Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction & Picks - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
ATP - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Picks
Buoyed by the support of his countrymen, Valentin Vacherot aims to deliver a performance Monaco will be proud of against Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinal of the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters on Saturday.
Momentum: Carlos Alcaraz moved two wins away from defending his title in Monte Carlo. This came after the Spaniard demolished Alexander Bublik 6-3, 6-0. Alcaraz has only dropped one set so far in this tournament and is looking more comfortable on the dirt with each match. Gunning for an upset in Monaco is Valentin Vacherot, who collected his second top-10 scalp this week after outgunning Alex De Minaur 6-4, 3-6, 6-3.
Matchup: Alcaraz and Vacherot will be playing each other for the first time on the ATP Tour. Alcaraz flaunts an 82 percent win rate on clay. Vacherot boasts a decent 64 percent win rate on the dirt.
Hot on the Board: As expected, Alcaraz opened as the overwhelming favorite at -2000 moneyline and -150 to cover -5.5 games. Vacherot is a +800 underdog and +110 if he can prevent Alcaraz from beating him by six games. Caesars Sportsbook anticipates a quick match, listing the total at 18.5 games.
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Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot Form
Carlos Alcaraz and Valentin Vacherot Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 10, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 9, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 7, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 22, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 14, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 10, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 9, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 8, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 6, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 24, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 22, 2026 - ATP Miami
Carlos Alcaraz - Valentin Vacherot Key Points
- Valentin Vacherot has saved 80 percent of his breakpoints in 2026.
- Valentin Vacherot is 4-4 vs. top-10 players in his career.
- Carlos Alcaraz has an 82 percent win rate on clay.
- Carlos Alcaraz sweeps Alexander Bublik in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Carlos Alcaraz fends off Valentin Vacherot 6-4, 6-4
Best Pick: Valentin Vacherot +5.5 games
Carlos Alcaraz will most likely win this match in straight sets again, but Vacherot seems to have the form, momentum, and crowd support to challenge the Spaniard to some extent.
Vacherot has saved 80 percent of the breakpoints in this tournament, thanks to his big serves and aggressive attack off the serve. He also seems to be thriving in Monaco, where he’s getting ample support from his countrymen. Although it might not be enough to beat the current world’s No.1 and the French Open champion, Vacherot is in a solid position to put up a gallant fight against Alcaraz in this semifinal match.
Our betting prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Valentin Vacherot: Valentin Vacherot +5.5 games
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