Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
Momentum: the Boston Red Sox (12-17) have won their last 3 games, including the series opener against the Toronto Blue Jays, 5-0, on Monday. The Toronto Blue Jays (12-16) have lost 3 of their last 5 to fall to 12-16 in the season.
The Matchup: The Red Sox have won 3 of their last 4 meetings with the Jays.
Offense: Boston averages 4.2 runs per game on a .234 BA this season. Toronto is batting .248 with 4.0 runs per game.
Starting Pitchers: Red Sox left-handed pitcher Payton Tolle (0-0, 1.50 ERA) vs. Blue Jays right-handed pitcher Trey Yesavage.
Tolle pitched six innings, giving up one earned run and striking 11 batters in a 2-4 loss to the New York Yankees on April 23. Yesavage will be making his season debut against the Red Sox. The 22-year-old pitcher had an amazing postseason run last year, highlighted by his stellar performance in Game 6 of the World Series, where he threw one run and 12 strikeouts over seven innings against the LA Dodgers in Game 6.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
21
|
0.47 | 83 | 39 | 44 |
|
24
|
0.432 | 81 | 35 | 46 |
Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 27, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 27, 2026 - MLB
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Apr 12, 2026 - MLB
Apr 11, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 22, 2026 - MLB
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Apr 17, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 27, 2026 - MLB
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Apr 24, 2026 - MLB
Apr 23, 2026 - MLB
Apr 22, 2026 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Apr 23, 2026 - MLB
Apr 22, 2026 - MLB
Apr 21, 2026 - MLB
Apr 20, 2026 - MLB
Apr 19, 2026 - MLB
Apr 18, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 27, 2026 - MLB
Apr 26, 2026 - MLB
Apr 25, 2026 - MLB
Apr 24, 2026 - MLB
Apr 15, 2026 - MLB
Apr 14, 2026 - MLB
Toronto Blue Jays against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Apr 27, 2026 - MLB
Mar 2, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Feb 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
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Toronto Blue Jays - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games against Boston.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto.
- Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Toronto.
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Our Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Back the Under 7.5 runs.
Tolle and Yesavage are two top-tier starters who can dominate batters through five or six innings.
The bullpens of both teams have also posted solid numbers over the last five games, with Boston’s relief pitchers sporting a 3.86 ERA and Toronto’s firemen commanding a 3.20 ERA.
The trends have also been leaning towards the Under based on the results of their recent meeting. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games against Boston and 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston.
Our betting prediction for the Boston Red Sox vs. the Toronto Blue Jays: Under 7.5 Runs
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