Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Picks - Copa del Rey

Spain - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
2/12/26 15:00
Barcelona

Prediction:

 

Barcelona win the match

+110
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 by Tyler Doty | in Soccer Picks

Following the Basque derby between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad, it is now the turn of Atlético Madrid and FC Barcelona to compete in the Copa del Rey semi-finals. The first leg of this clash will take place on Thursday at the Metropolitano Stadium. Already out of the running for the La Liga title, the Colchoneros are hoping to shine in the Spanish national cup. However, they will have to be at their best this week. To stay alive before traveling to Catalonia, Diego Simeone's team cannot afford to lose in front of their fans.

FC Barcelona has been virtually unbeatable on the national stage. In addition to winning the Spanish Super Cup, Barça sits at the top of La Liga. As the defending Copa del Rey champion, the Catalan club wants to secure a spot in the final on Thursday night. Hansi Flick's men have reason to believe in victory, as they have won their previous three matches against Atlético Madrid...

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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Form

Atletico Madrid and Barcelona Latest Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
D W L D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Betis

Feb 5, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Betis
0 :  5
Atletico Madrid

Jan 31, 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Bodoe/Glimt

Jan 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Mallorca

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Galatasaray
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Betis

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Bodoe/Glimt

Jan 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Mallorca

Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Alavés

Jan 8, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Dec 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Valencia
W D W D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Feb 5, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Betis
0 :  5
Atletico Madrid

Jan 31, 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Galatasaray
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey

La Coruna
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Barcelona Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Feb 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  0
Mallorca

Feb 3, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Albacete
1 :  2
Barcelona

Jan 31, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
1 :  3
Barcelona

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Barcelona
4 :  1
FC Copenhagen

Jan 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  0
Real Oviedo

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Slavia Prague
2 :  4
Barcelona
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  0
Mallorca

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Barcelona
4 :  1
FC Copenhagen

Jan 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  0
Real Oviedo

Jan 11, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Barcelona
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Jan 7, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Barcelona
5 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Dec 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  0
Osasuna
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 3, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Albacete
1 :  2
Barcelona

Jan 31, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
1 :  3
Barcelona

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Slavia Prague
2 :  4
Barcelona

Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  1
Barcelona

Jan 15, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Racing Santander
0 :  2
Barcelona

Jan 3, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
0 :  2
Barcelona

Atletico Madrid against Barcelona : Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

17 %

Draw

17 %

Barcelona

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.17
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

Dec 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Apr 2, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Barcelona

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  4
Barcelona

Feb 25, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
4 :  4
Atletico Madrid

Dec 21, 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Mar 17, 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  3
Barcelona

Atletico Madrid - Barcelona: Form Analysis

The last few weeks have not been easy for Atlético Madrid. They are struggling a bit in La Liga, having failed to win in their last two games. After a draw against Levante (0-0), they lost to Betis Sevilla (0-1). Still in third place in the Spanish league, the Colchoneros are a long way from the top of the table.

In the Champions League, they failed to finish in the top eight and qualify directly for the round of 16. They will have to play a play-off against Club Brugge. Diego Simeone's team has been much more convincing in the Copa del Rey. In the previous round, they crushed Betis Sevilla (0-5). The task now looks more complicated!

FC Barcelona already won the Spanish Super Cup earlier in the season.

FC Barcelona has been shining in every aspect since the start of the season. It already won the Spanish Super Cup in early January, beating Real Madrid in the final (3-2). The Blaugrana are also at the top of La Liga, having won three games in a row. They cannot afford to take their foot off the gas as they are only one point ahead of Los Merengues.

To top it all off, Hansi Flick's men have qualified directly for the Champions League round of 16 and are still in contention to retain their Copa del Rey trophy. Barça will be looking to take a step towards the final with a win on Thursday.

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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Picks

Atletico Madrid against Barcelona Lineups: Starting 11

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
J. Musso
16
N. Molina
18
M. Pubill
17
D. Hancko
3
M. Ruggeri
20
G. Simeone
14
M. Llorente
6
Koke
22
A. Lookman
7
A. Griezmann
19
J. Alvarez
20
D. Olmo
7
F. Torres
10
L. Yamal
16
F. Lopez
21
F. De Jong
17
M. Casado
3
A. Balde
24
E. Garcia
5
P. Cubarsi
23
J. Kounde
13
J. Garcia

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Barcelona

Substitutes

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper

S. Esquivel

J. Oblak

Defender

R. Le Normand

Koke 90'

C. Lenglet

J. Gimenez

Midfielder

O. Vargas

N. Gonzalez

A. Baena

A. Griezmann 68'

R. Mendoza

Forward

T. Almada

A. Lookman 73'

A. Sorloth

J. Alvarez 68'

Barcelona
Barcelona
Goalkeeper

D. Kochen

W. Szczesny

Defender

J. Torrents

R. Araujo

P. Cubarsi 77'

G. Martin

F. Lopez 87'

J. Cancelo

A. Balde 77'

Midfielder

R. Bardghji

T. Marques

M. Bernal

Forward

R. Lewandowski

M. Casado 37'

J. Hernandez Torres

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Midfielder

J. Cardoso

B. Pablo

Barcelona
Barcelona
Defender

A. Christensen

Midfielder

Pedri

Gavi

Forward

Raphinha

Atletico Madrid & Barcelona Squad Analysis

Atlético Madrid will not have a full squad for this Copa del Rey semi-final first leg. Pablo Barrios, Johnny Cardoso, and Nicolás González are injured. Otherwise, Diego Simeone will be able to rely on his key players. It's hard not to pay special attention to the Colchoneros' defence. Marcos Llorente and David Hancko will have to be at their best against Barça's attacking armada.

Atlético Madrid also has a few assets to bring to bear. In addition to Julian Alvarez, Ademola Lookman arrived during the last winter transfer window. The former Atalanta Bergamo player has already made his mark in the Copa del Rey quarterfinals, with one goal and one assist against Betis Sevilla.

Lamine Yamal is back in top form with FC Barcelona.

As for FC Barcelona, Andreas Christensen, Pedri, and Gavi are already ruled out. Absent from Barça's last two games, Raphinha remains uncertain, as does Frenkie de Jong. That doesn't mean Hansi Flick can't aim for victory in the Spanish capital. He has plenty of other reasons to win, starting with his goalkeeper: Joan Garcia. It didn't take him long to win over the Blaugrana fans.

Far from shining this season, Jules Koundé could make way for Joao Cancelo at right-back. In attack, the Catalan club has plenty to work with. Lamine Yamal is back at the top of his game. He has been decisive in his last seven games for FC Barcelona. He will be looking to continue that run on Thursday.

Atletico Madrid - Barcelona Key Points

  1. FC Barcelona is the leader of La Liga.
  2. FC Barcelona has won six consecutive games in all competitions.
  3. FC Barcelona has won its last three matches against Atlético Madrid.
  4. Atlético Madrid is in third place in La Liga.
  5. Atlético Madrid has won only one of its last four matches in all competitions.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction

FC Barcelona still wants to win everything on the domestic scene. It will have its work cut out for it in the Copa del Rey semifinals, with a doubleheader against Atlético Madrid. However, the Blaugrana will have the advantage of playing away in the first leg. They are currently on a winning streak against the Colchoneros, having won their last three encounters. Lamine Yamal and his teammates are hoping to continue this momentum on Thursday.

Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona to win!

Prediction:

 

Barcelona win the match

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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Picks

Over 3.5 goals

Odds +105
The last few encounters between the two La Liga giants have often been prolific. It's worth noting that over 3.5 goals were scored in three of the last four games between Atlético Madrid and FC Barcelona.
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Both teams to score

Odds -240
We can expect to see both teams go all out for victory. Playing in front of their fans, Atlético Madrid will do everything they can to win. For their part, FC Barcelona have one of the best attacks in Europe and will be keen to prove it once again on Thursday.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.