Spain - LaLiga
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by Erik Gibbs in LaLiga Picks
Atlético Madrid will welcome Rayo Vallecano to the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Thursday for a La Liga showdown that promises both intensity and drama. With Atlético sitting in 3rd place on 63 points and Rayo in 10th with 41 points, the gap in quality and consistency is apparent — but as always in football, surprises can’t be ruled out.
Diego Simeone’s side is known for its tactical discipline and home strength, and that trend continues this season. Atlético has claimed three victories in their last six home matches, showing that their fortress remains a tough place for visiting teams. However, they’ll be looking to bounce back after a disappointing 1-0 loss to Las Palmas — a result that shook their momentum slightly. Still, with Antoine Griezmann and Rodrigo de Paul back in the starting lineup and no injuries to report, Los Rojiblancos will aim to return to their winning ways.
Rayo Vallecano, meanwhile, has experienced a patchy run of form. The Madrid-based outfit has struggled on the road, with three defeats in their last four away league matches. Their recent 1-1 draw against Valencia provided a brief respite, but Andoni Iraola’s side will need a significant performance to upset Atlético on their own turf.
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Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
66 | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 29 |
|
11
|
41 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | -7 |
Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 19, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 14, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 6, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 2, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 14, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 2, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League
Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 19, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 6, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 25, 2025 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 19, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 4, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 19, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 4, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 7, 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 17, 2025 - LaLiga
Jan 31, 2025 - LaLiga
Jan 19, 2025 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Rayo Vallecano : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Sep 22, 2024 - LaLiga
Jan 31, 2024 - LaLiga
Aug 28, 2023 - LaLiga
Apr 9, 2023 - LaLiga
Oct 18, 2022 - LaLiga
Mar 19, 2022 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
J. Alvarez
(22 Goals)
J. De Frutos
(4 Goals)
, 
P. Ciss
(4 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(8 Assists)
,
M. Llorente
(8 Assists)
,
G. Simeone
(8 Assists)
A. Garcia
(5 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Atlético Madrid have won 17 out of 23 games vs. Rayo Vallecano
- Atlético Madrid haven't lost in 44 of their last 50 home games across all competitions
- Rayo Vallecano have 1 win in their last 9 games across all competitions
- Atlético Madrid have scored 1+ goal in their last 14 LaLiga home games
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Defensively, both teams have shown signs of vulnerability. Atlético, once lauded for their rigid backline, has now conceded in three of their last five matches. Rayo, although inconsistent, has managed to find the net in two of their last three away fixtures, suggesting they could pose a threat if given space to operate. A repeat of the 1-1 draw from their previous encounter is possible, but Atlético’s historical dominance in this matchup — having gone unbeaten in their last seventeen meetings — paints a clear picture.
While Rayo may look to exploit Atlético’s occasional defensive lapses, the hosts remain heavy favorites. Given their superior squad depth, home advantage, and a strong record in this fixture, anything less than three points would be seen as a missed opportunity for Simeone’s men. Expect Atlético to come out strong and look to control the tempo early, while Rayo will likely adopt a cautious, counter-attacking approach. Our prediction for the Atlético Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano: Atlético Madrid to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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