Borussia Dortmund vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Erik Gibbs | in Bundesliga Picks
Borussia Dortmund and FSV Mainz meet this Friday night at Signal Iduna Park for a Bundesliga clash that carries significant implications for both ends of the table. The hosts enter this Matchday 22 fixture in scintillating domestic form, having secured five consecutive league victories to cement their position in second place with 48 points.
Most recently, Niko Kovač's men displayed grit in a 2-1 away win over Wolfsburg on February 7, where they dominated possession and utilized a late winner to keep the pressure on the league leaders. While a recent dip in European competition has caused some concern, Dortmund's home record remains a fortress, boasting eight wins and two draws in front of their "Yellow Wall" this season.
Conversely, Mainz finds themselves in a precarious 14th position, battling to stay clear of the relegation zone. However, Urs Fischer has instilled a renewed sense of belief in the squad, evidenced by their vital 2-0 victory against FC Augsburg last weekend. That win provided a much-needed three-point cushion and snapped a period of inconsistency, though their away record of just two wins on the road suggests a daunting task ahead in Westphalia.
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Borussia Dortmund vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
73 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 |
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
Borussia Dortmund and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 1, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 1, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
Dec 19, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 9, 2026 - Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 29, 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 31, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 10, 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
Dec 21, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 18, 2025 - Conference League
Dec 5, 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 31, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 10, 2026 - Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 11, 2025 - Conference League
Nov 30, 2025 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Sep 27, 2025 - Bundesliga
Mar 30, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 9, 2024 - Bundesliga
May 11, 2024 - Bundesliga
Dec 19, 2023 - Bundesliga
May 27, 2023 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
A. Meyer
DefenderY. Couto
L. Reggiani
K. Adeyemi
C. Chukwuemeka
M. Sabitzer
S. Ozcan
ForwardS. Inacio
F. Silva
L. Riess
DefenderM. Leitsch
K. Potulski
P. Mwene
P. Nebel
W. Boving
N. Veratschnig
ForwardS. Becker
N. Weiper
Missing players
N. Schlotterbeck
F. Mane
MidfielderE. Can
R. Zentner
DefenderA. Caci
MidfielderL. Maloney
D. Gleiber
ForwardB. Hollerbach
K. Bos
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
1 Fsv Mainz 05
S. Guirassy
(17 Goals)
N. Amiri
(12 Goals)
J. Ryerson
(15 Assists)
B. Hollerbach
(3 Assists)
,
D. da Costa
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- The Over is 3-0-2 in Dortmund's last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in Mainz's last 5 games
- Dortmund are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- Mainz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
Individual performances have been the catalyst for this recent surge, particularly the goalscoring touch of Serhou Guirassy, who found the net for Dortmund against Wolfsburg and has looked sharp in training over the past 14 days. Julian Brandt has also been instrumental in the midfield, providing both the opening goal last week and the creative vision that makes Dortmund's 3-3-2-2 system click.
For Mainz, Nadiem Amiri has emerged as the man of the hour, having scored both goals in the win over Augsburg to take his tally to nine for the season. Despite the individual brilliance on display, both managers are dealing with significant personnel issues.
Dortmund will be without defensive stalwart Nico Schlotterbeck due to a yellow card suspension, while Emre Can (groin), Filippo Mane (thigh), and Salih Özcan (Achilles) remain sidelined. Marcel Sabitzer and Niklas Süle are nearing returns but remain doubtful for Friday.
Mainz's injury list is equally troubling, as Andreas Hanche-Olsen has been ruled out by Fischer, joining Benedict Hollerbach and Robin Zentner on the treatment table. Given Dortmund's impeccable home form and Mainz's defensive vulnerabilities, the betting outlook heavily favors the "Black and Yellows" to continue their winning streak, likely through a high-scoring affair. Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs. FSV Mainz: Over 2.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
