New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

New England Patriots
11/2/25 13:00
Atlanta Falcons

Prediction:

 

Patriots -5.5

-108
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 by Dan Angell | in NFL Picks

The Atlanta Falcons visit the New England Patriots coming off one of their worst performances of the season. Atlanta had mostly been a strong home team this year, but the Falcons were awful from the start against what had been a weak Miami team. Instead of getting healthy following their trip back from the West Coast, the Falcons got pounded in a 24-point loss.

The road hardly seems the place for Atlanta to figure things out, especially against a New England team that has looked better every week. The Falcons have been rather poor on the road, especially on offense. They looked good against Minnesota, but when they’ve had to go outdoors, they have badly struggled. The offense has put up just 10 points in its past two games away from home.

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New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
3 New England Patriots
0.824 17 14 3
17 Atlanta Falcons
0.471 17 8 9

New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons Latest Matches

New England Patriots
New England Patriots Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
32 :  13
Cleveland Browns

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
13 :  31
New England Patriots

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  25
New England Patriots

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
20 :  23
New England Patriots

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
42 :  13
Carolina Panthers

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
14 :  21
Pittsburgh Steelers
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
32 :  13
Cleveland Browns

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
42 :  13
Carolina Panthers

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
14 :  21
Pittsburgh Steelers

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
13 :  20
Las Vegas Raiders

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
23 :  16
Buffalo Bills

Dec 28, 2024 - NFL

New England Patriots
7 :  40
Los Angeles Chargers
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
13 :  31
New England Patriots

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  25
New England Patriots

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
20 :  23
New England Patriots

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  33
New England Patriots

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
24 :  21
New England Patriots

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
30 :  17
New England Patriots
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons Latest matches
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
10 :  34
Miami Dolphins

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
20 :  10
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 13, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  14
Buffalo Bills

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
34 :  27
Washington Commanders

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
30 :  0
Atlanta Falcons

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
6 :  22
Atlanta Falcons
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
10 :  34
Miami Dolphins

Oct 13, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  14
Buffalo Bills

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
34 :  27
Washington Commanders

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
20 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
38 :  44
Carolina Panthers

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
34 :  7
New York Giants
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
20 :  10
Atlanta Falcons

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
30 :  0
Atlanta Falcons

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
6 :  22
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Washington Commanders
30 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 16, 2024 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
9 :  15
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
42 :  21
Atlanta Falcons

New England Patriots - Atlanta Falcons Key Points

  1. The Falcons have matched their spread and game result in 10 straight games.
  2. The Falcons have failed to cover in three straight outdoors.
  3. The Patriots have matched spread and game result in all eight games this year.
  4. The Patriots have scored 23 points or more in five straight games.
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Our New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

It’s been a while since Atlanta has beaten New England, and that looks poised to continue. The Patriots and Falcons do not see each other often, given that they’re in different conferences, but New England has won all five matchups in the past 16 years and has scored at least 23 points in all of them.

The Patriots are finally starting to put things together at home after having been road warriors for most of the year. New England sits at 6-2, and both of their losses came in Foxborough. But this is a different Patriots team than the one that lost to Las Vegas, and even with that, this team plays defense well. New England hasn’t given up more than 21 points in seven of its eight games. With Atlanta struggling to move the ball, the Patriots’ defense should carry the day. Our prediction for Atlanta vs. New England is Patriots -5.5.

Prediction:

 

Patriots -5.5

-108
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New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons Picks