CF Pachuca vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX
Mexico - Liga MX
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by Stephen Abiola | in Liga MX Picks
CF Pachuca and Deportivo Toluca FC will meet on Sunday night in Leg 2 of the Mexican Liga MX quarterfinals at Estadio Hidalgo. CF Pachuca will come into this contest to defend their slender 1-0 lead and progress to the semi-finals. They defended well last time out, with Enner Valencia scoring the only goal in the eighth minute. Pachuca also saw only 35% of the ball but still managed to register seven shots on target. They should be more adventurous in attack this weekend.
Deportivo Toluca FC, meanwhile, has been patchy during the later stages of the regular season. They won just once in their last five regular-season matches while losing on three occasions. Toluca failed to convert their dominance into tangible results last week. However, they bounced back with a big 4-0 win over LAFC in the CONCACAF Champions Cup semi-finals, managing to overturn a 2-1 defeat in LA. The visitors will want to use a similar blueprint to defeat Pachuca on Sunday.
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CF Pachuca vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form
CF Pachuca and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 25, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 22, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 11, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 4, 2026 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 25, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 11, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 22, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 7, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 22, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 4, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 27, 2026 - Liga MX
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 6, 2026 - Concachampions
May 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 29, 2026 - Concachampions
Apr 25, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 22, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 6, 2026 - Concachampions
May 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 25, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 12, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 8, 2026 - Concachampions
Mar 18, 2026 - Concachampions
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 29, 2026 - Concachampions
Apr 22, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 15, 2026 - Concachampions
Apr 4, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 22, 2026 - Liga MX
CF Pachuca against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
May 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 22, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 26, 2025 - Liga MX
Mar 29, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 17, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 30, 2024 - Liga MX
CF Pachuca against Deportivo Toluca FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Eulogio
DefenderJ. Berlanga
R. Lopez
MidfielderA. Bautista
G. Alvarez
P. Pedraza
S. Rodriguez
S. Rondon
A. Dominguez
L. Quinones
H. Gonzalez Duran
DefenderA. Briseno
E. Orta
MidfielderF. Cordova
V. Arteaga
R. Angulo
F. Arce
ForwardHelinho
A. Alvarez
F. Rossi
Missing players
A. Micolta
J. Gallardo
ForwardA. Vega
Most goals and assists
CF Pachuca
Deportivo Toluca FC
S. Rondon
(5 Goals)
, 
R. Kenedy
(5 Goals)
, 
V. Guzman
(5 Goals)
Paulinho
(6 Goals)
A. Dominguez
(4 Assists)
,
V. Guzman
(4 Assists)
,
B. Garcia
(4 Assists)
J. Gallardo
(4 Assists)
CF Pachuca - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points
- The total goals went over 2.5 in the last four Toluca away matches.
- The total goals went over 2.5 in four of the last five Pachuca matches.
- Both teams scored in eight of the last nine CF Pachuca matches.
- Both teams scored in five of the last six CF Pachuca vs Toluca clashes.
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Our CF Pachuca vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction
Don’t expect another snoozefest on Sunday as both teams try to chase a semi-final spot. Toluca are the +115 betting favorites, and will be actively looking to grab a goal or two early into this tie. Despite the 1-0 defeat, they’ve shown that they can score goals easily, scoring over 2.5 goals in three of their last five matches. We expect them to target Pachuca’s leaky defense, which has conceded first in six of their last seven matches. However, Pachuca compensates for that weakness with sharp attacking play, averaging 2 goals per game in their last seven assignments at home. Enner Valencia is also on fire this season, having scored 7 goals while registering 19 shots. He should lead the line as the hosts try to seal this high-stakes tie.
Our prediction for CF Pachuca vs Deportivo Toluca FC: Over 2.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
