Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 8/16/26, 4:10 AM  by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks

The Baltimore Orioles gun for a sweep over the Tampa Bay Rays after edging the AL East leaders in the first two games of the series.

The Orioles, 5-0 vs. the Rays in their last 5 meetings, are posted at +130 to pull off an upset.

Current Form:

The Baltimore Orioles have won 3 of their last 4 games after topping the AL East leaders, the Tampa Bay Rays, in back-to-back games. As a result, they are now just 3 games below .500 at 60-63. Pitching continues to be a major issue for the Orioles, who have posted a 5.11 ERA over their last five games. Baltimore managed to gut out close wins over the Rays by pulling off clutch plays down the stretch.

The Tampa Bay Rays will try to avoid a three-game sweep at the hands of the worst team in their division. At 74-48, the Rays are the top dogs in the AL East. Over the last five games, the Rays have pitched a 4.50 ERA and averaged 7.4 runs per game.

Starting Pitchers: Orioles LHP Trevor Rogers (7-8, 4.21 ERA) vs. Rays RHP Freddy Peralta (5-9, 5.33 ERA).

The Matchup: The Orioles have won the last five meetings against the Rays.