Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Prediction & Picks - ATP Bastad Open

ATP - ATP Bastad Open

ATP 59 Argentina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
7/19/25 07:00
ATP 106 Netherlands
Jesper De Jong

Prediction:

 

Camilo Ugo Carabelli to Win

-120
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks

The clay-court event in Bastad, Sweden, known also as the Nordea Open, is now really heating up, and we've reached the final four. On Saturday, Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jesper De Jong will battle it out for a place in the final. This is a massive match for both players, neither of whom have previously reached the final of an ATP event. One of them will definitely book themselves a place in a first final, but who will it be? Well, the rankings say the Argentine, who is the current world number 59. The Dutchman is currently ranked as the 106th best male player in the world. 

Carabelli secured his semi spot by beating Misolic in straight sets, confirming his superior ranking, as he has done in all three matches in Bastad. De Jong beat a higher-ranked player, but can he do that again? This won't be the first time that the pair have met on clay, it'll actually be the fifth. Carabelli has won three of the previous four, which is not easy to ignore, let's be honest. 

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Form

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jesper De Jong Latest Matches

Camilo Ugo Carabelli Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 18, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Filip Misolic

Jul 17, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  1
Botic Van De Zandschulp

Jul 15, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Christian Garin

Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Marcos Giron
3 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Jun 23, 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Ethan Quinn

Jun 17, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Reilly Opelka
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Jesper De Jong Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 18, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Jesper De Jong
2 :  1
Tallon Griekspoor

Jul 16, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Vit Kopriva
0 :  2
Jesper De Jong

Jul 14, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
0 :  2
Jesper De Jong

Jul 3, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Miomir Kecmanovic
3 :  1
Jesper De Jong

Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jesper De Jong
3 :  2
Christopher Eubanks

Jun 21, 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open

Bernard Tomic
2 :  1
Jesper De Jong

Camilo Ugo Carabelli against Jesper De Jong : Head to Head (H2H)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

50 %

Jesper De Jong

50 %

Oct 13, 2024 - Villa Maria, Argentina, Qualifying

Jesper De Jong
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Jan 11, 2024 - ATP Australian Open

Jesper De Jong
2 :  1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Compare Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jesper De Jong with our comparison tool.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jesper De Jong Key Points

  1. Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won each of his three recent clay-court matches against lower-ranked players.
  2. When the pair last met on a clay court, back in 2024, Camilo Ugo Carabelli came out on top.
  3. Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won three of his previous four clay-court matches against Jesper De Jong.
  4. Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won four of his five previous matches against Jesper De Jong.

Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Prediction

This is an interesting match between two players that have both probably exceeded expectations by reaching the semis of this tournament, though for my money, Camilo Ugo Carabelli should probably be a slightly stronger favorite than he is at the time of writing. The Argentines has a very good record against De Jong, who may not be as fresh as Carabelli, who won in straight sets during the previous round. In contrast, De Jong had a tough three-setter, and that combined with his poor record against Carabelli tells me that he should be a slightly bigger underdog than he is. In other words, at odds of -120, betting on Camilo Ugo Carabelli to come out on top offers some value for money. Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Pick: Camilo Ugo Carabelli to Win.

Prediction:

 

Camilo Ugo Carabelli to Win

-120
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Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Picks