Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
Listed at +109 moneyline, the Cincinnati Reds will be leaning on starter Andrew Abbott to guide them past the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of their season-opening series on Thursday.
Momentum: The Reds finished their Spring Training with a 0-3 record, giving up 21 runs and scoring only four runs in this stretch. The Red Sox are in the same boat, losing four of their last five games, including back-to-back blowout losses to the Minnesota Twins.
The Matchup: This is the first of a three-game season-opening series for the Red Sox and the Reds. Boston’s lefty Garrett Crochet (18-5, 2.59 ERA) will try to kick off a fresh season with another dominant outing on the mound, while another lefty in Andrew Abbott (10-7, 2.87 ERA) looks to outshine in their first meeting this season.
The Betting Board: Playing on the road, the Red Sox are -156 favorites and +109 on the -1.5 run line. The Reds are +129 underdogs here and -131 at +1.5 runs. The total has been set at over/under 8 runs.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
0.542 | 118 | 64 | 54 |
|
21
|
0.479 | 117 | 56 | 61 |
Cincinnati Reds and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Mar 24, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 18, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 18, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 17, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 14, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 13, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 11, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Mar 24, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 18, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 16, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Mar 24, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 19, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 19, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 17, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 15, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 13, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Mar 24, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 18, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 14, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 12, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Cincinnati Reds against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
Jul 2, 2025 - MLB
Jul 1, 2025 - MLB
Jun 30, 2025 - MLB
Jun 21, 2024 - MLB
May 30, 2023 - MLB
Cincinnati Reds - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 7 games.
- Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing at home against Boston.
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Our Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Reds protect home turf with a 3-2 win.
Best Bet: The Reds are 7-2 in their last 9 games at home. His matchup with Garrett Crochett is going to be entertaining to watch, but Andrew Abbott could pull off a W here. Cincinnati’s slugging was dreadful in the preseason, especially in the last few games, but expect manager Terry Francona to make the necessary adjustments to make the offense productive again. Get me the Reds at +109 moneyline.
Secondary Pick: Under 8 runs. When you have Grochett and Abbott starting on the same game, it’s only natural not to expect many runs from both teams. Moreover, the total has gone UNDER in 14 of Cincinnati's last 20 games against Boston and 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road.
Our betting prediction for the Boston Red Sox vs. the Cincinnati Reds: The Reds will win
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
