea reduced Barcelona's xG to 0.80 in their last Champions League match.
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Our Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction
The last time Arsenal visited Chelsea at Stamford Bridge, they drew 1-1; Martinelli scored for the Gunners and Neto for the Blues on that occasion. But in March of this year, Arsenal managed a 1-0 victory with a Merino goal in another close match.
Chelsea historically held a dominant position against Arsenal at home, a dominance that has diminished in recent years; in fact, Arsenal haven't lost to the Blues at Stamford Bridge for seven years. The defensive solidity of both teams and Arsenal's attacking absences could produce another tight, low-scoring affair
Our prediction for Arsenal vs Chelsea is: Under 2.5 goals.
Chelsea vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Picks
Chelsea to win or draw
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