Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian Korda Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 35 Great Britain
Cameron Norrie
8/25/25 11:00
ATP 75 USA
Sebastian Korda

Prediction:

 

Sebastian Korda +4.5 Games

+105
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 by Lou Aguila in ATP US Open Picks

An explosive first-round showdown is set to erupt on Day 2 of the 2025 US Open Championships as Sebastian Korda of the United States goes up against Cameron Norrie of Great Britain on Monday.

Listed as -215 favorites on DraftKings, Korda is coming off a semifinal run at the 2025 Winston Salem Open. A stress fracture in his right shin forced Korda to miss the grass-court season and several hard-court events during the North American swing of the ATP Tour, including the Washington Open, where he was supposed to defend his title. At Winston-Salem, Korda picked up wins over Vit Kopriva 6-3 6-4, Kamil Majchrzak 6-7(3) 6-3 6-4 and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-1 6-4 before withdrawing from his semifinal duel with Marton Fucsovics.

Meanwhile, Norrie is trying to break his three-match losing skid in Monday’s clash with Korda. Norrie, who reached the quarterfinal of the 2025 Wimbledon Open, lost to Brandon Nakashima 7-6(3) 6-3 in the third round of the 2025 Washington Open before dropping his opening matches against Aleksandar Vukic 6-3 6-7(2) 6-3 and Roberto Bautista Agut 6-4 6-3 at the Canadian and Cincinnati Open respectively.

Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian Korda Form

Cameron Norrie and Sebastian Korda Latest Matches

Cameron Norrie Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 10, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Roberto Bautista-Agut
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

Jul 30, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Aleksandar Vukic
2 :  1
Cameron Norrie

Jul 24, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

Jul 22, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Cameron Norrie
2 :  1
Lorenzo Musetti

Jul 21, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Cameron Norrie
2 :  0
Billy Harris

Jul 8, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Cameron Norrie
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz
Sebastian Korda Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 22, 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Sebastian Korda
withdraw
Marton Fucsovics

Aug 21, 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Sebastian Korda
2 :  0
Miomir Kecmanovic

Aug 20, 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Kamil Majchrzak
1 :  2
Sebastian Korda

Aug 18, 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Vit Kopriva
0 :  2
Sebastian Korda

May 30, 2025 - ATP French Open

Frances Tiafoe
3 :  0
Sebastian Korda

May 28, 2025 - ATP French Open

Jenson Brooksby
0 :  3
Sebastian Korda

Cameron Norrie against Sebastian Korda : Head to Head (H2H)

Cameron Norrie

0 %

Sebastian Korda

100 %

Jun 23, 2023 - ATP London - Queen's

Sebastian Korda
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

Jan 16, 2022 - ATP Australian Open

Cameron Norrie
0 :  3
Sebastian Korda

Jan 12, 2021 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Cameron Norrie
0 :  2
Sebastian Korda
Compare Cameron Norrie and Sebastian Korda with our comparison tool.

Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Korda Key Points

  1. Cameron Norrie is on a three-match losing streak.
  2. Cameron Norrie is 1-3 against Sebastian Korda in their head-to-head series.
  3. Sebastian Korda reached the semifinal of the 2025 Winston-Salem Open.
  4. Sebastian Korda is 9-4 on the hard court in 2025.

Our Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

Take Sebastian Korda to cover -4.5 games. I am predicting Korda to post a convincing win over Norrie, whom he has beaten in 3 out of 4 head-to-head meetings. A stress fracture injury in his right shin had sidelined Korda for months, causing him to miss several big events on the ATP Calendar. Korda made a triumphant return at the Winston-Salem Open, where he registered three impressive wins before conceding the semifinal match to Marton Fucsovic because of illness, which has nothing to do with the injury in his right shin.

Norrie is not an easy first-round foe for everybody in this competition, mainly because of his caliber as a former top-10 player. However, he enters the US Open championship without any momentum at all after losing his last three matches, including back-to-back opening match losses in Toronto and Cincinnati.

If Korda can replicate the form he showed through the first three rounds at Winston-Salem, taking down Norrie in three sets seems very possible. 

Our betting prediction for Sebastian Korda vs. Cameron Norrie: Sebastian Korda -4.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Sebastian Korda +4.5 Games

+105
$500+ offered for betting!

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Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian Korda Picks