Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Tampa Bay Rays have lost four of their last five games, including the last two games in their recent series against the Miami Marlins. The Rays still hold the No.1 spot of the American League East with a 37-25 record, but they have lost their lead on the 38-26 New York Yankees following their recent setbacks.
The Boston Red Sox have gone 2-3 in their last five assignments. Boston split their series against the Yankees, winning Game 1 5-3 before absorbing a 1-6 defeat in Game 2. Over the last five games, the Red Sox have produced 3.7 runs per game on a .244 batting average.
Starting Pitchers: Red Sox LHP Connelly Early (5-3, 3.26 ERA) allowed 4 earned runs over 5.1 innings in a 2-4 loss to Baltimore on June 2. Early hopes to find his groove against the Rays, whom he blanked through seven innings in a victorious start on May 8.
Rays LHP Ian Seymour (3-0, 5.23 ERA) will start for the second time this season. In his last mound appearance on June 2, Seymour conceded 3 earned runs over 2.0 innings in a 0-8 loss to Detroit.
Key Stats: The Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 road games. The Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.597 | 62 | 37 | 25 |
|
25
|
0.429 | 63 | 27 | 36 |
Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jun 7, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 3, 2026 - MLB
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Jun 1, 2026 - MLB
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jun 7, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 7, 2026 - MLB
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May 31, 2026 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 4, 2026 - MLB
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Jun 2, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jun 7, 2026 - MLB
Jun 5, 2026 - MLB
May 31, 2026 - MLB
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Tampa Bay Rays against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
May 10, 2026 - MLB
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Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
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Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.
- Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
- Boston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games against Tampa Bay.
- Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
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Our Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
The Red Sox will claim the win in Game 1.
Aside from shutting down Tampa Bay's offense a few weeks ago, Early has only allowed two earned runs over 11 innings pitched against the Rays. Tampa Bay is hitting .160 with 3.3 runs per game against left-handed pitchers in their last 10 games.
The decision to start Seymour, who allowed three earned runs in his last mound appearance, could hurt the Rays’ chances to win this game. Tampa Bay is 0-3 in Seymour’s last three stints, which serves as a warning sign for bettors who will fall into the Rays +100 moneyline trap.
Our betting prediction for the Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: The Red Sox will win
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