New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Yankees
10/1/25 18:08
Boston Red Sox

Prediction:

 

Red Sox +1.5.

-160
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 by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks

In Game 1 of the wild-card series between Boston and the Yankees, which had everyone on the edge of their seats, the Red Sox took Game 1 with a Hall of Famer-worthy start from Crochet, who retired 17 consecutive Yankees. From the batter's box, he was helped at just the right moment by Yoshida, with an RBI single that turned the score around, and in the ninth inning, Bregman, with a double that brought in Story, drove in Boston's third run, closing out the key Game 1 in favor of the Sox 3-1 at Yankee Stadium.

The Yankees put up a fight; in fact, they were -135 favorites in the betting to win it, and Max Fried had another diligent outing. He pitched a quality outing, pitching 6.1 innings, striking out 6, but then Weaver, with little control, came in to relieve him in the inning in which Yoshida turned the game around for the visitors.

The Yankees almost came back in the 9th inning; that's when the Yankees' big bats responded, finally removing Crochet and bringing in Cuban closer Chapman. Goldschmidt, Judge, and Bellinger each singled to load the bases with no outs, but the Cuban closer rallied after a mound visit, striking out Stanton, dominating Chisholm, and striking out Grisham again to give Boston the first win of an electric series.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Form

New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches

New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  3
Chicago White Sox

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  1
Chicago White Sox
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  3
Chicago White Sox

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  1
Chicago White Sox
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  7
New York Yankees

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  6
New York Yankees

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  2
New York Yankees

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  7
New York Yankees

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  10
New York Yankees

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
9 :  10
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  2
Detroit Tigers

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  7
Boston Red Sox
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  2
Detroit Tigers

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  5
Athletics

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  4
Athletics

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  2
Athletics
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  7
Boston Red Sox

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
7 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  6
Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Yankees

50 %

Boston Red Sox

50 %

Sep 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  4
New York Yankees

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  5
New York Yankees

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  4
New York Yankees

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  12
Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees - Boston Red Sox Key Points

  1. The Yankees struck out 13 times in Tuesday's game
  2. The Red Sox now lead the series against the Yankees this year at 10-4
  3. Volpe homered for the Yankees in the second inning
  4. 22-25: The Red Sox's record this season as betting underdogs, playing away from Fenway Park

Our New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

While criticized Aaron Boone's approach to Game 1, the truth is that Cora did a great job, taking a risk and getting the most out of Crochet, jumping directly to Aroldis Chapman and trusting him after three consecutive hits. He sent Eaton to stretch a single into a double, testing Judge's injured arm; after that, Yoshida hit the RBI single. In the ninth, he took a risk and stole second base with Story, before Bregman's RBI double.

Without a doubt, Game 2 will also be an intense one, with more left-handers in the Yankees lineup, likely including Ben Rice.

The pitching duel will be between Brayan Bello for the Red Sox, with a record of 11-9 this season, with an ERA of 3.35 and who allowed 16 HRs against Carlos Rodón for NY, who recorded an impressive 18 wins this year, but Yankees lost the last 3 times he faced the Red Sox.

Our prediciton for Red Sox vs Yankees is: Red Sox +1.5.

Prediction:

 

Red Sox +1.5.

-160
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New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Picks