Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
8/29/26 12:30
Hamburg

Prediction:

 

Borussia Dortmund -1.5.

-122
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Bundesliga Picks

Borussia Dortmund will begin the 2026/2027 Bundesliga season, but they have already lost the German Super Cup to Bayern Munich. Sportsbooks are quick to consider the Black and Yellow heavy underdogs when they face their biggest rivals. Last season, Dortmund finished second, but 16 points behind Bayern. On Saturday, they will be at Signal Iduna Park to face Hamburg.

Croatian manager Kovac wants to guide Dortmund through this successful period; even though the team parted ways with Adeyemi, they retained Guinean striker Guirassy, ​​who is expected to be their leading scorer again after netting 17 goals in the previous Bundesliga campaign. As always, a great atmosphere is expected, brought by Dortmund's passionate fans, but a victory is also anticipated, as the Black and Yellow have won their last 11 home league openers.

Hamburg closed out their preseason with a 2-1 win against Toulouse and resumed their cup campaign with a 3-0 victory over Verl. Polzin's team secured the win with a brace from Gronbaek and another goal from Lemke. This victory sets the tone for what the fans of this traditional club are hoping for this season. However, it's worth noting that the team's activity in the transfer market was, in reality, quite limited.

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Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Form

Borussia Dortmund and Hamburg Latest Matches

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Latest matches
L L W W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 22, 2026 - German Super Cup

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Roma

Aug 9, 2026 - Emirates Cup

Arsenal
2 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Tokyo
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Jul 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cerezo Osaka
1 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fortuna Dusseldorf
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund
W L W W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 22, 2026 - German Super Cup

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Roma

May 8, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

Apr 26, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Freiburg

Apr 11, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Mar 21, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Hamburg
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 9, 2026 - Emirates Cup

Arsenal
2 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Tokyo
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Jul 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cerezo Osaka
1 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fortuna Dusseldorf
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Jul 18, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Oberhausen
1 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

May 16, 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburg
Hamburg Latest matches
D L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 24, 2026 - DFB Pokal

SC Verl
0 :  3
Hamburg

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
Hamburg

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
1 :  2
Everton

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
3 :  1
Heidenheim

Jul 18, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rapid Wien
3 :  2
Hamburg

May 16, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
Hamburg
D D L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
1 :  2
Everton

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
3 :  1
Heidenheim

May 10, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
3 :  2
Freiburg

Apr 25, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  2
Hoffenheim

Apr 4, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Augsburg

Mar 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Köln
L W D L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 24, 2026 - DFB Pokal

SC Verl
0 :  3
Hamburg

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
Hamburg

Jul 18, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rapid Wien
3 :  2
Hamburg

May 16, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
Hamburg

May 2, 2026 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  2
Hamburg

Apr 18, 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
3 :  1
Hamburg

Borussia Dortmund against Hamburg : Head to Head (H2H)

Borussia Dortmund

67 %

Draw

33 %

Hamburg

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Mar 21, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Hamburg

Nov 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 20, 2017 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  3
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Picks

Missing players

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Defender

R. Bensebaini

N. Schlotterbeck

Midfielder

E. Can

C. Chukwuemeka

M. Kaba

Hamburg
Hamburg
Defender

J. Torunarigha

M. Muheim

W. Omari

Forward

A. Rossing Lelesiit

Borussia Dortmund - Hamburg Key Points

  1. In March, Dortmund came from behind to beat Hamburg 3-2
  2. Dortmund had 7 corner kicks in their match against Bayern
  3. 8 of Dortmund's last 10 Bundesliga home matches have seen more than 2.5 goals
  4. Lelesiit and Omari are among Hamburg's unavailable players for Saturday
Up to $350 to bet on Borussia Dortmund - Hamburg! 

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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Prediction

Last season, Hamburg more than fulfilled their objective of establishing themselves in the Bundesliga. It was their promotion season and their first time back in the top flight since 2018.

Even so, Hamburg seemed far from a top-10 finish, especially as the team was losing form and consistency, particularly away from home. As visitors, Hamburg won only 3 out of 17 matches in the 2025/2026 Bundesliga season. This looks like the ideal match for Dortmund to start the new season with confidence.

Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg is: Borussia Dortmund -1.5.

Prediction:

 

Borussia Dortmund -1.5.

-122
$350 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.