Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
9/13/25 15:00
Villarreal

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-140
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 by Erik Gibbs in LaLiga Picks

Atlético will entertain Villarreal at the Metropolitano stadium in the Spanish capital on Saturday as the two sides face off in a La Liga game. Atléti's record for the past few weeks has been subpar compared to their performance standards. In the opening few weeks of the campaign, Diego Simeone's team didn't win any of their first three games. They were beaten on the opening day and responded with a double round of draws, leaving them stuck and lacking momentum. The team hasn't been able to turn leads into wins, losing expensive late goals and demonstrating an unexpected defensive vulnerability.

Atlético have not quite clicked this season, and their confidence can only have taken a blow from these winless games. Villarreal, on the other hand, have started the season incredibly well. The Yellow Submarine are undefeated through their first three games, two of them wins and the other a draw.

Atlético even recorded a thumping win of 5-0 within that timeframe, emphasizing their goal-scoring prowess. They are full of confidence and already seated atop a top-six spot very early into the league table. Villarreal's form from the recent past depicts a free-wheeling and high-scoring footballing team. In a comparative analysis with Atlético's slow start, Villarreal comes into this game with form and confidence.

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Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Villarreal
Villarreal
7 3 2 1 0 7
16
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
2 3 0 2 1 -1

Atletico Madrid and Villarreal Latest Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
W L W L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Elche

Aug 17, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Jun 23, 2025 - Club World Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Botafogo
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Elche

Jun 23, 2025 - Club World Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Botafogo

May 18, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Betis

May 10, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  0
Real Sociedad

Apr 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Apr 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  2
Valladolid
L W L W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 17, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Jun 19, 2025 - Club World Cup

Seattle Sounders
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Jun 15, 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
4 :  0
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Villarreal Latest matches
D W L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Villarreal

Aug 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
5 :  0
Girona

Aug 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Villarreal
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Aug 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
2 :  3
Villarreal

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
Villarreal
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
5 :  0
Girona

Aug 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Villarreal
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Jul 31, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Villarreal
1 :  3
Genoa

May 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
4 :  2
Sevilla

May 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
3 :  0
Leganés
D L D D W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Villarreal

Aug 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
2 :  3
Villarreal

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
Villarreal

Jul 31, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Oviedo
0 :  0
Villarreal

Jul 25, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  0
Villarreal

Jul 22, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

St. Gallen
2 :  2
Villarreal

Atletico Madrid against Villarreal : Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

33 %

Draw

50 %

Villarreal

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Jan 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Villarreal

Aug 19, 2024 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Apr 1, 2024 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Nov 12, 2023 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Villarreal

Jun 4, 2023 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 21, 2022 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  2
Villarreal

Villarreal v Atletico Madrid last Lineups

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

13
J. Oblak
14
M. Llorente
24
R. Le Normand
15
C. Lenglet
17
D. Hancko
20
G. Simeone
5
J. Cardoso
8
P. Barrios
11
T. Almada
9
A. Sorloth
19
J. Alvarez
29
K. Etta
19
N. Pepe
20
A. Moleiro
18
P. Gueye
14
S. Comesana
17
T. Buchanan
23
S. Cardona
4
R. Marin
8
J. Foyth
15
S. Mourino
1
L. Junior

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Villarreal

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Defender

J. Gimenez

Midfielder

A. Baena

Villarreal
Villarreal
Defender

L. Costa

W. Kambwala

Forward

G. Moreno

P. Cabanes

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
CD Huachipato Villarreal
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Alvarez (1 Goals)
Norway A. Sorloth (1 Goals)
Argentina G. Simeone (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Canada T. Buchanan (3 Goals)
Best assists
Slovakia D. Hancko (1 Assists)
Best assists
Cameroon K. Etta (2 Assists)

Atletico Madrid - Villarreal Key Points

  1. Atlético is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Villarreal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 3-2 in Atlético's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 3-2 in Villarreal's last 5 games
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

Atlético will be reliant upon leadership from their top scoring threats. Veteran forward Antoine Griezmann remains the prolific creator of the team, and despite not scoring yet this season, his ingenuity and work ethic have been responsible for creating scoring chances.

Alongside him, the newly signed Julián Álvarez showed flashes of class since his signing, like scoring on his debut game. Atlético need both to reach top gear and inject an underperforming offense thus far.

Villarreal's hero thus far has been winger Tajon Buchanan of Canada. The winger is the joint-leading scorer in the division early on after he scored a hat-trick for Villarreal in their emphatic victory, and his speed and straight-line running on the left flank have been giving the defense nightmares.

Another mainstay is teen winger Yeremy Pino, who has been providing creativity and assists on the wings. With red-hot Buchanan and other players like Pino to accompany him, Villarreal's front line has been firing on all cylinders throughout.

The form will lead Villarreal to believe they can steal an away game in Madrid, but Atlético can be gritty and make the big match an opportunity for them to turn the ship around. Atlético's backline will need to lift a lot to cancel out Villarreal's formidable strike force. Simeone's men can eke out a win if they regain their signature shape and bite.

However, based on the recent momentum, Villarreal have a slight edge. A draw is certainly on the horizon – it would reflect the upward curve of Atlético and the firepower of Villarreal – but it wouldn't be a great shock if Villarreal form and attacking ability just edge them over the top for a narrow victory. Overall, the edge is with Villarreal based on their lethal form and red-hot front line, and Atlético will want to make amends for their early campaign disappointment. Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-140
$300 offered for betting!

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Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Picks
Up to $300 to bet on Atletico Madrid - Villarreal! 

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