Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
8/5/25 18:45
Baltimore Orioles

Prediction:

 

Baltimore Orioles win both halves

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 by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Baltimore Orioles for the second game of their three-game series on Tuesday, following a dominant 13-3 win in Monday’s opener. The victory continued Philadelphia’s strong run of form, bringing their record to 64-48 and extending their lead atop the NL East to 1.5 games.

The Phillies have now won three of their last four series and are on track to claim a fourth with one more win over the struggling Orioles. Monday’s performance was a complete offensive outburst, as Philadelphia took control early and never looked back. Meanwhile, the Orioles are reeling. With a 51-62 record, they sit at the bottom of the ultra-competitive AL East and are just 1-4 in their last five games after a hot stretch in which they went 5-0, including a series win against the division-leading Blue Jays.

Despite their poor showing in the opener, the Orioles have shown they can respond quickly, and they’ll be motivated to even the series. Their journey this season has been far from linear, alternating between promising flashes and extended slumps. If they can bounce back from Monday’s defeat, they’ll have a chance to salvage the series and regain some momentum heading into the final stretch of the season.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
2 Philadelphia Phillies
0.593 162 96 66
24 Baltimore Orioles
0.463 162 75 87

Philadelphia Phillies and Baltimore Orioles Latest Matches

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
13 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  7
Detroit Tigers

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  4
Detroit Tigers

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
9 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
13 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  7
Detroit Tigers

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  4
Detroit Tigers

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
8 :  9
Boston Red Sox

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  1
Boston Red Sox
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
9 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
6 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  12
Philadelphia Phillies
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles Latest matches
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
13 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
1 :  0
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
8 :  9
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
8 :  9
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
16 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
11 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 27, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  1
Colorado Rockies

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
18 :  0
Colorado Rockies
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
13 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
1 :  0
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 24, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Philadelphia Phillies against Baltimore Orioles : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Phillies

50 %

Baltimore Orioles

50 %

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
13 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Jun 15, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 14, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 24, 2023 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Philadelphia Phillies - Baltimore Orioles Key Points

  1. The O's are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games
  2. The Under is 4-2 in Baltimore's last 6 road games
  3. The Phillies are 17-4 SU in their last 21 games vs. AL East teams
  4. The Phillies are 9-3 SU in their last 12 August games

Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Baltimore will send right-hander Dean Kremer (8-7, 4.27 ERA) to the mound in hopes of stopping the bleeding. In his last start, Kremer allowed three runs over five innings in a close 9-8 loss to Toronto. The Orioles have gone 2-3 in his last five outings, but crucially, they haven't lost by more than one run in any of those defeats, highlighting his ability to keep games competitive.

Philadelphia counters with Taijuan Walker (3-5, 3.82 ERA), who has had a somewhat rocky season. While his ERA is solid, his 1.36 WHIP and 14 home runs allowed in just 73 innings suggest he’s prone to big innings. His last start was particularly rough—a 9-3 loss to the White Sox where he struggled with command and gave up several key hits.

Historically, Baltimore has fared well against Walker, going 2-1 in three matchups, including a narrow 4-3 loss in the lone defeat. While the Phillies are clearly the hotter team, this game projects to be much tighter than Monday’s blowout. If Kremer can deliver a quality start and the Orioles’ offense wakes up, they have a realistic shot at pulling off a bounce-back win. Expect a more competitive outing with both teams leaning heavily on their starters early. Our prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: Orioles to win.

Prediction:

 

Baltimore Orioles win both halves

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Picks