Italy vs Australia Prediction & Picks - Women's World Cup
World - Women's World Cup
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by Lou Aguila | in Women's World Cup Picks
Australia faces a manageable -6.5-game handicap against Italy in the qualification to the quarterfinal match at the 2026 FIBA World Cup.
Current Form:
In a surprising turn of events, Australia finished the preliminary stage second in Group C with a 2-1 record. Australia opened their campaign with a 70-54 win over Puerto Rico and followed it up with an 87-71 victory over Turkey. In the final game of the group stage, Australia fell to rising powerhouse Belgium, 68-80, which forced them to play a qualification game to reach the quarterfinal against Italy.
Italy came one ball possession away from stunning the United States. The Italians lost to the Americans, 52-55, but not before giving them a serious scare. Cecilia Zandalasini finished with a game-high 14 points in a low-scoring game against the USA. Italy finished their group campaign with 1-2 record, losing to China 51-71 and claiming their lone win over the Czech Republic, 63-54.
The Matchup: Australia and Italy are 1-1 in their head-to-head series. This is their first meeting in a FIBA-sanctioned tournament.
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Italy vs Australia Form
Italy and Australia Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup
Sep 6, 2026 - Women's World Cup
Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup
Aug 28, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
Aug 21, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
Aug 16, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup
Sep 6, 2026 - Women's World Cup
Aug 21, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
Mar 11, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
Jun 27, 2025 - Eurobasket Women
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup
Aug 28, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
Aug 16, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
Aug 15, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup
Sep 6, 2026 - Women's World Cup
Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup
Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup
Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
Mar 12, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
Jul 19, 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
Jul 13, 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup
Sep 6, 2026 - Women's World Cup
Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
Mar 11, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
Jul 20, 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
Jul 15, 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
Players list
M. Villa
C. Verona
C. Zandalasini
L. Cubaj
I. Borlase
J. Melbourne
S. Talbot
I. Bourne
Substitutes
V. Blasigh
F. Pasa
S. Reid
M. Goodchild
A. Smith
C. Bibby
Italy - Australia Key Points
- Australia finished the group stage with a 2-1 record.
- Italy finished the group stage with a 1-2 record.
- Italy is averaging 55.3 points per game at the FIBA Women’s World Cup.
- Australia is averaging 75.0 points per game at the FIBA Women’s World Cup.
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Our Italy vs Australia Prediction
Key Stats: Australia averages 75 points per game on 47.4% FG. Italy averages 55.3 points per game on 36.2% FG at the FIBA World Cup.
What to Expect: Australia should win convincingly over Italy, unless they allow themselves to get dragged into a defensive battle. Still, the Opals have too much firepower in their arsenal to put away the pesky Italians and cover -6.5 points. Stephanie Talbot, who averages 14.5 points per game in this tournament, will try to lead the Aussies to another deep run in this world event.
Fearless Forecast: Australia wins 75-63
Our betting prediction for Australia vs. Italy: Australia -6.5 points
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.