New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 7/12/26, 10:08 AM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 7/13/26 at 3:58 AM in MLB Picks

Flexing a 0.90 ERA over the last five games, the Boston Red Sox will go for a sweep over the New York Mets on Sunday.

The Mets, who are averaging 0.9 runs per game against lefties in their last five games, will face the Red Sox’s left-handed pitcher Payton Tolle.

Current Form:

The Boston Red Sox have won their last eight games and will be gunning for a sweep against the New York Mets. Boston has been one of the most formidable pitching teams in the MLB this season with a 3.61 ERA. However, the Red Sox have become almost unhittable over the last five games, boasting an impeccable 0.80 ERA.

Aside from back-to-back losses to the Red Sox, the Mets have lost 3 of their last 5 games and dropped to 40-56 in the season. Although New York is putting up solid numbers at the plate over the last five games (.274 BA with 5.7 rpg)the Mets have pitched to a 5.60 ERA in this stretch.

Starting Pitchers:

Red Sox LHP Payton Tolle (5-6, 3.14 ERA) has maintained a 4.00 ERA over his last five starts, but the lefty has just delivered two shutouts in his last three starts.

Mets LHP Zach Thornton (0-1, 4.35 ERA) surrendered one run over 6.0 innings in a 1-2 loss to the Phillies on June 26.

The Matchup: Aside from winning their last eight games, the Red Sox have won 4 of their last 5 meetings with the Mets. They have also covered the spread in each of these wins.