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by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks
The Phillies will host the Boston Red Sox at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia in a three-game series. Game One of this series is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. EST.
Both teams got the second half of the season off to a rough start, losing two of three games over the weekend. Boston dropped the first two vs. the Cubs in Chicago, 4-12 and 6-1. But the offense came alive in the series finale, and they won the finale, 6-1. Philadelphia lost its opener vs. the Los Angeles Angels 6-5 but bounced back and won the second 9-5, but lost the series finale Sunday 8-2. The Red Sox have Walker Buehler scheduled to start. Buehler has gone 6-6 in 16 starts with a 6.12 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, and .282 OBA. He has had a hard time on the road this season, going 3-4 in eight starts with an 8.66 ERA and .342 OBA. Philadelphia is scheduled to start Zack Wheeler. Wheeler is 9-3 in 19 starts with a 2.36 ERA, .86 WHIP, and .181 OBA. He has been at his best at home, where he is 6-1 in ten starts with a 1.91 ERA and .164 OBA.
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Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
7
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0.566 | 99 | 56 | 43 |
11
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0.535 | 101 | 54 | 47 |
Boston Red Sox and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 20, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Jul 4, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 13, 2025 - MLB
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Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 7, 2025 - MLB
Boston Red Sox against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Mar 11, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Feb 28, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Jun 13, 2024 - MLB
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Mar 14, 2024 - MLB Spring Training
Boston Red Sox - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points
- Boston leads the all-time series vs. Philadelphia 56-36.
- Wheeler allowed one earned run in his last home start, a home run; it was the only hit he surrendered in a complete game; he surrendered three total runs across his last five starts.
- Buehler only gave up two earned runs in his last road start, but has given up a total of 25 across his last five road starts.
- Betting Public: 85% of runline tickets and 91% of the handle are on Philadelphia.
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
What do you get when you take a struggling pitcher and give him a road start (where he happens to play his worst), and his opponent is one of the best homefield pitchers in baseball? You get a one-sided, ugly game, which in this case means a win for the Phillies. Boston’s lineup doesn’t stand a chance against Wheeler; I expect fireworks from the Philly lineup vs. Buehler.
Our Boston vs. Philadelphia Pick: Phillies -2.5 (alt runline)
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