Bayern Munich vs Atalanta Picks & Prediction

Europe - Champions League

Bayern Munich

3/18/26 16:00

Atalanta

Prediction:

Under 3.5 Goals

-105

$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Prediction published on 3/18/26, 12:14 PM by Mikaella McIntosh | Modified on 4/21/26 at 6:14 AM in Champions League Picks

This Wednesday is the final day of the Round-of-16 UCL fixtures. One of the last meetings forces Atalanta to confront their daunting task on the road against Bundesliga-leaders Bayern Munich. After meeting in Bergamo one week ago, they now meet at the iconic Allianz Arena.

Die Roten are renowned for dominating the German league, and it doesn’t stop there. They came second out of 36 in the UCL League Phase, finishing with a goal difference of +14, only falling short in one out of eight, plus they’re going to be participating in the semi-final of the DFK Pokal next month too.

As a result of losing their final two UCL League Phase matches, Atalanta had to settle with the a place outside of the top eight, even though they had a very promising start to the campaign. La Dea made an excellent turnaround in the play-offs, coming back from 2-0 down against Bayern-rivals Dortmund to win 4-1 in their home country. Sadly, something says this may not be as achievable a second time round, losing out on their home advantage and giving away a few too many goals.

Up to $200 to bet on Bayern Munich - Atalanta!

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Bayern Munich vs Atalanta Form

Bayern Munich and Atalanta Latest Matches

Bayern Munich Latest matches

All Home Away

W W W W W D

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals

83% BTTS

3.33 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

1 : 1

Bayern Munich

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta

1 : 6

Bayern Munich

Mar 6, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

4 : 1

Mönchengladbach

Feb 28, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 3

Bayern Munich

Feb 21, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

3 : 2

Eintracht Frankfurt

Feb 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

0 : 3

Bayern Munich

W L W W W W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.83 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

Mar 6, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

4 : 1

Mönchengladbach

Feb 21, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

3 : 2

Eintracht Frankfurt

Feb 11, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich

2 : 0

Leipzig

Feb 8, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

5 : 1

Hoffenheim

Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

1 : 2

Augsburg

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich

2 : 0

Union Saint-Gilloise

W D W W W D

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals

83% BTTS

2.83 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

1 : 1

Bayern Munich

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta

1 : 6

Bayern Munich

Feb 28, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 3

Bayern Munich

Feb 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

0 : 3

Bayern Munich

Jan 31, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg

2 : 2

Bayern Munich

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven

1 : 2

Bayern Munich

Atalanta Latest matches

All Home Away

W L D D L D

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals

100% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

2.33 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan

1 : 1

Atalanta

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta

1 : 6

Bayern Munich

Mar 7, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta

2 : 2

Udinese

Mar 4, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio

2 : 2

Atalanta

Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo

2 : 1

Atalanta

Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta

4 : 1

Borussia Dortmund

W W W W D L

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals

83% BTTS

2.33 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

100% Over 2.5

0% Under 2.5

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta

1 : 6

Bayern Munich

Mar 7, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta

2 : 2

Udinese

Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta

4 : 1

Borussia Dortmund

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta

2 : 1

Napoli

Feb 9, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta

2 : 1

Cremonese

Feb 5, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta

3 : 0

Juventus

D W L L D D

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals

50% BTTS

1 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan

1 : 1

Atalanta

Mar 4, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio

2 : 2

Atalanta

Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo

2 : 1

Atalanta

Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 0

Atalanta

Feb 14, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio

0 : 2

Atalanta

Feb 1, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907

0 : 0

Atalanta

Bayern Munich against Atalanta : Head to Head (H2H)

Bayern Munich

100 %

Draw

0 %

Atalanta

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals

100%

BTTS

Goals scored

Goals conceded

100%

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta

1 : 6

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich - Atalanta: Form Analysis

The visitors weren’t in a healthy way prior to the first leg, conceding multiple goals in the three matches after their 4-1 UCL victory against Dortmund, not claiming a single win. This lack of confidence likely contributed to their Champions League downfall.

Whereas, the confidence of the home side isn’t in short supply, very rarely facing defeat this season; a rather unusual home loss against Augsburg in the league is the only thing that is blocking their fantastic run of 21 games without a loss since the end of November.

Atalanta’s away UCL form really has been their kryptonite.

Since this little blip, Bayern swiftly returned to sturdy form on home soil, winning all of their last four with a total of 14 goals scored. Unfortunately, the away form of La Dea is not comparable, only just holding onto a draw against Serie A-leaders last time out, but still going four away games without a win.

Similarly, Atalanta’s away UCL form really has been their kryptonite, and they had been heavily relying on their home performances, though that didn't exactly go to plan.

Up to $200 to bet on Bayern Munich - Atalanta!

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Bayern Munich against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11

Bayern Munich

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

J. Urbig

J. Stanisic

J. Tah

K. Min-jae

T. Bischof

L. Goretzka

A. Pavlovic

L. Karl

R. Guerreiro

L. Diaz

H. Kane

K. Sulemana

G. Scamacca

C. De Ketelaere

L. Bernasconi

Ederson

M. Pasalic

R. Bellanova

G. Scalvini

I. Hien

O. Kossounou

M. Sportiello

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Atalanta

Substitutes

Bayern Munich

Goalkeeper

J. Bartl

L. Prescott

Defender

F. Pavic

J. Stanisic 72'

H. Ito

R. Guerreiro 83'

V. Manuba

D. Ofli

A. Pavlovic 55'

D. Upamecano

Midfielder

K. Laimer

Forward

N. Jackson

H. Kane 72'

S. Gnabry

T. Bischof 72'

Atalanta

Goalkeeper

M. Carnesecchi

F. Rossi

Defender

M. Bakker

H. Ahanor

G. Scalvini 83'

D. Zappacosta

B. Djimsiti

S. Kolasinac

Midfielder

N. Zalewski

L. Samardzic

C. De Ketelaere 58'

M. de Roon

Ederson 58'

Forward

G. Raspadori

K. Sulemana 71'

N. Krstovic

G. Scamacca 71'

Missing players

Bayern Munich

Goalkeeper

M. Neuer

S. Ulreich

Defender

J. Kimmich

A. Davies

C. Kiala

Midfielder

J. Musiala

Forward

W. Mike

Atalanta

Midfielder

Y. Musah

Bayern Munich & Atalanta Squad Analysis

The star performances from Michael Olise sadly will not be replicated in this second leg, gaining another yellow card, as well as his two goals and one assist in the first leg, means he misses out on home turf. Also missing from Kompany’s squad due to cards is Kimmich, who has been favored the most by his manager in their European campaign.

Charles De Ketelaere is now fit and ready for action.

Both Bayern’s first and second choice goalkeepers are also absent in this game, meaning the chosen goalkeeper will be making his UCL debut. In addition, Musiala, who was just coming back into form from injury, will also miss out. In contrast, without any key absentees, perhaps La Dea has been given a saving grace. Returning at the weekend, Charles De Ketelaere is now fit and ready for action, and as Atalanta’s top direct goal contributor in the UCL, he’ll be looking to make the difference.

Most goals and assists

Bayern Munich

Atalanta

Top Goalscorer

H. Kane (14 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

L. Samardzic (4 Goals)

Best assists

M. Olise (5 Assists)

Best assists

C. De Ketelaere (2 Assists) ,

M. De Roon (2 Assists)

Bayern Munich - Atalanta Key Points

There’s no need for the hosts to go for it, so will look to take a more lowkey approach here.
Atalanta have failed to score in their last two UCL away games.
Bayern have conceded just two goals in their four UCL home games.
Both teams only scored one goal last time out.

Up to $200 to bet on Bayern Munich - Atalanta!

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Bayern Munich vs Atalanta Prediction

With such a big safety net, Bayern don’t need to do anything in this game and they’ll still have a ticket to the quarter finals. They do have key players absent, including their two goalkeepers that have UCL experience, so they won’t want to do anything stupid.

Fortunately, the hosts have alleviated a lot of the pressure, and have plenty of breathing space even if they do concede a goal or two. Whilst Atalanta will give it a good go here, and have been lucky with Die Roten’s absentees, it really is difficult to see them seriously coming back into the tie.

Our Bayern vs Atalanta Pick: Under 3.5 Goals.

Prediction:

Under 3.5 Goals

-105

$200 offered for betting!

Bayern Munich vs Atalanta - Other Interesting Picks

Tie

Odds +500

Honestly, given that the early odds are massively favouring Bayern, as to be expected, I think that a tie is a good bet here. The home side won’t want to risk any unnecessary injuries, and whilst it’s hard to see Atalanta coming clawing back five goals, it’s not that difficult to see the visitors getting an improved result, especially as they tied away to Inter at the weekend. At the available odds, a tie is very generous.

$200 offered for betting!

Bayern Munich vs Atalanta match : Frequently asked questions

The upcoming fixture between Bayern and Atalanta is going to be played on Wednesday 18th of March at Allianz Arena in Munich.

Bayern stormed through the first meeting in Bergamo with a 1-6 win, scoring three goals in each half and only conceding just before the final whistle.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.