Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Dan Angell | in MLB Picks
The Boston Red Sox (63-56 SU, 54-65 ATS) begin a critical weekend series against the Baltimore Orioles (71-50 SU, 66-55 ATS). If the Red Sox are going to get into the postseason, they have to figure out how to beat either the Orioles or the New York Yankees. Right now, the Red Sox sit a full seven games behind the Orioles, and their recent regression has seen both the Minnesota Twins and the Kansas City Royals put the Sox in the rearview mirror.
The reality is that Boston is seeing its postseason hopes fade away because the Red Sox’ deficit is just too big to overcome. And the Red Sox really have the wrong opponent to try to course correct against. Not only do the Orioles need to win to get back into first place, but they’ve owned the Red Sox in 2024.
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Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
0.562 | 162 | 91 | 71 |
|
18
|
0.5 | 162 | 81 | 81 |
Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 14, 2024 - MLB
Aug 13, 2024 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 14, 2024 - MLB
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Jul 31, 2024 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 10, 2024 - MLB
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Aug 7, 2024 - MLB
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Aug 4, 2024 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 14, 2024 - MLB
Aug 13, 2024 - MLB
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Aug 5, 2024 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 14, 2024 - MLB
Aug 13, 2024 - MLB
Aug 12, 2024 - MLB
Aug 10, 2024 - MLB
Jul 31, 2024 - MLB
Jul 30, 2024 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 6, 2024 - MLB
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Aug 4, 2024 - MLB
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Jul 23, 2024 - MLB
Baltimore Orioles against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
May 29, 2024 - MLB
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Baltimore Orioles - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- The Orioles are 5-1 against Boston in 2024.
- The under has not cashed in any of the teams’ six meetings in 2024.
- The over is 8-1-1 in the Red Sox’s past 10 games.
- The Orioles are 6-0 ATS in their past six victories.
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Our Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Zach Eflin seems to be right at home at Camden Yards. Since getting traded from Tampa Bay, Eflin has been the winning pitcher in all three of his starts for Baltimore. The Orioles have given him the run support he wasn’t given in Tampa, and he hasn’t even needed it most times because he’s been pitching well. All three of his starts went at least six innings, giving him three consecutive quality starts.
Nick Pivetta has pitched somewhat better since the 20-7 debacle in Denver, but he’s still having trouble keeping the ball in the park. In his past three starts, he’s seen six balls leave the yard entirely. If they had mostly happened during the loss to the Rockies, that would be one thing. But he’s given up two homers per game for three straight games. Boston’s defense is already bad enough; when balls leave the yard, it’s tough for the Red Sox to keep up. Our prediction for Boston vs. Baltimore is Orioles -1.5.
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