Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Picks - ATP Qatar Open

Prediction published on 2/20/26, 7:31 AM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 2/23/26 at 5:46 PM in Tennis Picks

Carlos Alcaraz will go for their fourth consecutive victory over Andrey Rublev in the semifinals of the 2026 Qatar Open on Friday.

Alcaraz finally dropped a set in his quarterfinal win over Karen Khachanov. Can Andrey Rublev also steal a set and close the gap that separates him from the world’s No.1?

Recommended Pick: Andrey Rublev +3.5 Games (Alternative Spread Market)

Potential Payout: Bet $100, Win $260 (+160 on Draftkings)

Current Form:

Alcaraz punched his ticket to the semifinals of the 2026 Qatar Open after besting Karen Khachanov in three highly entertaining sets, 6-7, 6-4, 6-3. Despite facing immense pressure from Khachanov, Alcaraz held all his serves and came through with clutch service breaks in the second and third sets to keep his title bid alive in Doha. Alcaraz is now 10-0 on the 2026 ATP season, boasting a staggering 72% breakpoint saved percentage.

Rublev kept his title repeat alive after downing rival Stefanos Tsitsipas, 6-3, 7-6. The Russian held all his serves while showing cool composure under pressure to score the big points in the second-set tiebreaker. Rublev has only conceded only two service games and seized 69 percent of breakpoint chances in three matches in Doha.