Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Erik Gibbs | in Bundesliga Picks
Borussia Dortmund and FC St. Pauli meet on Saturday in a Bundesliga matchup that pairs a title chaser with a side fighting to stay out of trouble. Dortmund sit second in the table after 17 matches with 36 points, and their recent league results have kept them firmly in the Champions League places even if they have not been flawless week to week.
The latest league outing was a confident 3-0 home win over Werder Bremen, a result that mattered because it steadied them after a more chaotic 3-3 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt. Even in matches where Dortmund have dropped points, they have largely remained the team controlling territory and creating the better volume of chances, which is why they have stayed high in the standings.
St. Pauli, by contrast, have spent much of the season in the lower part of the table and have been living through the narrow margins that define relegation battles. They come into this one off a 2-1 defeat at Wolfsburg, and that scoreline fits a broader pattern: St. Pauli can stay competitive, but turning performances into points has been a constant challenge.
When they do pick up results, it is often because they keep the match tight and avoid conceding early, but chasing games has been harder for them, particularly away from home where controlling momentum is tougher.
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Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
39 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | +18 |
|
18
|
12 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -15 |
Borussia Dortmund and St. Pauli Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 9, 2026 - Bundesliga
Dec 19, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
Dec 7, 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
Dec 19, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
Dec 7, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 2, 2025 - DFB Pokal
Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 9, 2026 - Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 29, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 8, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League
Oct 31, 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 14, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 4, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Dec 21, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 13, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 2, 2025 - DFB Pokal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 4, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Dec 13, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2025 - Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2025 - DFB Pokal
Oct 19, 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 14, 2026 - Bundesliga
Dec 21, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 2, 2025 - DFB Pokal
Nov 29, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 9, 2025 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund against St. Pauli : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Aug 23, 2025 - Bundesliga
Mar 1, 2025 - Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2024 - Bundesliga
Jan 18, 2022 - DFB Pokal
Borussia Dortmund against St. Pauli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
A. Meyer
DefenderF. Mane
Y. Couto
N. Sule
MidfielderS. Ozcan
C. Chukwuemeka
J. Duranville
M. Beier
S. Guirassy
E. Gazdov
DefenderF. Stevens
T. Ando
M. Saliakas
J. Robatsch
MidfielderL. Oppie
R. Jade-Jones
A. Ceesay
O. Afolayan
Missing players
A. Anselmino
D. Nemeth
MidfielderJ. Irvine
ForwardD. Sinani
A. Hountondji
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
St. Pauli
J. Ryerson
(5 Assists)
J. Fujita
(3 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli Key Points
- The Over is 1-3-1 in Dortmund's last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in St. Pauli's last 5 games
- Dortmund are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- St. Pauli are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Prediction
Dortmund have multiple routes to goals, with Serhou Guirassy leading their overall scoring across competitions, including six league goals and ten in all competitions so far. Maximilian Beier is also tied among the club's top league scorers with five Bundesliga goals, offering another consistent end product. In a game like this, Dortmund's advantage is not just the number of chances they can create, but the fact they have more than one reliable finisher to turn those chances into goals.
For St. Pauli, the individual numbers are smaller, which is typical for a team sitting near the bottom, but there are still clear focal points. Andréas Hountondji is their leading league scorer with four goals, and those contributions are significant because so many of St. Pauli's matches have been decided by one moment. If St. Pauli are to threaten here, they will likely need to be efficient when opportunities arrive and then keep the scoreline close long enough for the pressure to shift onto the home side.
With Dortmund's stronger league position, recent clean-sheet win, and deeper set of proven scorers, they look the more likely winner. St. Pauli can make it uncomfortable if they stay compact and avoid early damage, but Dortmund should have enough control and finishing to edge it. Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli: Under 3.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
