Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Picks - Copa del Rey

Spain - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
4/18/26 15:00
Real Sociedad

Prediction:

 

Atletico Madrid win the match

-125
$250 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Tyler Doty | in Soccer Picks

The Copa del Rey final will take place this Saturday at the Estadio de La Cartuja in Sevilla. Will Atlético Madrid or Real Sociedad come out on top? We won’t have to wait long to find out. The Colchoneros could be in for a dream end to the season. Firmly entrenched in 4th place in La Liga, they are the favorites in this Copa del Rey final. Moreover, Diego Simeone’s team has just gained a huge confidence boost by qualifying for the Champions League semifinals.

For its part, Real Sociedad is in the thick of the battle for a European spot in La Liga. The Basque club sits in 7th place in the standings and is just two points behind the top six. However, it can achieve its goal as early as this weekend by winning the Copa del Rey. It won’t be that easy for Pellegrino Matarazzo’s men. It’s worth noting that Real Sociedad has failed to win any of its last nine matches against Atlético Madrid...

Up to $250 to bet on Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Form

Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad Latest Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League

Barcelona
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Apr 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Barcelona

Mar 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League

Tottenham
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Barcelona

Mar 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Getafe

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
5 :  2
Tottenham

Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Real Sociedad

Feb 24, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Club Brugge
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League

Barcelona
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Mar 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League

Tottenham
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Mar 3, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Feb 28, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad Latest matches
W L W L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  3
Alavés

Apr 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  0
Levante

Mar 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
3 :  1
Real Sociedad

Mar 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Osasuna

Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Real Sociedad

Mar 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
W D W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  3
Alavés

Apr 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  0
Levante

Mar 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Osasuna

Mar 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  3
Real Oviedo

Feb 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Elche
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
3 :  1
Real Sociedad

Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Real Sociedad

Feb 28, 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
0 :  1
Real Sociedad

Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

Feb 11, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Real Sociedad

Feb 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
2 :  3
Real Sociedad

Atletico Madrid against Real Sociedad : Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

67 %

Draw

33 %

Real Sociedad

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2.17
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Real Sociedad

Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

May 10, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  0
Real Sociedad

Oct 6, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

May 25, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Oct 8, 2023 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad: Form Analysis

La Liga is no longer a priority for Atlético Madrid. They have been out of the title race for quite some time now. However, they shouldn’t have too much trouble qualifying for next season’s Champions League. The Madrid club sits in fourth place in the standings, 11 points ahead of the team in fifth. Yet, the Colchoneros still have a lot at stake in the coming weeks.

Despite their loss to FC Barcelona last Tuesday (1-2), they managed to secure their spot in the Champions League semifinals. They will face Arsenal for a spot in the final. But that’s not all! Diego Simeone’s team will play in the Copa del Rey final this weekend. After notably knocking out Barça in the previous round (aggregate score: 4-3), they aim to reclaim a trophy they haven’t won since 2013.

Atlético Madrid arrives brimming with confidence, having just reached the Champions League semifinals.

Real Sociedad has only one goal for the rest of the season: to qualify for European competition next season. They can still hope to do so in La Liga, as they sit in 7th place in the standings, just one point behind the top six. However, the Basque club has been inconsistent in recent weeks. They have won only three of their last eight league matches.

Pellegrino Matarazzo’s men could therefore be pinning their hopes on the Copa del Rey. They managed to emerge victorious from the Basque derby against Athletic Bilbao in the semifinals (aggregate score: 2-0). However, a much tougher challenge awaits them this Saturday night. Real Sociedad will have to take down one of Spain’s top teams to win the fourth Copa del Rey in its history.

Up to $250 to bet on Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Picks

Atletico Madrid against Real Sociedad Lineups: Starting 11

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
J. Musso
16
N. Molina
18
M. Pubill
24
R. Le Normand
3
M. Ruggeri
20
G. Simeone
14
M. Llorente
6
Koke
22
A. Lookman
7
A. Griezmann
19
J. Alvarez
10
M. Oyarzabal
11
G. Guedes
24
L. Sucic
7
A. Barrenetxea
18
C. Soler
8
B. Turrientes
17
S. Gomez
16
D. Caleta-Car
31
J. Martin
2
J. Aramburu
13
U. Marrero

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Real Sociedad

Substitutes

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper

J. Oblak

Defender

J. Bonar

C. Lenglet

M. Llorente 99'

Midfielder

N. Gonzalez

A. Lookman 62'

A. Baena

G. Simeone 70'

J. Cardoso

N. Molina 78'

O. Vargas

B. Pablo

R. Mendoza

Forward

T. Almada

A. Griezmann 70'

A. Sorloth

M. Ruggeri 62'

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Goalkeeper

A. Remiro

Defender

A. Munoz

G. Guedes 78'

L. Beitia

A. Elustondo

J. Aramburu 113'

Midfielder

J. Gorrotxategi

B. Turrientes 68'

T. Kubo

S. Gomez 88'

P. Marin

A. Barrenetxea 68'

Wesley

Y. Herrera

B. Mendez

Forward

O. Oskarsson

M. Oyarzabal 78'

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Defender

J. Gimenez

D. Hancko

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Defender

A. Odriozola

I. Ruperez Urtasun

Midfielder

I. Zubeldia

Atletico Madrid & Real Sociedad Squad Analysis

For this Copa del Rey final, Atlético Madrid will still have to cope without José María Giménez, David Hancko, and Pablo Barrios. It remains to be seen who Diego Simeone will start in goal. In Jan Oblak’s absence, Juan Musso has shone as the Colchoneros’ last line of defense. He hopes to continue that form this Saturday night. Last Tuesday in the Champions League semifinal second leg, Marcos Llorente was everywhere against FC Barcelona. He knows he’s once again expected to be a key presence in the Madrid midfield.

Up front, Julian Alvarez will be Atlético Madrid’s main asset. But it’s also hard not to mention Antoine Griezmann! In his final months in Spain before joining MLS, the French forward is determined to add more trophies to his collection.

Antoine Griezmann wants to shine in his final months with Atlético Madrid.

As for Real Sociedad, the list of absentees is much longer. Álvaro Odriozola, Igor Zubeldia, Job Ochieng, Iñaki Rupérez, Yangel Herrera, and Jon Gorrotxategi are all unavailable for this Copa del Rey final. The Basque club could face another setback, as Luka Sucic is doubtful. Pellegrino Matarazzo will need a solid defense to pull off an upset this Saturday night. Jon Aramburu or Duje Caleta-Car will therefore have to step up!

In midfield, Real Sociedad can count on several talented players, including Carlos Soler and Gonçalo Guedes. A bit further up the field, Mikel Oyarzabal will be one to watch very closely. In addition to scoring 12 goals in La Liga, the Spanish forward made a big impact in the Copa del Rey semifinal second leg against Athletic Bilbao.

Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad Key Points

  1. Atlético Madrid is in 4th place in La Liga.
  2. Atlético Madrid is coming into the match with confidence, having just qualified for the Champions League semifinals.
  3. Atlético Madrid has not lost in their last 9 matches against Real Sociedad.
  4. Real Sociedad is in 7th place in La Liga.
  5. Real Sociedad has won only twice in their last five matches.
Up to $250 to bet on Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Atlético Madrid doesn't want to slip up in this Copa del Rey final. After knocking out FC Barcelona in the semifinals following a completely wild two-legged tie (aggregate score: 4-3), the Madrid club has no intention of taking its foot off the gas against Real Sociedad. Diego Simeone’s men have also boosted their confidence by reaching the Champions League semifinals a few days ago. They have everything they need to cap off their dream week with a trophy!

Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs. Real Sociedad: Atlético Madrid to win!

Prediction:

 

Atletico Madrid win the match

-125
$250 offered for betting!

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Other Interesting Picks

Both teams to score

Odds -125
We could see some goals in this final. The “both teams to score” bet has come in during Atlético Madrid's last two matches, across all competitions. It also came in during Real Sociedad's previous match.
$250 offered for betting!

Atletico Madrid to Lift the Trophy

Odds -250
For those who want to take less of a risk and avoid betting on Atlético Madrid to win in regulation time, this bet might be worth considering. Even if the Colchoneros win after regulation time, your bet will still be a winner!
$250 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.