Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction & Picks - Rolex Paris Masters
ATP - Rolex Paris Masters
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by Lou Aguila in Rolex Paris Masters Picks
Over 28.5 games at +135 is drawing a lot of buzz in the betting market as servebots Brandon Nakashima and Matteo Berrettini go head-to-head in the first round of the 2026 Paris Masters.
Current Form:
After reaching the quarterfinals at Lyon, Brandon Nakashima bombed out in the first round in Vienna, losing to Tallon Griekspoor 1-6, 6-4, 6-7.
Matteo Berrettini reached the quarterfinals at the 2026 Vienna Open. The Italian defeated Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3, 6-4 and Flavio Cobolli 5-2 ret. before losing to Alex De Minaur 6-7, 2-6 in the final eight.
The Matchup: Nakashima and Berrettini are 1-1 in their head-to-head series, with Nakashima posting a straight-set win over the Italian 7-6, 7-5 at the 2026 Shanghai Masters.
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Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini Form
Brandon Nakashima and Matteo Berrettini Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 28, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 23, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
Oct 22, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
Oct 20, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
Oct 11, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 30, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 26, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 20, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 7, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 3, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Brandon Nakashima against Matteo Berrettini : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Jan 16, 2022 - ATP Australian Open
Brandon Nakashima - Matteo Berrettini Key Points
- Brandon Nakashima is 4-3 in indoor matches in 2026.
- Brandon Nakashima is 16-16 vs. top-50 players in 2026.
- Matteo Berrettini is 2-2 in indoor matches in 2026.
- Matteo Berrettini is 3-4 vs, top-20 players in 2026.
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Our Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction
Key Stats: Matteo Berrettini has dropped only 3 service games but has converted only 3 of 19 break points in four indoor matches in 2026.
Brandon Nakashima has also dominated on serve but failed to convert most of his break chances. The American has conceded 9 service breaks and converted 34 percent of break chances in 6 indoor matches in 2026.
Betting Analysis: Given both players are almost unbreakable on serve and struggling to generate or convert break chances, the best move here is to back over 28.5 games (+135). Believe that this match has the potential to go three sets and demand a lot of games to determine a winner.
Fearless Forecast: Brandon Nakashima wins 7-6, 6-7, 6-4
Our betting prediction for Brandon Nakashima vs. Matteo Berrettini: Over 28.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
