New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Yankees
9/27/26 13:05
Baltimore Orioles

Prediction:

 

OVER 9

+109
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

Because of the threat of severe weather on Saturday, the Baltimore Orioles (79-82, 40-40 Away) and New York Yankees (93-68, 46-34 Home) had a day off before their regular-season finale today at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. First Pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. EST with coverage provided by MLB.TV.

Baltimore owned the first game on Friday, crushing the Yankees 10-2. But the home team took the second game, as the Yankees won 6-3.

Shane Baz is scheduled to get the start for the Orioles. Baz has gone 6-15 in 31 starts this season while posting a 4.11 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Teams have hit .262 against him this season. When on the road, he has posted a 2-8 record in 15 starts with a 4.30 ERA and a .257 OBA.

As for the Yankees, Elmer Rodriguez is scheduled to get the final regular-season start for New York. It will be just his seventh appearance of the season for Rodriguez, who has gone 0-3 while posting a 5.40 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP. Teams have hit .255 against him. He has gone 0-1 at home in three starts with a 5.52 ERA and a .241 OBA.

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New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
5 New York Yankees
0.578 161 93 68
17 Baltimore Orioles
0.491 161 79 82

New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles Latest Matches

New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  10
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  6
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  10
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  6
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
8 :  4
New York Yankees

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 :  3
New York Yankees

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
2 :  9
New York Yankees

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  4
New York Yankees

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  8
New York Yankees

Sep 14, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  8
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  10
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 21, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 21, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  1
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  10
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  7
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  7
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 14, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees against Baltimore Orioles : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Yankees

67 %

Baltimore Orioles

33 %

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  10
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 20, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  6
New York Yankees

Aug 19, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  5
New York Yankees

Aug 18, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  3
New York Yankees

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
7 :  0
New York Yankees
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Picks

New York Yankees - Baltimore Orioles Key Points

  1. The Yankees have gone 18-7 after a day off; the Orioles have gone 15-9.
  2. New York is 17-8 ATS (run line) after a day off; the Orioles are 16-8.
  3. The OVER is 10-13-2 for the Yankees after a day off and 12-11-1 for the Orioles.
  4. Betting Public: 88% of total tickets and 79% of the handle are on the OVER.

Our New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I thought both games on Friday would be low-scoring, given how poorly both teams were hitting coming into this series and the decent pitching matchups. This time, our pitching matchup is questionable at best. The Yankees lineup has hit .257 against Baz this season 19-74) with four home runs. Rodriguez hasn’t faced the Orioles yet, but he has surrendered 3+ runs in four of his last five outings. Against these starters, this game should easily go over the total.

Our Orioles vs. Yankees Pick: OVER 9

Prediction:

 

OVER 9

+109
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.