Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Dan Angell in MLB Picks
The Pittsburgh Pirates (6-1 SU, 6-1 ATS) look to prove that they're for real as they host the Baltimore Orioles (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS). Few people are taking Pittsburgh seriously at the moment because of the Pirates' long history of struggles over the past three decades. The Pirates have also played a fairly weak schedule in opening with the Marlins and the Nationals.
Baltimore represents a big step up. The Orioles cruised to the AL East title last season and have all the pieces in place to make another run at the American League pennant and the World Series. How close they come depends on whether Grayson Rodriguez can become an effective No. 2 pitcher this season. Rodriguez showed flashes of brilliance in giving up three runs or less over his final 12 regular-season starts last year. However, he got shelled in the playoffs by Texas, showing he still has some growth to go.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
0.562 | 162 | 91 | 71 |
|
23
|
0.469 | 162 | 76 | 86 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Baltimore Orioles Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 4, 2024 - MLB
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Mar 12, 2024 - MLB Spring Training
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 2, 2024 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 2, 2024 - MLB
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles Key Points
- The Pirates have cashed the over in all six of their victories this year.
- The Orioles have split their past four games.
- The Orioles have given up at least three runs in every game this season.
- Rodriguez has given up three runs or less in his past seven road starts.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
If there are runs to be had, they're likely to come early in the contest. Both Baltimore and Pittsburgh have gotten excellent work from their bullpens, as both have a bullpen ERA of under 3. The starters, however, have been shaky and the wind is going to be heading out to right-center in this game.
Jared Jones didn't look anywhere near as sharp as Rodriguez in his first start, and the Pirates like playing to the over anyway. Pittsburgh is likely to give up runs to this Baltimore offense with the wind working against its pitchers. Given that the Orioles haven't exactly kept runs off the board, this game seems ripe for some early offense. Our prediction for Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh is Over 4 Runs First Five Innings.
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