Burnley vs Sunderland Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Burnley
8/23/25 10:00
Sunderland

Prediction:

 

Burnley win both halves

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 by Erik Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

Burnley and Sunderland meet on the pitch this Saturday. This match is a clash of newly promoted sides. Burnley won the Championship last season and have Premier League experience under manager Vincent Kompany. Sunderland earned promotion via playoffs, led by former Burnley coach Tony Mowbray. The contrasting results in Week 1 highlight their differing trajectories.

Burnley lost 3-0 at Tottenham on August 16, showing they were outclassed by the likes of Richarlison and Brennan Johnson. While Burnley competed respectably at times, they ultimately lacked firepower and defensive cohesion away to Spurs. That night, Owen Dodgson and Lyle Foster had chances but failed to score.

In friendlies they had ended May with mixed results, so confidence might be low. Burnley’s squad includes seasoned keeper Martin Dúbravka, attacking winger Lyle Foster, and midfield presence from Josh Laurent. Foster (ex-Norwich) in particular was a Championship star and will need to be dangerous again for Burnley to threaten opponents. They will hope that returning to Turf Moor (their strong fortress) reignites form.

Sunderland, by contrast, enjoyed a fairy-tale start. In their opener they thumped West Ham 3-0 at home, with goals from Eliezer Mayenda, Simon Adingra, and Jack Clarke (via penalty). Sunderland’s league form is now 1-0-0 with 3 points, the same as Tottenham and Spurs, and much of the credit goes to strong midfield work (Cormack and Brady stepping up) and second-half impact.

The Black Cats have momentum and belief. Their key players include Mayenda (a physical striker who scored twice on debut), Trai Hume (dynamic left back involved in attack), and defender Dan Ballard, who scored the second goal. Also watch midfielder Sam Greenwood, who had a great season last year but hasn't scored yet. Sunderland have shown they can compete at this level.

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Burnley vs Sunderland Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Sunderland
Sunderland
19 11 5 4 2 4
17
Burnley
Burnley
10 11 3 1 7 -8

Burnley and Sunderland Latest Matches

Burnley
Burnley Latest matches
L L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  0
Burnley

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Burnley
0 :  1
Lazio

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  0
Burnley

Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
3 :  2
Burnley

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Huddersfield Town
0 :  2
Burnley

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Shrewsbury Town
2 :  2
Burnley
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Burnley
0 :  1
Lazio

May 3, 2025 - Championship

Burnley
3 :  1
Millwall

Apr 21, 2025 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  1
Sheffield United

Apr 11, 2025 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  1
Norwich

Mar 29, 2025 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  0
Bristol City

Mar 11, 2025 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
West Brom
D W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  0
Burnley

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  0
Burnley

Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
3 :  2
Burnley

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Huddersfield Town
0 :  2
Burnley

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Shrewsbury Town
2 :  2
Burnley

Apr 26, 2025 - Championship

QPR
0 :  5
Burnley
Sunderland
Sunderland Latest matches
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  0
West Ham

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sunderland
0 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
0 :  1
Sunderland

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sunderland
0 :  1
Betis

Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hull
2 :  1
Sunderland

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  0
Sunderland
L L D L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  0
West Ham

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sunderland
0 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sunderland
0 :  1
Betis

May 13, 2025 - Championship

Sunderland
1 :  1
Coventry City

May 3, 2025 - Championship

Sunderland
0 :  1
QPR

Apr 21, 2025 - Championship

Sunderland
0 :  1
Blackburn
W D L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
0 :  1
Sunderland

Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hull
2 :  1
Sunderland

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  0
Sunderland

Jul 21, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  0
Sunderland

Jul 19, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sevilla
1 :  1
Sunderland

Jul 12, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

South Shields
0 :  4
Sunderland

Burnley against Sunderland : Head to Head (H2H)

Burnley

33 %

Draw

50 %

Sunderland

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.33
Total goals
17%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
17%
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Sunderland

Aug 24, 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
1 :  0
Burnley

Mar 31, 2023 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Sunderland

Mar 18, 2017 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  0
Burnley

Jan 17, 2017 - FA Cup

Burnley
2 :  0
Sunderland

Dec 31, 2016 - Premier League

Burnley
4 :  1
Sunderland

Burnley against Sunderland Lineups: Starting 11

Burnley

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Dubravka
2
K. Walker
5
M. Esteve
18
H. Ekdal
3
Q. Hartman
8
L. Ugochukwu
24
J. Cullen
7
J. Bruun Larsen
28
H. Mejbri
11
J. Anthony
9
L. Foster
24
S. Adingra
12
E. Mayenda
7
C. Talbi
27
N. Sadiki
34
G. Xhaka
19
H. Diarra
17
R. Mandava
15
O. Alderete
5
D. Ballard
32
T. Hume
22
R. Roefs

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Sunderland

Missing players

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

B. Humphreys

C. Roberts

A. Tuanzebe

J. Beyer

Forward

Z. Amdouni

A. Broja

Sunderland
Sunderland
Defender

D. Cirkin

A. Alese

L. Hjelde

N. Mukiele

Midfielder

L. O'Nien

R. Mundle

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Sunderland
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (4 Goals)
England J. Anthony (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France W. Isidor (4 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands Q. Hartman (4 Assists)
Best assists
Switzerland G. Xhaka (3 Assists)

Burnley - Sunderland Key Points

  1. The Under 2.5 goals is 2-1 in Burnley's last 3 games vs. Sunderland
  2. Sunderland are 2-1-2 in their last 5 games vs. Burnley
  3. Burnley average 1.54 total goals per game
  4. The Over 2.5 goals hit in each of the team's season starter games
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Our Burnley vs Sunderland Prediction

In examining each side’s form and talent, Burnley will rely on Lyle Foster to lead the line and on newcomers like Álex Moreno (if fit) at left back. Midfielders such as Jack Cork (if still there) and Ömer Toprak will have to organize things. Sunderland’s top players have the edge: Mayenda and Adingra provide pace up front, while Jack Clarke offers set-piece prowess.

Defensively, Dan Neil and Jan Robe Novak make Sunderland hard to break down. The predicted outcome leans toward Sunderland’s win. Their dominant opening performance and upward momentum suggest they can carry confidence into this match.

=11.0ptBurnley’s home advantage is real, but given Sunderland’s superiority at the moment, the likely result is a Sunderland victory – possibly by multiple goals if they break early – or at least a hard-fought win. A draw is also conceivable if Burnley regroup, but most signs favor the visitors in this matchup. Our prediction for Burnley vs Sunderland: Burnley to win a close game.

Prediction:

 

Burnley win both halves

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