Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Australian Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Australian Open Picks
Carlos Alcaraz of Spain will shoot for a place in the semifinals of the 2026 Australian Open as he takes on home bet Alex De Minaur of Australia on Tuesday.
Recommended Pick: Alex De Minaur +5.5 Games
Potential Payout: $200 for every $100 Bet.
Current Form:
Alcaraz cruised to the quarterfinals of the 2026 Australian Open after carving out a three-set win over Tommy Paul 7-6, 6-4, 7-5. After absolutely thrashing his first three opponents, Alcaraz met resistance for the first time in this tourney and elevated his level to get the job done without needing an extra set. Alcaraz won 78 percent of his first balls and broke Paul three times in this match.
De Minaur clinched his spot in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Australian Open following a masterstroke of a performance against No.10 seed Alexander Bublik 6-4, 6-1, 6-1. Buoyed by the support of the home-town crowd, De Minaur flat-out humiliated Bublik by holding all his serves and winning 41 return points. De Minaur is winning 78 percent of his first serves and averaging 8.5 aces per match at the 2026 Australian Open.
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Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur Form
Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 24, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 22, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 20, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Nov 16, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
Nov 15, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jan 25, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 23, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 21, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 9, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 6, 2026 - United Cup
Carlos Alcaraz against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Nov 9, 2025 - ATP Finals
Apr 18, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Feb 9, 2025 - ATP Rotterdam
Jun 25, 2023 - ATP London - Queen's
Carlos Alcaraz - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Alex De Minaur is winning 78 percent of his first serves at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Alex De Minaur is 1-5 vs. Carlos Alcaraz in their head-to-head series.
- Carlos Alcaraz has yet to drop a set at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Carlos Alcaraz is winning 74 percent of his first serves at the 2026 Australian Open.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Carlos Alcaraz staves off the challenge from Alex De Minaur 6-3, 3-6, 7-6, 7-6
Reason: I predict Carlos Alcaraz to drop a set for the first time in this tournament. With the way Alex De Minaur annihilated an in-form Alexander Zverev, you’ve got to believe he’s ready to mix it up with the world’s No.1.
Now, can Demon pull off an upset here? I don’t think so. But I feel he will play well enough to make Alcaraz sweat through the match. Make no mistake, Alcaraz is still my pick to win it all, but De Minaur appears to have raised his level a notch too, making him a worthy opponent for the big dog in this field.
Our betting prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex De Minaur: Alex De Minaur +5.5 GamesAll tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
