ATP - ATP Bastad Open


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by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks
The clay-court event in Bastad, Sweden, known also as the Nordea Open, is now really heating up, and we've reached the final four. On Saturday, Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jesper De Jong will battle it out for a place in the final. This is a massive match for both players, neither of whom have previously reached the final of an ATP event. One of them will definitely book themselves a place in a first final, but who will it be? Well, the rankings say the Argentine, who is the current world number 59. The Dutchman is currently ranked as the 106th best male player in the world.
Carabelli secured his semi spot by beating Misolic in straight sets, confirming his superior ranking, as he has done in all three matches in Bastad. De Jong beat a higher-ranked player, but can he do that again? This won't be the first time that the pair have met on clay, it'll actually be the fifth. Carabelli has won three of the previous four, which is not easy to ignore, let's be honest.
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Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Form
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jesper De Jong Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 18, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 17, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 15, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 23, 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
Jun 17, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 18, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 16, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 14, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 3, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 21, 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
Camilo Ugo Carabelli against Jesper De Jong : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Oct 13, 2024 - Villa Maria, Argentina, Qualifying
Jan 11, 2024 - ATP Australian Open
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jesper De Jong Key Points
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won each of his three recent clay-court matches against lower-ranked players.
- When the pair last met on a clay court, back in 2024, Camilo Ugo Carabelli came out on top.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won three of his previous four clay-court matches against Jesper De Jong.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won four of his five previous matches against Jesper De Jong.
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Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Prediction
This is an interesting match between two players that have both probably exceeded expectations by reaching the semis of this tournament, though for my money, Camilo Ugo Carabelli should probably be a slightly stronger favorite than he is at the time of writing. The Argentines has a very good record against De Jong, who may not be as fresh as Carabelli, who won in straight sets during the previous round. In contrast, De Jong had a tough three-setter, and that combined with his poor record against Carabelli tells me that he should be a slightly bigger underdog than he is. In other words, at odds of -120, betting on Camilo Ugo Carabelli to come out on top offers some value for money. Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Pick: Camilo Ugo Carabelli to Win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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