Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Prediction & Picks - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Tyler Doty | in Champions League Picks
The Metropolitano Stadium opens its doors on Tuesday to host one of the Champions League round of 16 matches. In the eyes of our experts, Atlético Madrid has a clear advantage over Tottenham. The Spurs found themselves in the final stages of the most prestigious competition thanks to a favorable schedule in the early months of the 2025/2026 season. This time around, the task seems too daunting for a team that is struggling in the Premier League.
Defeats are piling up on English soil, which means one thing: the visitors will not have their minds on the Champions League. All the Spaniards need to do is press where it hurts to create a significant gap in the first leg. Knowing that the Gunners' rivals are struggling to perform at home, the Spanish club can even afford a slight slip-up at the end of regulation time.
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Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Form
Atletico Madrid and Tottenham Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga
Mar 3, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Feb 28, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 24, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 24, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 12, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 3, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Feb 28, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 15, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 5, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Jan 31, 2026 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 5, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 22, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 1, 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 5, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 22, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 1, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League
Atletico Madrid - Tottenham: Form Analysis
Let's be honest. Atlético Madrid has a head start over the English club. At the same time, everything is going well for the Colchoneros ahead of their return to the Champions League. Apart from a defeat against Barcelona (3-0), Diego Simeone's side has won four of its last five games, including the previous home game against Sociedad with a score of 3-2. With confidence at an all-time high, the Colchoneros should have no trouble defeating Tottenham at the start of the week.
Atlético are in full confidence ahead of this matchup.
Tottenham has always performed better on the European stage this season. That's why the Lilywhites qualified directly for the top 8, without having to go through the play-offs. However, the Champions League schedule was fairly straightforward. Now on a run of four consecutive defeats and with a leaky defense (11 goals conceded), Igor Tudor and his men do not seem capable of responding to this challenge.
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Atletico Madrid against Tottenham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
J. Musso
DefenderN. Molina
J. Gimenez
C. Lenglet
MidfielderN. Gonzalez
A. Baena
O. Vargas
B. Pablo
J. Diaz
Koke
T. Almada
A. Sorloth
B. Austin
G. Vicario
R. Dragusin
J. Rowswell
MidfielderC. Olusesi
C. Gallagher
J. Palhinha
X. Simons
D. Solanke
Missing players
B. Davies
D. Udogie
MidfielderJ. Maddison
R. Bentancur
D. Kulusevski
M. Kudus
L. Bergvall
ForwardW. Odobert
Atletico Madrid & Tottenham Squad Analysis
Many players can make a difference for Atlético. Since arriving in Madrid, Lookman has played 10 games. The Nigerian striker has been decisive on seven occasions! He intends to support Sorloth (six goals in five games) and Alvarez (three goals in 2026) in their quest to reach the quarterfinals. Add to that Griezmann, who loves high-stakes games, the talented duo of Simeone and Almada, and behind-the-scenes players such as Llorente and Koke, and you have a competitive squad determined to make a big impact in the round of 16.
There are no smiles on the faces of Tottenham Hotspur.
The Spurs lack certainty on both sides of the pitch, unlike Atlético Madrid. Even though the trio of Koko-Muani, Solanke, and Richarlison scored the London team's last three goals, the defense is unable to keep up. Igor Tudor has made no changes, especially defensively! The average number of goals conceded in the last six games is two. It's hard to be optimistic before kickoff.
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
J. Alvarez
(10 Goals)
R. Kolo Muani
(4 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Lookman
(4 Assists)
P. Porro
(2 Assists)
,
C. Romero
(2 Assists)
,
R. Kolo Muani
(2 Assists)
,
W. Odobert
(2 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Tottenham Key Points
- Atlético Madrid has won four consecutive home games.
- Atlético Madrid has scored three or more goals in each of those games.
- Atlético Madrid has won only one of its last four Champions League matches.
- Tottenham has won only one of its last six away games.
- Tottenham has lost its last five matches.
- Tottenham has conceded 13 goals during this streak.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Prediction
It's hard to see Atlético Madrid losing to an opponent that isn't at the Champions League level. Tottenham finished in the top eight thanks to a relatively easy league schedule. Even Igor Tudor's arrival has done nothing to change the disastrous situation the London club is currently in. It's up to the Madrid side to take advantage of the English team's poor form to secure qualification at the Metropolitano Stadium.
Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs. Tottenham: Atlético Madrid to win and over 1.5 goals!
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Atletico Madrid win the match
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