New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
7/10/26 19:15
Boston Red Sox

Prediction:

 

Boston Red Sox ML

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 by Matt Lowrimore in MLB Picks

A full 15-game MLB slate is scheduled for Friday, which will include an Interleague matchup between the New York Mets and the Boston Red Sox. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Mets and the Red Sox.

Boston enters this game with a record of 43-48 and is currently in fourth place in the AL East division. Coming off a series sweep over the Chicago White Sox, the Red Sox have now won six games in a row and eight of their last 10. Heading into this series against the Mets, Boston is scheduled to start Sonny Gray in Game 1, who has a record of 10-1 and an ERA of 2.61.

As for New York, they enter this game with a record of 40-54 and are in last place in the NL East division. Starting this game for the Mets will be Nolan McLean, who has a record of 6-5 and an ERA of 3.73. While his overall numbers are solid, his numbers at home are not, making a Boston win more likely.

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New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
20 Boston Red Sox
0.473 91 43 48
26 New York Mets
0.426 94 40 54

New York Mets and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 9, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jul 8, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Jul 7, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  16
Kansas City Royals

Jul 6, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  7
New York Mets

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
9 :  10
New York Mets

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
14 :  3
New York Mets
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 9, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jul 8, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Jul 7, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  16
Kansas City Royals

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 6, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  7
New York Mets

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
9 :  10
New York Mets

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
14 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9 :  3
New York Mets

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
0 :  3
New York Mets
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jul 9, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
1 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Jul 8, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
0 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Jul 7, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
1 :  8
Boston Red Sox

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
5 :  7
Boston Red Sox

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
1 :  8
Boston Red Sox

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
2 :  5
Boston Red Sox
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  10
Washington Nationals

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  8
Washington Nationals

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  3
Washington Nationals

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  4
New York Yankees

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  1
New York Yankees

Jun 26, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  1
New York Yankees
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jul 9, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
1 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Jul 8, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
0 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Jul 7, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
1 :  8
Boston Red Sox

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
5 :  7
Boston Red Sox

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
1 :  8
Boston Red Sox

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
2 :  5
Boston Red Sox

New York Mets against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

67 %

Boston Red Sox

33 %

May 21, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  5
New York Mets

May 20, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  0
New York Mets

May 19, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  1
New York Mets

Sep 4, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 3, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Sep 2, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  1
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Picks

New York Mets - Boston Red Sox Key Points

  1. Sonny Gray has an ERA of 2.61 this season
  2. Sonny Gray has an ERA of 3.05 on the road this season
  3. Nolan McLean has an ERA of 3.73 this season
  4. Nolan McLean has an ERA of 5.03 at home this season
Up to $200 to bet on New York Mets - Boston Red Sox! 

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Our New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Despite their horrible record, the Mets are the betting favorite; however, the Red Sox look to be the best betting option. For one, Boston looks to have the clear edge in pitching, especially when it comes to the home/away splits.

Gray has made eight starts on the road this season, having allowed 16 runs (15 earned) over 44.1 innings. McLean, on the other hand, has made nine home starts this season, in which he has allowed 28 runs (27 earned) over 48.1 innings.

Overall, Boston is also in much better form compared to the Mets; therefore, our New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox prediction is: Boston Red Sox ML.

Prediction:

 

Boston Red Sox ML

+113
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.