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Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Bournemouth
5/10/25 11:30
Aston Villa

Prediction:

 

Dango Outtara to Score or Assist.

+170
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

The final game to kick off on Saturday is one of few games due to take place this weekend that has something riding on it for both teams. When Bournemouth and Aston Villa clash at Vitality Stadium, they will both be looking to win to give themselves the best possible chance of securing European soccer for next season. For the Cherries, a win on Saturday would be massive, as not only would it put them in the driving seat to secure eighth place (which may be enough for Conference League qualification) but it would also put them just four points behind seventh. 

As far as the visitors are concerned, it's all about making sure that they do not drop out of the top seven. If they do, then they may not be playing on the continent next season, which would be a clear step in the wrong direction. Fortunately, a top-seven finish is very much in the hands of Unai Emery's men, who should have renewed confidence following last weekend's hard-fought win against Fulham. 

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Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
60 35 17 9 9 6
8
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
53 35 14 11 10 13

Bournemouth and Aston Villa Latest Matches

Bournemouth
Bournemouth Latest matches
L D W D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Apr 27, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Bournemouth

Apr 14, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  0
Fulham

Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  2
Ipswich Town
D L L L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 27, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 14, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  0
Fulham

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  2
Ipswich Town

Mar 30, 2025 - FA Cup

Bournemouth
1 :  2
Manchester City

Mar 15, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  2
Brentford

Mar 1, 2025 - FA Cup

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Wolves
W L D D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Bournemouth

Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Mar 9, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Feb 25, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Bournemouth

Feb 15, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  3
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Fulham

Apr 26, 2025 - FA Cup

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 22, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  1
Newcastle

Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
PSG

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Aston Villa
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Fulham

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  1
Newcastle

Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
PSG

Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Mar 20, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Al Ain FC

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  0
Club Brugge
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2025 - FA Cup

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 22, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Apr 9, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Mar 30, 2025 - FA Cup

Preston North End
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Bournemouth against Aston Villa : Head to Head (H2H)

Bournemouth

33 %

Draw

33 %

Aston Villa

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Oct 26, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Bournemouth

Apr 21, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Bournemouth

Dec 3, 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Aston Villa

Mar 18, 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  0
Bournemouth

Aug 6, 2022 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Aston Villa

Feb 1, 2020 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Aston Villa v Bournemouth last Lineups

Bournemouth

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
K. Arrizabalaga
22
J. Araujo
27
I. Zabarnyi
2
D. Huijsen
3
M. Kerkez
4
L. Cook
12
T. Adams
16
M. Tavernier
19
J. Kluivert
11
D. Ouattara
9
Evanilson
11
O. Watkins
7
J. McGinn
21
M. Asensio
27
M. Rogers
8
Y. Tielemans
44
B. Kamara
22
I. Maatsen
14
P. Torres
4
E. Konsa
2
M. Cash
23
E. Martinez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Aston Villa

Missing players

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Forward

E. Unal

L. Sinisterra

R. Christie

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Forward

M. Rashford

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bournemouth
CD Huachipato Aston Villa
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands J. Kluivert (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England O. Watkins (16 Goals)
Best assists
England M. Tavernier (6 Assists)
Best assists
England O. Watkins (11 Assists)

Bournemouth and Aston Villa Stats in Premier League

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
40%
Victories
49%
31%
Draw
26%
29%
Defeats
26%
2.77
Total goals per match
2.97
1.57
Goals scored per match
1.57
1.2
Goals conceded per match
1.4
57%
Over 2.5
69%
43%
Under 2.5
31%
63%
BTTS
66%
23%
No goals conceded
20%

Bournemouth - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. This season in the EPL, Dango Outtara averages 0.49 goals and assists per 90 minutes.
  2. Also in the EPL this term, Dango Outtara averages 0.62 expected goals and expected assisted goals per 90 minutes.
  3. Of all Bournemouth's regular players, Dango Outtara is the best performer in terms of average expected assisted goals.
  4. Dango Outtara has taken six shots in his last three games for Bournemouth.
Up to $1500 to bet on Bournemouth - Aston Villa! 

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Our Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction

We've seen several impressive performers for Bournemouth in the final third this season, with the likes of Justin Kluivert, Evanilson and Antoine Semenyo often receiving lots of credit, though we shouldn't ignore Dango Outtara, who has quietly gone about his business, delivering a very respectable 11 goals and assists. Having played regularly of late, the Burkina Faso international has looked lively, while he's shown a clear hunger to make a difference in the final third. He was super unlucky not to score against United recently, hitting the inside of the post, while his average of 0.62 expected goals and expected assisted goals per 90 minutes simply makes odds of +170 look generous. Our Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Pick: Dango Outtara to Score or Assist. 

Prediction:

 

Dango Outtara to Score or Assist.

+170
$1500 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Picks
Up to $1500 to bet on Bournemouth - Aston Villa! 

Limited Offer. Currently at BetMGM