ATP - ATP Almaty Open


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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Alex Michelsen of the United States faces Beibit Zkukayev of Kazakhstan in the first round of the 2025 Almaty Open on Tuesday.
FanDuel has booked Michelsen as the favorite at -300, but the American offers more value on the alternative spread market, where you can 3x your wager.
Current Form:
Michelsen is looking to rebuild his confidence in Almaty after losing his last five matches. The last time Michelsen won a match was two months ago in the first round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open against Corentin Moutet 3-6, 6-3, 6-4. After that, the American has dropped all his matches, including opening-round losses to Francisco Comesana at the US Open, Ethan Quinn at the Japan Open, and Arthur Rinderknech at the Shanghai Masters. Michelsen carries a 75 percent win rate in indoor matches.
Zhukayev is 1-5 in his last six matches. His recent loss came at the hands of Tristan Schoolkate 3-6, 6-7 in the final qualification match at the 2025 Shanghai Masters. Ranked No. 237th in the world, Zhukayev holds a 39-35 record in indoor matches in his career.
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Beibit Zhukayev vs Alex Michelsen Form
Beibit Zhukayev and Alex Michelsen Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 30, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 29, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 23, 2025 - ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
Sep 16, 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Sep 3, 2025 - Shanghai, China
Aug 21, 2025 - ATP US Open
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 25, 2025 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 19, 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches
Aug 25, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 11, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 9, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Beibit Zhukayev - Alex Michelsen Key Points
- Beibit Zhukayev is 9-7 in indoor hard court matches in 2025.
- Beibit Zhukayev is 0-3 against the ATP top-100 in 2025.
- Alex Michelsen is 0-5 in his last five matches.
- Alex Michelsen holds a 75 percent win rate in indoor hard-court matches.
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Our Beibit Zhukayev vs Alex Michelsen Prediction
Alex Michelsen is going through a tough stretch, but the start of the indoor season presents him with the opportunity to regain his confidence. Again, Michelsen owns a 75 percent win rate in indoor conditions. Last year, Michelsen won 8 of his 13 matches on indoor hard courts. Zhukayev is 9-7 in indoor hard-court matches in 2025, but he has spent almost 50 percent of the year playing in Challenger tournaments.
Fearless Forecast: Michelsen takes the victory 6-4, 6-2 to cover -5.5 games (+380) on the alternative spreadline. I am optimistic that the American will play a lot better throughout the indoor season, reestablishing himself as a force to be reckoned with on the ATP Tour.
Our betting prediction for Alex Michelsen vs. Beibit Zhukayev: Alex Michelsen -5.5 Games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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