Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
8/25/25 18:35
Boston Red Sox

Prediction:

 

UNDER 9.5

-120
$350 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox are scheduled to face the Baltimore Orioles in a four-game series this week. Game One of the series is today at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and it’s scheduled to get underway at  6:35 p.m. EST. Boston comes into the series fresh off winning three of four games against the Yankees in New York to improve to 71-60. However, they are still five games back of Toronto in the AL East and only have a one-game cushion securing their spot as a wild card team. Baltimore is not mathematically eliminated from the postseason, but they are 9.5 games back for the final wild card slot.

The Red Sox appear to be going with a bullpen approach today and have Brennan Bernardino scheduled to start.  Bernardino has a 4-2 record in 49 appearances (one start) with a 2.93 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and a .196 OBA. He has gone 1-1 on the road in 23 appearances with a 3.0 ERA and .200 OBA in 21 innings. As for the Orioles, Tomoyuki Sugano is scheduled to start. Sugano has a 10-5 record in 24 starts with a 3.97 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and a .262 OBA. In 12 home starts, he has gone 7-2  with a 3.95 ERA and .257 OBA.

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
9 Boston Red Sox
0.549 162 89 73
24 Baltimore Orioles
0.463 162 75 87

Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Houston Astros

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
8 :  9
Houston Astros

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
7 :  10
Houston Astros

Aug 21, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  7
Houston Astros

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 18, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  6
Baltimore Orioles
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Houston Astros

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
8 :  9
Houston Astros

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
7 :  10
Houston Astros

Aug 21, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  7
Houston Astros

Aug 14, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  3
Seattle Mariners

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  3
Seattle Mariners
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 18, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 17, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
0 :  12
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
0 :  7
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  5
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  12
Boston Red Sox

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
0 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Aug 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 18, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  6
Baltimore Orioles
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 18, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 17, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  7
Kansas City Royals
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  12
Boston Red Sox

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
0 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Aug 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  14
Boston Red Sox

Baltimore Orioles against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)

Baltimore Orioles

50 %

Boston Red Sox

50 %

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 18, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

May 25, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  5
Baltimore Orioles

May 24, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  5
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 3, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  8
Boston Red Sox

Apr 2, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Baltimore Orioles - Boston Red Sox Key Points

  1. Boston leads the all-time series vs. Baltimore 1271-1050-13.
  2. Boston’s bullpen has a 3.41 ERA (third best in baseball).
  3. Boston is 18-15 since the break, while Baltimore is 17-18.
  4. Betting Public: 45% of TOTAL tickets and 47% of the handle are on the UNDER (9.5).

Our Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Both teams have hit the ball well over the last week, with Boston hitting .258 and Baltimore .251, with each team scoring 24 runs across their last five games. Sugano just pitched five solid innings vs. Boston last Tuesday, holding them to five hits and one run. Bernardino pitched a scoreless inning in the same game. Sugano can hold the Boston offense in check, but the bullpen may give the game away. Boston’s bullpen has been solid all year long. The Orioles won both games last week, but I feel like either team could win what will be a low-scoring game today.

Our Red Sox vs. Orioles Pick: UNDER 9.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 9.5

-120
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Picks