Italy vs Australia Prediction & Picks - Women's World Cup

World - Women's World Cup

Italy
9/9/26 14:45
Australia

Prediction:

 

Australia -6.5 points

-115
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 by Lou Aguila | in Women's World Cup Picks

Australia faces a manageable -6.5-game handicap against Italy in the qualification to the quarterfinal match at the 2026 FIBA World Cup.

Current Form:

In a surprising turn of events, Australia finished the preliminary stage second in Group C with a 2-1 record. Australia opened their campaign with a 70-54 win over Puerto Rico and followed it up with an 87-71 victory over Turkey. In the final game of the group stage, Australia fell to rising powerhouse Belgium, 68-80, which forced them to play a qualification game to reach the quarterfinal against Italy.

Italy came one ball possession away from stunning the United States. The Italians lost to the Americans, 52-55, but not before giving them a serious scare. Cecilia Zandalasini finished with a game-high 14 points in a low-scoring game against the USA. Italy finished their group campaign with 1-2 record, losing to China 51-71 and claiming their lone win over the Czech Republic, 63-54.

The Matchup: Australia and Italy are 1-1 in their head-to-head series. This is their first meeting in a FIBA-sanctioned tournament.

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Italy vs Australia Form

Italy and Australia Latest Matches

Italy
Italy Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Italy
51 :  71
China

Sep 6, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Italy
52 :  55
USA

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Czechia
54 :  63
Italy

Aug 28, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

France
72 :  75
Italy

Aug 21, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Italy
88 :  76
China

Aug 16, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Belgium
62 :  60
Italy
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Italy
51 :  71
China

Sep 6, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Italy
52 :  55
USA

Aug 21, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Italy
88 :  76
China

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Italy
68 :  56
Spain

Mar 11, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Italy
78 :  41
Puerto Rico

Jun 27, 2025 - Eurobasket Women

Italy
64 :  66
Belgium
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Czechia
54 :  63
Italy

Aug 28, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

France
72 :  75
Italy

Aug 16, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Belgium
62 :  60
Italy

Aug 15, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Belgium
63 :  64
Italy

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Senegal
35 :  85
Italy

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
93 :  59
Italy
Australia
Australia Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Belgium
80 :  68
Australia

Sep 6, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Turkiye
71 :  87
Australia

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Australia
70 :  54
Puerto Rico

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Australia
82 :  76
Canada

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Turkiye
74 :  77
Australia

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Australia
71 :  58
Hungary
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Australia
70 :  54
Puerto Rico

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Australia
82 :  76
Canada

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Australia
71 :  58
Hungary

Mar 12, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Australia
81 :  71
Japan

Jul 19, 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Australia
86 :  73
Republic Of Korea

Jul 13, 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Australia
115 :  39
Philippines
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Belgium
80 :  68
Australia

Sep 6, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Turkiye
71 :  87
Australia

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Turkiye
74 :  77
Australia

Mar 11, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Argentina
65 :  91
Australia

Jul 20, 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Japan
79 :  88
Australia

Jul 15, 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Japan
67 :  79
Australia
Italy vs Australia Picks

Players list

Italy
Italy
J. Keys

M. Villa

C. Verona

C. Zandalasini

L. Cubaj

Australia
Australia
E. Magbegor

I. Borlase

J. Melbourne

S. Talbot

I. Bourne

Substitutes

Italy
Italy
M. Santucci S. Madera M. Fassina F. Pan O. Andre

V. Blasigh

F. Pasa

Australia
Australia
A. Wilson Z. Aokuso A. Fowler

S. Reid

M. Goodchild

A. Smith

C. Bibby

Italy - Australia Key Points

  1. Australia finished the group stage with a 2-1 record.
  2. Italy finished the group stage with a 1-2 record.
  3. Italy is averaging 55.3 points per game at the FIBA Women’s World Cup.
  4. Australia is averaging 75.0 points per game at the FIBA Women’s World Cup.
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Our Italy vs Australia Prediction

Key Stats: Australia averages 75 points per game on 47.4% FG. Italy averages 55.3 points per game on 36.2% FG at the FIBA World Cup.

What to Expect: Australia should win convincingly over Italy, unless they allow themselves to get dragged into a defensive battle. Still, the Opals have too much firepower in their arsenal to put away the pesky Italians and cover -6.5 points. Stephanie Talbot, who averages 14.5 points per game in this tournament, will try to lead the Aussies to another deep run in this world event.

Fearless Forecast: Australia wins 75-63

Our betting prediction for Australia vs. Italy: Australia -6.5 points

Prediction:

 

Australia -6.5 points

-115
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.