Bosnia Herzegovina vs Italy Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
3/31/26 14:45
Italy

Prediction:

 

Ermedin Demirovic 1+ Shots on Target

+112
$150 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Mikaella McIntosh | in World Cup Picks

After having to suffer through both extra time and penalties, Bosnia and Herzegovina crucially need to regroup for the final straight this Tuesday as they welcome an Italy side that won in regular time. One player who really stands out for me for the hosts is Ermedin Demirovic, who rates as a great bet to register a shot on target.

Whilst they will be more fatigued and less rested than their opponents, The Dragons don’t really have any other option than to fight in this game. Being in front of a home crowd is pivotal, where they have really excelled in recent games, as well as giving it a good go against bigger teams.

Since 2024, Bosnia and Herzegovina have scored at home against Germany, The Netherlands and Austria, proving they are capable in tricky games. Demirovic found the net in their final UEFA Nations League game against The Netherlands, on home soil.

Italy were simply outplayed by group-leaders Norway in the main qualifying group stage, winning all but their two meetings against the Scandinavian team. However, their away performances showed more weakness defensively, which could be exploited by a team that have netted in all of their last 11 fixtures now.

Up to $150 to bet on Bosnia Herzegovina - Italy! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Bosnia Herzegovina vs Italy Form

Bosnia Herzegovina and Italy Latest Matches

Bosnia Herzegovina
Bosnia Herzegovina Latest matches
L D W W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Wales
1 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Austria
1 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina

Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
3 :  1
Romania

Oct 12, 2025 - International Friendlies

Malta
1 :  4
Bosnia Herzegovina

Oct 9, 2025 - World Cup

Cyprus
2 :  2
Bosnia Herzegovina

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  2
Austria
L D W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
3 :  1
Romania

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  2
Austria

Jun 7, 2025 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  0
San Marino

Mar 24, 2025 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
2 :  1
Cyprus

Nov 19, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  1
Netherlands

Oct 14, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Bosnia Herzegovina
0 :  2
Hungary
L W D W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Wales
1 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Austria
1 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina

Oct 12, 2025 - International Friendlies

Malta
1 :  4
Bosnia Herzegovina

Oct 9, 2025 - World Cup

Cyprus
2 :  2
Bosnia Herzegovina

Sep 6, 2025 - World Cup

San Marino
0 :  6
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 10, 2025 - International Friendlies

Slovenia
2 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina
Italy
Italy Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Northern Ireland

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
1 :  4
Norway

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  2
Italy

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
3 :  0
Israel

Oct 11, 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
1 :  3
Italy

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Israel
4 :  5
Italy
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Northern Ireland

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
1 :  4
Norway

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
3 :  0
Israel

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
5 :  0
Estonia

Jun 9, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Moldova

Mar 20, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  2
Germany
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  2
Italy

Oct 11, 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
1 :  3
Italy

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Israel
4 :  5
Italy

Jun 6, 2025 - World Cup

Norway
3 :  0
Italy

Mar 23, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
3 :  3
Italy

Nov 14, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
0 :  1
Italy

Bosnia Herzegovina against Italy : Head to Head (H2H)

Bosnia Herzegovina

0 %

Draw

20 %

Italy

80 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.2
Total goals
40%
BTTS
0.4
Goals scored
1.8
Goals conceded
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
1 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Nov 18, 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Bosnia Herzegovina
0 :  2
Italy

Sep 4, 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina

Nov 15, 2019 - Euro

Bosnia Herzegovina
0 :  3
Italy

Jun 11, 2019 - Euro

Italy
2 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina
Bosnia Herzegovina vs Italy Picks

Bosnia Herzegovina against Italy Lineups: Starting 11

Bosnia Herzegovina

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
N. Vasilj
15
A. Memic
4
T. Muharemovic
18
N. Katic
5
S. Kolasinac
7
A. Dedic
14
I. Sunjic
13
I. Basic
10
E. Demirovic
11
E. Dzeko
20
E. Bajraktarevic
9
M. Retegui
11
M. Kean
3
F. Dimarco
8
S. Tonali
5
M. Locatelli
18
N. Barella
7
M. Politano
13
R. Calafiori
21
A. Bastoni
23
G. Mancini
1
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Italy

Substitutes

Bosnia Herzegovina
Bosnia Herzegovina
Goalkeeper

M. Zlomislic

O. Hadzikic

Defender

S. Radeljic

N. Celik

N. Mujakic

Midfielder

A. Gigovic

B. Tahirovic

I. Sunjic 46'

D. Burnic

A. Memic 71'

A. Hadziahmetovic

E. Demirovic 115'

Forward

K. Alajbegovic

S. Kolasinac 46'

S. Bazdar

H. Tabakovic

I. Basic 71'

Italy
Italy
Goalkeeper

M. Carnesecchi

A. Meret

Defender

M. Palestra

M. Politano 46'

A. Buongiorno

A. Cambiaso

F. Gatti

M. Retegui 44'

L. Spinazzola

F. Dimarco 91'

Midfielder

D. Frattesi

N. Barella 85'

N. Pisilli

B. Cristante

M. Locatelli 71'

Forward

G. Raspadori

F. Esposito

M. Kean 71'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bosnia Herzegovina
CD Huachipato Italy
Top Goalscorer
Bosnia and Herzegovina E. Dzeko (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (12 Goals)
Best assists
Bosnia and Herzegovina K. Alajbegovic (4 Assists)
Bosnia and Herzegovina E. Dzeko (4 Assists)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (4 Assists)
Italy M. Retegui (4 Assists)
Italy S. Tonali (4 Assists)
Italy N. Barella (4 Assists)

Bosnia Herzegovina - Italy Key Points

  1. Demirovic has created 13 shots in his last seven national caps on home soil.
  2. Ermedin Demirovic was the player who took the most shots for Bosnia in their last game.
  3. Demirovic has registered 15 goal attempts in his last six matches for club and country.
  4. Bosnia and Herzegovina have not failed to score in their last 11 matches.
Up to $150 to bet on Bosnia Herzegovina - Italy! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Bosnia Herzegovina vs Italy Prediction

Missing a couple of their final main-stage meetings due to injury, Demirovic slotted right back into place in their last game in Wales, creating four goal attempts with two finding the target.

The forward is scoring regularly for Stuttgart - ranking as their second highest goalscorer, despite having played much less - and in all competitions for club and country, Demirovic has produced 15 goal attempts in his last six appearances. 

What’s more, when Demirovic has played for his nation in their last nine home matches, he has recorded at least one goal attempt. So, it’s hard to ignore the fact he’s arriving at this important clash in great shooting form and typically places himself in key positions, so much so the early odds for this bet are extremely appealing. 

Our Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Italy Pick: Ermedin Demirovic 1+ Shots on Target.

Prediction:

 

Ermedin Demirovic 1+ Shots on Target

+112
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.