New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Picks - NFL

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New Orleans Saints
10/5/26 20:15
Atlanta Falcons

Prediction:

 

Saints -1.5

-115
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 by Travis Pulver | in NFL Picks

The Atlanta Falcons (1-2, 1-1 Away) will try to make it two in a row when they take on the Saints (1-2, 0-1 Home) at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA, on Monday Night Football. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. EST on ESPN.

Atlanta struggled in the first two weeks of the season after being forced to start their QB3, Cooper Rush, losing their opener to the Steelers (20-13) and getting dominated 34-3 by the Panthers in Week 2. But then they got Michael Penix Jr. back in Week 3 and dominated the Green Bay Packers 35-14. As for the Saints, after losing their opener to the Lions in overtime, 31-30, they got their first win of the season in Week 2 over Baltimore, 24-17. But then they struggled against the Raiders last week and lost 35-27.

For the Falcons, it's been the Bijan Robinson show on offense; through Week 3, he has accounted for 447 total yards (349 rushing, 118 receiving). But they’ll need their pass defense to be on point against a Saints pass game led by Tyler Shough that’s averaging over 300 yards per game. The Atlanta defense currently ranks No. 29 in the NFL against the pass (263 yards per game allowed).

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
22 New Orleans Saints
0.333 3 1 2
23 Atlanta Falcons
0.333 3 1 2

New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons Latest Matches

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints Latest matches
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 27, 2026 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
27 :  35
Las Vegas Raiders

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
17 :  24
New Orleans Saints

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Detroit Lions
31 :  30
New Orleans Saints

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
19 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
26 :  34
New Orleans Saints

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
29 :  6
New York Jets
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 27, 2026 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
27 :  35
Las Vegas Raiders

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
29 :  6
New York Jets

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
20 :  17
Carolina Panthers

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
3 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  25
New England Patriots
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
17 :  24
New Orleans Saints

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Detroit Lions
31 :  30
New Orleans Saints

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
19 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
26 :  34
New Orleans Saints

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  24
New Orleans Saints

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
21 :  17
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 24, 2026 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
14 :  35
Atlanta Falcons

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
3 :  34
Carolina Panthers

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
20 :  13
Atlanta Falcons

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
19 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Dec 29, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
27 :  24
Los Angeles Rams

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
19 :  26
Atlanta Falcons
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
3 :  34
Carolina Panthers

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
19 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Dec 29, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
27 :  24
Los Angeles Rams

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
9 :  37
Seattle Seahawks

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
27 :  30
Carolina Panthers

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
10 :  34
Miami Dolphins
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 24, 2026 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
14 :  35
Atlanta Falcons

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
20 :  13
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
19 :  26
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 11, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
28 :  29
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans Saints against Atlanta Falcons : Head to Head (H2H)

New Orleans Saints

40 %

Atlanta Falcons

60 %

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
19 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
20 :  17
Atlanta Falcons

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
26 :  24
New Orleans Saints

Jan 7, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
48 :  17
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Picks

New Orleans Saints - Atlanta Falcons Key Points

  1. Atlanta leads the all-time series vs. the Saints, 58-56, and has won three of the last four.
  2. New Orleans passed the ball on 63.96% of their plays through Week 3.
  3. Opponents are averaging an NFL-high 84.66% of their yards through the air against the Falcons.
  4. Betting Public: 44% of spread tickets and 27% of the handle are on the Saints.

Our New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

It is hard to know just what we have in the Atlanta Falcons at this point in the season. With Cooper Rush at QB for the first two weeks, the offense was certainly hamstrung. But will we see the version we saw against the Packers last week on MNF? That’s hard to say. But their defense has struggled against the pass, which is the bread and butter of a Kellen Moore offense, which Tyler Shough is running well. Losing Travis Etienne will sting, but maybe not if it just means getting Alvin Kamara the ball more.

I like what we saw in the Atlanta offense last week, but I think Tyler Shough will have a day against the ATL secondary. He’ll lead his team to a high-scoring win by at least a field goal.

Our Falcons vs. Saints Pick: New Orleans -1.5

Prediction:

 

Saints -1.5

-115
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