Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea Prediction & Picks - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Burkina Faso
12/24/25 07:30
Equatorial Guinea

Prediction:

 

Burkina Faso to Win

-115
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 by Bradley Gibbs in AFCON Picks

Kicking off Tuesday's African Cup of Nations action we have a game between Burkina Faso and Equatorial Guinea, which will take place at Stade Mohamed V in Casablanca. Having performed well at this tournament in recent years, reaching the final in 2023, before reaching the semi finals in both 2017 and 2019, the Burkina Faso boys will be looking to impress. Now coached by Brama Traoré, the Stallions have plenty of quality, while they know how to get results, so don't be surprised to see them thrive in Morocco. 

A little less likely to impress are the men from Equatorial Guinea, who did reach the semi finals back in 2015, but that was on home soil. Since then, the team nicknamed National Thunder has failed to get close to being crowned as the best in the continent, going out in the last eight in 2021, before exiting at the last-16 stage in late 2023. Will they do better this time around? Recent form does not suggest so. 

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Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso
3 1 1 0 0 1
4
Equatorial Guinea
Equatorial Guinea
0 1 0 0 1 -1

Burkina Faso and Equatorial Guinea Latest Matches

Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso Latest matches
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Burkina Faso
3 :  0
Benin

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Burkina Faso
3 :  2
Niger

Oct 12, 2025 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
3 :  1
Ethiopia

Oct 8, 2025 - World Cup

Sierra Leone
0 :  1
Burkina Faso

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
0 :  0
Egypt

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Djibouti
0 :  6
Burkina Faso
W L D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Burkina Faso
3 :  0
Benin

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Burkina Faso
3 :  2
Niger

Oct 12, 2025 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
3 :  1
Ethiopia

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
0 :  0
Egypt

Aug 16, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Burkina Faso
1 :  2
Madagascar

Aug 6, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Burkina Faso
4 :  2
Central African Republic
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 8, 2025 - World Cup

Sierra Leone
0 :  1
Burkina Faso

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Djibouti
0 :  6
Burkina Faso

Aug 13, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Mauritania
1 :  0
Burkina Faso

Aug 2, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Tanzania
2 :  0
Burkina Faso

Jun 2, 2025 - International Friendlies

Tunisia
2 :  0
Burkina Faso

Mar 24, 2025 - World Cup

Guinea-Bissau
1 :  2
Burkina Faso
Equatorial Guinea
Equatorial Guinea Latest matches
D W L D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Nov 17, 2025 - International Friendlies

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  2
Madagascar

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  1
Equatorial Guinea

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Equatorial Guinea
1 :  1
Liberia

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Tunisia

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Sao Tome and Principe
2 :  3
Equatorial Guinea

Jun 9, 2025 - International Friendlies

Equatorial Guinea
1 :  1
Cameroon
W L D L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Nov 17, 2025 - International Friendlies

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  2
Madagascar

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Equatorial Guinea
1 :  1
Liberia

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Tunisia

Jun 9, 2025 - International Friendlies

Equatorial Guinea
1 :  1
Cameroon

Jun 6, 2025 - International Friendlies

Equatorial Guinea
1 :  2
Gambia

Mar 21, 2025 - World Cup

Equatorial Guinea
2 :  0
Sao Tome and Principe
L W L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  1
Equatorial Guinea

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Sao Tome and Principe
2 :  3
Equatorial Guinea

Mar 24, 2025 - World Cup

Namibia
1 :  1
Equatorial Guinea

Nov 17, 2024 - AFCON

Togo
3 :  0
Equatorial Guinea

Oct 14, 2024 - AFCON

Liberia
1 :  2
Equatorial Guinea

Sep 5, 2024 - AFCON

Algeria
2 :  0
Equatorial Guinea

Burkina Faso - Equatorial Guinea: Form Analysis

It's very hard to criticize the recent efforts of the Burkina Faso boys, let's be honest. We're talking about a team that enters the African Cup of Nations having won with regularity in recent times, winning each of their last four. Brama Traoré's men certainly know how to get the job done. When last in action, they trounced Benin by three goals to nil, which followed a 3-2 success against Niger. They've also scored three or more goals in each of their last three, losing just one of their previous seven. Unbeaten in six, five of which they've won, the Stallions should be feeling very confident in Casablanca. 

Unbeaten in six, five of which they've won, the Stallions should be feeling very confident in Casablanca. 

Let's be honest, the National Thunder probably won't be feeling as confident at Stade Mohamed V, where they'll be hoping to bounce back from what was a disappointing defeat against Madagascar last time out. On that occasion, they failed to score, which is now something that they've done in three of their last five games. 

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Burkina Faso against Equatorial Guinea Lineups: Starting 11

Burkina Faso

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
H. Koffi
25
S. Yago
14
I. Dayo
12
E. Tapsoba
26
A. Kouassi
20
G. Sangare
18
I. Ouedraogo
22
B. Toure
10
B. Traore
27
P. Kabore
7
D. Ouattara
7
J. Machin
24
L. Zuniga
19
L. Asue
22
P. Ganet
5
O. Mascarell
6
I. Salvador
11
Basilio Ndong
16
S. Coco
21
E. Orozco Fernandez
15
C. Akapo
1
J. Owono

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Equatorial Guinea

Burkina Faso & Equatorial Guinea Squad Analysis

Brama Traoré will be free to pick his best XI on Tuesday, with no current injuries to contend with. This means that the likes of Bertrand Traore and Dango Outtara, both of whom are currently playing regular football in the English Premier League, will feature from the outset. Ligue 1 defender Arsene Kouassi, who plays for Lorient, is also expected to start, while the star of the show at the back will be Leverkusen's Edmond Tapsoba. 

the star of the show at the back will be Leverkusen's Edmond Tapsoba. 

Unfortunately, the Equatorial Guinea starting XI is not likely to feature many big-name players. Head coach Juan Michá doesn't really have any top-level players to call upon, with Torino's Saul Coco standing out as the pick of the bunch. The defender currently operates in Serie A and is one of only two players playing in the so called big five European leagues. The other is Jose Nabil, who is currently under contract at French Ligue 1 side Nantes, though he is yet to feature for the first XI. 

Burkina Faso - Equatorial Guinea Key Points

  1. The Stallions come into this opening game off the back of a win.
  2. The Stallions have also won each of their last four games against African opponents.
  3. In their last four against African teams, the Stallions have scored an impressive ten goals.
  4. In their last four games against African teams, the Equatorial Guinea boys have scored just two goals.
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Our Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea Prediction

It's not that this Equatorial Guinea team is the type to get steam rollered on a regular basis, but we are talking about a side that lacks final-third quality, which is going to be a problem against a high-scoring Burkina Faso outfit. Let's face it, the Stallions have some very capable offensive players, and they're in the habit of both creating chances and scoring goals. 

For my money, the difference in offensive quality between these two teams is greater than the early odds suggest. Therefore, the Burkina Faso victory should be priced a little shorter. In other words, betting on the Stallions to win at odds of -115 offers some value for money. 

Our Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea Pick: Burkina Faso to Win. 

Prediction:

 

Burkina Faso to Win

-115
$200 offered for betting!

Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea - Other Interesting Picks

Dango Outtara to Score

Odds +225
EPL forward Dango Outtara is one of Burkina Faso's standout forward performers, and against a team like Equatorial Guinea, the Brentford man should carry a signifcant threat. After all this is a man who scored four goals in World Cup qualifying not too long ago, scoring twice in three AFCON qualifying appearances too. Having operated at a higher level, playing against some of the best EPL defenses in recent weeks, Outtara is worth betting on thrive here.
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Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea match : Frequently asked questions

Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea will be played at Stade Mohamed V, situated in the city of Casablanca.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea Picks