ATP - ATP London - Queen's
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Carlos Alcaraz of Spain guns for his place in the championship match of the 2025 ATP Tour Finals against the upset-minded Felix Auger-Aliassime of Canada on Saturday in Turin, Italy.
Alcaraz is listed at -550 ($100 profit for every -550 bet) ahead of his clash with Auger-Aliassime, who is viewed as a dangerous opponent for the Spaniard because of his 17-4 record in indoor play this year.
Current Form:
Alcaraz has clinched the year-end world’s No.1 after finishing the group play with a 3-0 record. After taking down Taylor Fritz and Alex De Minaur in his first two assignments, the Spaniard needed only two sets to dispatch Lorenzo Musetti of Italy 6-4, 6-1 on Thursday. Alcaraz won 83 percent of his first serves to hold 100 percent of his serves. He scored two service breaks in the second set to pull away from the Italian for good. Alcaraz improved to 9-2 in indoor matches in 2025.
Auger-Aliassime made it through to the semifinal by taking down Alexander Zverev 6-4, 7-6 on Friday. The Canadian held all 11 service games by firing 11 aces and winning 39 points behind the first ball. He also displayed his clutch genes in outlasting Zverev in the nail-biting tiebreaker in the second set. Auger-Aliassime is now 17-4 in indoor play in 2025.
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Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger Aliassime Form
Carlos Alcaraz and Felix Auger Aliassime Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 13, 2025 - ATP Finals
Nov 11, 2025 - ATP Finals
Nov 9, 2025 - ATP Finals
Oct 28, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 18, 2025 - Six King Slam
Oct 16, 2025 - Six King Slam
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 14, 2025 - ATP Finals
Nov 12, 2025 - ATP Finals
Nov 10, 2025 - ATP Finals
Nov 2, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Nov 1, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 31, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Carlos Alcaraz against Felix Auger Aliassime : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Aug 2, 2024 - Olympic Tournament
Jun 2, 2024 - ATP French Open
Mar 10, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 16, 2023 - ATP Indian Wells
Oct 29, 2022 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Sep 7, 2021 - ATP US Open
Carlos Alcaraz - Felix Auger Aliassime Key Points
- Felix Auger-Aliassime defeated Alexander Zverev 6-4, 7-6 to secure his semifinal spot at the 2025 ATP Tour Finals.
- Felix-Auger Aliassime is 3-4 vs. Carlos Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz finished the group stages with a 3-0 record.
- Carlos Alcaraz is 9-2 in indoor matches in 2025.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Carlos Alcaraz is still the no-brainer moneyline pick for this match, but Felix Auger-Aliassime has a solid chance of covering the spread at +3.5 games on FanDuel. Alcaraz has won his last four head-to-head matches with Auger-Aliassime , yet his last two wins came from his favorite surface – the clay. Boasting a 70 percent career win rate in indoor play, Auger-Aliassime is widely regarded as a terrific indoor player, having won so many titles in this playing condition. Of course, Alcaraz is still Alcaraz. He can rip the game apart once he gets into his rhythm. However, I honestly think Auger-Aliassime deserves respect for playing at an elite level throughout the indoor season.
Our betting prediction for Felix-Auger Aliassime vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Felix Auger-Aliassime +3.5 gamesFanDuel - Daily Play
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