Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Tampa Bay stands as a strong bet to cover -1.5 runs with starter Shane McClanahan looking to extend his flawless run against the Baltimore Orioles in Game 1 of their series on Monday.
Momentum: The Orioles avoided a sweep at the hands of the Washington Nationals after coming through with a 7-3 win on May 17. Baltimore posted a 4-6 record in their last 10 games, keeping them in fourth place in the AL East with a 21-26 record.
The Rays have strengthened their grip on the top spot in the AL East by winning 3 of their last 5 games. Tampa Bay took 2 out of 3 games in their most recent series against the Miami Marlins, relying heavily on their starting pitcher and reliable offense.
The Matchup: Baltimore has won 6 of the last 10 meetings with Tampa Bay, including 3 of the last 4 faceoffs.
Orioles LHP Trevor Rogers (2-4, 5.77 ERA) takes the mound on Monday, going up against another lefty, Rays’ Shane McClanahan (4-2, 2.27 ERA).
Rogers gave up 6 earned runs over 4 innings in his last start against the Yankees on May 12. McClanahan hasn’t given up a run over his last four starts.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.607 | 117 | 71 | 46 |
|
21
|
0.479 | 119 | 57 | 62 |
Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 17, 2026 - MLB
May 16, 2026 - MLB
May 15, 2026 - MLB
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
May 11, 2026 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 17, 2026 - MLB
May 16, 2026 - MLB
May 15, 2026 - MLB
May 6, 2026 - MLB
May 5, 2026 - MLB
May 4, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
May 11, 2026 - MLB
May 10, 2026 - MLB
May 8, 2026 - MLB
May 7, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 17, 2026 - MLB
May 16, 2026 - MLB
May 15, 2026 - MLB
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
May 11, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
May 11, 2026 - MLB
May 10, 2026 - MLB
May 9, 2026 - MLB
May 8, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 17, 2026 - MLB
May 16, 2026 - MLB
May 15, 2026 - MLB
May 7, 2026 - MLB
May 6, 2026 - MLB
May 5, 2026 - MLB
Tampa Bay Rays against Baltimore Orioles : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Mar 5, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Feb 25, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Jul 20, 2025 - MLB
Tampa Bay Rays - Baltimore Orioles Key Points
- Baltimore is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games against an opponent in the American League.
- Tampa Bay is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games.
- Tampa Bay is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home.
- Tampa Bay is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games against an opponent in the American League.
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Our Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Tampa Bay rolls to a comfortable win over the Orioles behind another masterful performance from Shane McClanahan.
Best Pick: Take the Rays to cover -1.5 runs. McClanahan has led Tampa Bay to a win in his last four starts, 3 of which were won by at least three runs. Although McClanahan gave up 5 earned runs in his last start against the Orioles in 2023, the lefty is facing the Birds this time as a more well-rounded pitcher who happens to be enjoying a scorching-hot run on the mound.
The only concern for the Rays in this match is whether their bullpen can deliver a strong response after posting a 7.50 ERA over the last five games. Tampa Bay starters have done a wonderful job during this stretch, commanding a 1.16 ERA. Fortunately for the Rays, Baltimore’s firemen have also surrendered a ton of late-inning runs with a 5.19 ERA over the last five games.
Our betting prediction for the Baltimore Orioles vs. the Tampa Bay Rays: The Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Runs.
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