Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction & Picks - ATP Chengdu Open

ATP - ATP Chengdu Open

ATP 33 USA
Brandon Nakashima
9/22/25 05:00
ATP 112 Chile
Alejandro Tabilo

Prediction:

 

Brandon Nakashima -3.5 Games

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 by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Brandon Nakashima of the United States will lock horns with Alejandro Tabilo for a place in the final of the 2025 Chengdu Open on Monday.

Nakashima, a-220 favorite, is 1-1 against the fiery Chilean Tabilo in their head-to-head series.

Current Form:

Nakashima punched his ticket to the semifinal round of the 2025 Chengdu Open with a tough three-set victory over compatriot Marcos Giron 6-3 2-6 7-6(3). Nakashima needed to come through with the clutch point in the third set tiebreaker to keep his championship bid alive in this tournament. Nakashima, who also defeated China’s Juncheng Shang 7-5 6-3 in the first round, is 17-11 on the hard court in 2025.

Facing Nakashima in the semifinals is Tabilo, who also survived a three-set duel with Christopher O’Connell 4-6, 7-5, 6-2 in the quarterfinals. After falling to Alexander Zverev in the first round of the 2025 US Open, Tabilo has gone 5-0 in Chengdu, beating top-100 caliber players such as Jordan Thompson, Luciano Darderi, and O’Connell. Tabilo is 13-10 on the hard court in 2025.

Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo Form

Brandon Nakashima and Alejandro Tabilo Latest Matches

Brandon Nakashima Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 21, 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Marcos Giron
1 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

Sep 19, 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Juncheng Shang
0 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  3
Jerome Kym

Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open

Brandon Nakashima
3 :  2
Jesper De Jong

Aug 12, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Brandon Nakashima
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Aug 10, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  1
Alexander Blockx
Alejandro Tabilo Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 21, 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Christopher O'Connell
1 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

Sep 19, 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi

Sep 18, 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Jordan Thompson
0 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

Sep 17, 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  1
Lloyd Harris

Sep 16, 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  0
Rigele TE

Sep 14, 2025 - ATP Challenger Guangzhou 2, China Men Singles

Alejandro Tabilo
0 :  2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Brandon Nakashima against Alejandro Tabilo : Head to Head (H2H)

Brandon Nakashima

50 %

Alejandro Tabilo

50 %

Sep 11, 2024 - Davis Cup

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  1
Alejandro Tabilo

Mar 21, 2024 - ATP Miami

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  1
Brandon Nakashima
Compare Brandon Nakashima and Alejandro Tabilo with our comparison tool.

Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Tabilo Key Points

  1. Brandon Nakashima defeated Marcos Giron 6-3 2-6 7-6(3) in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Chengdu Open.
  2. Brandon Nakashima is 17-11 on the hard court in 2025.
  3. Alejandro Tabilo defeated Christopher O’Connell 4-6, 7-5, 6-2 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Chengdu Open.
  4. Alejandro Tabilo is 13-10 on the hard court in 2025.

Our Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction

Brandon Nakashima seems like a solid pick to cover -2.5 games against Alejandro Tabilo. The American is 17-11 on the hard court this year and 6-5 against players ranked from top-21 to top-50 on the ATP World Rankings. Meanwhile, Tabilo is only 2-5 against the ATP top-50.

The fact that he had to win five consecutive matches to secure a semifinal seat raises questions about his endurance ahead of his matchup against a technically sound Nakashima, who can take the ball early or score points in long rallies. Of course, Tabilo will not go down without a fight. He will try to give Nakashima his toughest match of this competition, but the American will have this one in the bag via a straight-set win. 

Fearless Forecast: Brandon Nakashima defeats Alejandro Tabilo 6-3, 6-4

Our betting prediction for Brandon Nakashima vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Brandon Nakashima -3.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Brandon Nakashima -3.5 Games

+150
$400+ offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo Picks