Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Erik Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks
Celta Vigo and Real Madrid meet this Friday at Balaídos in a clash that could define the trajectory of the La Liga title race. The home side enters this fixture brimming with confidence, having clawed their way into the top six following a run of inspired form. Claudio Giráldez has transformed the Sky Blues into a resilient unit, most recently securing back-to-back victories against Mallorca and Girona. Their 2-1 win over Girona was particularly impressive, moving them to the 40-point mark and proving they can handle the pressure of the European qualification race. Currently sitting in sixth, Celta have become one of the league's most consistent performers, losing only one of their last five domestic outings and showing a knack for finding the net late in games.
Conversely, Real Madrid arrives in Galicia amidst a genuine crisis that has seen them surrender their lead at the top of the table. Álvaro Arbeloa's men have suffered a jarring dip in form, dropping consecutive league matches for the first time in years. A 2-1 defeat at Osasuna was followed by a shocking 1-0 loss to Getafe at the Santiago Bernabéu earlier this week. These results have left Los Blancos four points adrift of leaders Barcelona, and the aura of invincibility that defined their early-season run has largely evaporated. While their Champions League form remains steady, their domestic campaign is wobbling under the weight of mounting pressure and a congested schedule.
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Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 |
|
6
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 |
Celta Vigo and Real Madrid Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 1, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 26, 2026 - Europa League
Feb 22, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 19, 2026 - Europa League
Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 6, 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 26, 2026 - Europa League
Feb 22, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 6, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 22, 2026 - Europa League
Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 3, 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 1, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 19, 2026 - Europa League
Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 29, 2026 - Europa League
Jan 25, 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 2, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 2, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Celta Vigo against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Dec 7, 2025 - LaLiga
May 4, 2025 - LaLiga
Jan 16, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Oct 19, 2024 - LaLiga
Mar 10, 2024 - LaLiga
Aug 25, 2023 - LaLiga
Celta Vigo against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
I. Villar
DefenderM. Fernandez
J. Rueda
C. Dominguez
A. Nunez
J. Aidoo
MidfielderH. Sotelo
H. Alvarez
J. El-Abdellaoui
M. Vecino
F. Lopez
I. Aspas
S. Mestre
A. Lunin
DefenderL. Fati Joao
D. Aguado
F. Garcia
D. Carvajal
MidfielderManuel Angel
C. Palacios
J. Cestero
ForwardG. Garcia
Missing players
P. Duran
D. Alaba
E. Militao
A. Carreras
D. Huijsen
MidfielderD. Ceballos
E. Camavinga
J. Bellingham
ForwardK. Mbappe
Rodrygo
Endrick
F. Mastantuono
Most goals and assists
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
B. Iglesias
(14 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(25 Goals)
J. Rueda
(6 Assists)
A. Guler
(9 Assists)
Celta Vigo - Real Madrid Key Points
- The Over is 3-2 in Celta's last 5 games
- The Over is 2-3 in Real Madrid's last 5 games
- Celta are 2-1-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- Real Madrid are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Prediction
The individual performances over the last two weeks reflect these contrasting fortunes. Celta's Ferran Jutglà has been clinical, netting a vital equalizer against Girona and maintaining a high threat level in the final third. Veteran Iago Aspas continues to be the heartbeat of the team, providing three goal contributions in his recent appearances.
Real Madrid's Vinícius Júnior remains their primary spark, scoring six goals in his last six games, but he was frustrated by a lack of support in the Getafe defeat. Arda Güler has also shown flashes of brilliance, nearly rescuing a point with a late strike against the Azulones.
However, the headline news is Madrid's decimated roster. The visitors are without superstars Kylian Mbappé (knee sprain) and Jude Bellingham (hamstring), while Rodrygo was recently ruled out for the season with an ACL tear. Adding to the misery, defensive mainstays Éder Militão and Raúl Asencio are injured, while Franco Mastantuono, Dean Huijsen, and Álvaro Carreras are all suspended.
Celta is not without issues, as Borja Iglesias is suspended and Hugo Sotelo is nursing an ankle injury, but their core remains intact. Given Madrid's defensive vacancies and missing firepower, Celta Vigo arguably holds the upper hand to secure at least a point at home. Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs. Real Madrid: Over 2.5 goals.
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