Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction & Picks - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Mikaella McIntosh | in Premier League Picks
One of only two mid-afternoon EPL kickoffs this Saturday sees a Burnley side that is in dire need of a win welcome a Bournemouth team that have regained their footing in the league to the north-west of the country.
The Cherries had a massive wobble in the middle of the season after a very acceptable opening, but since then, in their most recent matches, Bournemouth have returned to sturdy ground, avoiding defeat in their last nine with four victories.
The visitor's immediate games have been pretty stagnant, totaling two goals from both ends in their last three, but going head-to-head with a fellow poor defensive side, there’s bound to be more action in this game.
Burnley have been more willing to attack in recent games, perhaps a last-ditch effort for Premier League survival, with seven goals put away in their last four. Unsurprisingly, this means that their already shocking defensive approach has been neglected, conceding multiple goals in six out of their last seven EPL games.
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Burnley vs Bournemouth Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
57 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Burnley and Bournemouth Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 9, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 27, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Feb 23, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 23, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup
Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 30, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 9, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 27, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 2, 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 3, 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 19, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup
Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League
Burnley against Bournemouth : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League
Mar 3, 2024 - Premier League
Oct 28, 2023 - Premier League
Jan 7, 2023 - FA Cup
Feb 9, 2021 - FA Cup
Feb 22, 2020 - Premier League
Burnley against Bournemouth Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Weiss
DefenderL. Pires
J. Worrall
L. Ugochukwu
F. Luis
ForwardA. Barnes
A. Broja
L. Tchaouna
M. Edwards
C. Mandas
DefenderB. Diakite
A. Jimenez
A. Toth
D. Brooks
V. Milosavljevic
ForwardA. Adli
B. Doak
E. Unal
Missing players
C. Roberts
A. Tuanzebe
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
ForwardM. Tresor
Z. Amdouni
J. Soler
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderL. Cook
J. Kluivert
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Bournemouth
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
E. Kroupi
(13 Goals)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
,
A. Truffert
(5 Assists)
Burnley - Bournemouth Key Points
- Flemming has scored two goals in his last two appearances.
- Zian Flemming is averaging 0.55 expected goals per game of this type.
- Flemming is averaging the highest number of goals per game for Burnley (0.62).
- In relevant home games, Flemming is averaging 4.00 shots per game.
- Bournemouth have conceded the second highest number of away goals.
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Our Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction
In contrast to their performances at home, Bournemouth are very open at the back when playing away from home, obtaining the second worst defensive record in the whole league. When Burnley have played in similar games, they have netted in five out of six, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
In said games, Fleming is shooting lots, as well as being the most impactful in terms of expected goals. He missed the last game, not due to injury, so he should be itching to get back out there, especially following his two goals in his last two appearances. In their recent home game against West Ham, for example, he had a whopping seven goal attempts. All things considered, this bet seems like a smart move.
Our Burnley vs Bournemouth Pick: Zian Flemming to Score.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
