Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks
On Sunday, the Boston Red Sox and Atlanta Braves will square off in the rubber match of their three-game interleague series at Truist Park. Boston opened the series with a 5-1 win on Friday, snapping a five-game losing streak with an 11-hit offensive display.
The Red Sox rallied after falling behind early, scoring in the middle and late innings to secure the win. However, Atlanta responded with a dominant performance on Saturday, blanking Boston 5-0 and allowing just five hits while striking out 14 Red Sox batters in a pitching clinic.
Both clubs currently occupy fourth place in their respective divisions. Boston sits in the middle of a tightly contested AL East, while Atlanta is still trying to find its rhythm in the NL East. The two teams also faced each other earlier this month at Fenway Park, where the Braves took two out of three.
Over their last 10 meetings, the series is evenly split at five wins apiece, underscoring how competitive these matchups have been.
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Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
0.549 | 162 | 89 | 73 |
|
23
|
0.469 | 162 | 76 | 86 |
Atlanta Braves and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches
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Atlanta Braves against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
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Atlanta Braves - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- The Braves are 4-7 SU in their last 11 games
- The Red Sox are 4-7 SU in their last 11 games
- The Red Sox are 5-6 ATS in their last 11 games
- The Braves are 5-6 ATS in their last 11 games
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Our Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Boston will send Garrett Crochet to the mound for Sunday’s finale. The 25-year-old left-hander has been one of the breakout stars of the 2025 season, posting a 4-4 record with a stellar 2.04 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP.
Crochet ranks among the league leaders in strikeouts with 89 in 75 innings and is making a strong case for his second consecutive All-Star appearance. His high strikeout rate and consistent command have been key for a Red Sox team trying to claw back into playoff contention.
The Braves will counter with right-hander Bryce Elder, who is being called up for the start. The 26-year-old has gone 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA in limited action this season and is looking to prove himself after a rough 2024 campaign in which he posted a 6.52 ERA.
Elder’s strength lies in generating ground ball outs, something Atlanta will hope he can deliver against a Boston lineup that has been inconsistent. With the Braves winning 16 of their last 26 games at Truist Park, they'll look to use home-field advantage to close the series on a high note.
Sunday’s contest offers both teams a chance to finish the series strong and gain momentum heading into the next stretch of the season. Our prediction for Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: Braves to win.
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