Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Prediction & Picks - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Champions League Picks
One of Tuesday’s four UEFA Champions League play-off ties sees Dortmund and Atalanta clash at the iconic Signal Iduna Park, where both teams will be looking to record a positive result ahead of the second leg.
Of course, the visitors would love to upset the hosts, but if the men from Bergamo can get away with a tie, then they’ll likely be pleased ahead of the second leg in front of a home crowd. For the hosts, this is a must-win game. The men in yellow, who finished the League Phase in 17th position, won’t want to go to Italy without a cushion, especially given that their opponents have shown strong home form of late. We should thus see a home team determined to get on the front foot and make the difference on Tuesday.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Form
Borussia Dortmund and Atalanta Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 1, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 1, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
Dec 19, 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 9, 2026 - Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 29, 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 14, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 9, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 5, 2026 - Coppa Italia
Feb 1, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 9, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 5, 2026 - Coppa Italia
Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 10, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 14, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 1, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 16, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A
Dec 21, 2025 - Serie A
Borussia Dortmund against Atalanta : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Feb 22, 2018 - Europa League
Feb 15, 2018 - Europa League
Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta: Form Analysis
From a form point of view, the hosts come into this game in rather decent shape. Niko Kovac’s men have done everything right in recent weeks. Sure, they were defeated at home by Inter in the final UCL league-phase game, but they’ve since bounced back, beating Heidenheim in the Bundesliga, scoring three goals in the process. That win has clearly paved the way for offensive improvements, with the BVB boys scoring six goals in their last two. They warmed up for this big game by notching four goals against Mainz last time out.
That win has clearly paved the way for offensive improvements, with the BVB boys scoring six goals in their last two.
The visitors also come into this big game in hot form having won each of their last three domestic fixtures. They too came unstuck during the final round of UCL league-phase games, losing away to Union SG of Belgium, which doesn’t exactly bode well, but at least they’ve since regained their form, winning three and tying one in all competitions. Last time out, they sharpened up, beating Lazio by goals to zero on the road.
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Borussia Dortmund against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
S. Ostrzinski
A. Meyer
DefenderY. Couto
E. Benkara
A. Kabar
MidfielderK. Adeyemi
C. Chukwuemeka
D. Krevsun
M. Sabitzer
S. Ozcan
ForwardS. Inacio
F. Silva
F. Rossi
M. Sportiello
DefenderM. Bakker
I. Hien
G. Scalvini
H. Ahanor
R. Bellanova
L. Samardzic
Y. Musah
ForwardK. Sulemana
D. Vavassori
N. Krstovic
Missing players
N. Sule
N. Schlotterbeck
F. Mane
MidfielderE. Can
Borussia Dortmund & Atalanta Squad Analysis
Home-team boss Niko Kovac will not be able to call upon the services of Italian defender Filippo Mane, though that absence doesn’t really weaken the hosts. The hosts should be at full strength here, meaning that the in-form Serhou Guirassy is expected to lead the line, supported by Julian Brandt and Maximillian Beier. After providing an impressive four assists at the weekend, Julian Ryerson will once again continue out wide.
The visitors cannot currently call on key creator Charles De Ketelaere, which definitely weakens their offensive output.
The visitors cannot currently call on key creator Charles De Ketelaere, which definitely weakens their offensive output. The Bergamo team also recently sold Ademola Lookman, a departure that leaves another sizable hole in their offensive set-up. January signing Giacomo Raspadori, who has two goals and assists in just four appearances, will continue in the forward line, supporting primary forward Nikola Krstovic, who is having a great season.
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
S. Guirassy
(4 Goals)
L. Samardzic
(4 Goals)
S. Guirassy
(3 Assists)
C. De Ketelaere
(2 Assists)
, 
M. De Roon
(2 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta Key Points
- Since joining Atalanta, in five appearances, Giacomo Raspadori has taken ten shots.
- Giacomo Raspadori registered three shots on target in his most recent start for Atalanta.
- In three Serie A appearances since joining Atalanta in January, Giacomo Raspadori has registered five shots on target.
- Since joining in January, Giacomo Raspadori is averaging 1.40 shots on target per 90 minutes.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Prediction
Following his January switch from Atletico Madrid, Giacomo Raspadori has looked eager to make his mark offensively. The Italian forward has been shooting plenty, while he's looked particularly adept at hurting teams on the break, which bodes well ahead of this game given that the hosts will absolutely push forward, leaving space in behind.
Given some impressive recent numbers, odds of +115 simply look too good to ignore.
Our Dortmund vs Atalanta Pick: Giacomo Raspadori 1+ Shots on Target.
Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta - Other Interesting Picks
Nikola Krstovic to Score
Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta match : Frequently asked questions
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