Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Detroit Tigers will try to level the series with the Boston Red Sox in Game 2 on Tuesday. The Tigers offer a +110 price if they overcome a 1.5-run handicap in this game.
Current Form:
The Boston Red Sox claimed their second win in six games after edging the Detroit Tigers, 5-4, in Game 1 of their series. The win, however, hasn’t helped the Red Sox’s odds of winning Game 2. Caesars still view them as heavy underdogs at +158 moneyline and -130 on the +1.5-game on the spread line.
Boston bumps up their average run per game over the last five games to 2.6 runs after scoring at least five runs in a match for the first time since beating the Toronto Blue Jays 5-0 on April 27. The Red Sox have also lowered their ERA to 3.80 over the last five games.
Aside from the loss in the series opener, Detroit got a double black eye on Monday after learning that two-time CY Young Award winner Tarik Skubal will miss several months because of an elbow injury. With their ace pitcher sidelined for the foreseeable future, the Tigers will now have to rely more on their other starters and their vaunted bullpen, which has commanded an outstanding 2.33 ERA over the last five games.
The Tigers remain a strong offensive unit, averaging 5.2 runs per game on a .247 BA over the last five games. In their last three meeting against Boston, Detroit has averaged 5.33 runs and 8.33 hits per game.
Starting Pitchers: Red Sox LHP Jovani Moran (0-0, 2.33 ERA)_vs. Tigers LHP Framber Valdez (2-1, 3.35 ERA).
Moran is scheduled for his first start after coming off the bullpen in his last 10 mound appearances this season. Valdez has been steady since giving up 8 runs over 5 innings against Minnesota on April 8. The veteran has guided the Tigers to three wins in his last four starts, during which he has surrendered 6 earned runs over 23.1 innings.
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Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
24
|
0.432 | 81 | 35 | 46 |
|
25
|
0.422 | 83 | 35 | 48 |
Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches
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Detroit Tigers against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
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Detroit Tigers - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
- Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit.
- Detroit is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home.
- Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston.
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Our Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Hot Take: The Tigers will level the series at 1-1 with a strong win over the Red Sox in Game 2.
Valdez is poised to replicate his strong performance against Boston on April 19, in which he stifled the Red Sox’s offense by allowing one earned run over six innings. Detroit’s bullpen will also be a factor in this game after posting a rock-solid 2.33 ERA over the last five games. Detroit holds a 12-4 slate against the spread in their 16 games at Comerica Park, reinforcing the chances of overcoming a -1.5-run handicap valued at +110.
As for Boston, the Red Sox are 8-11 on the road this season. Their pitchers are much more hittable on the road, with a 4.66 ERA. Again, trusting their offense to outscore Detroit for the second straight game would require a lot of belief, as Boston has averaged only 2.6 runs per game over the last five games.
Our betting prediction for the Boston Red Sox vs. the Detroit Tigers: The Tigers -1.5 runs.
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