Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
8/10/25 18:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Atlanta Dream +3.5

-110
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in WNBA Picks

One of the best matchups in the five-game slate scheduled for Sunday in the WNBA will see the Phoenix Mercury take on the Atlanta Dream. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for his game between the Mercury and Dream.

Atlanta enters this game with a record of 19-11 and is currently in second place in the WNBA’s Eastern Conference. The Dream most recently beat the Chicago Sky this past Thursday night by a score of 86-65. Atlanta had four players score in double figures, including Allisha Gray, who scored a game-high 25 points.

As for Phoenix, they enter this game with an identical record of 19-11 and are currently in second place in the WNBA’s Western Conference. The Mercury most recently beat the Indiana Fever this past Thursday night by a score of 95-60. Phoenix had four players score in double figures, including DeWanna Bonner, who came off the bench to score a game-high 23 points.

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Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream
0.682 44 30 14 6
3
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
0.614 44 27 17 -3

Atlanta Dream and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
86 :  65
Chicago Sky

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
83 :  99
Atlanta Dream

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  95
Atlanta Dream

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
88 :  85
Dallas Wings

Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  75
Atlanta Dream

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  86
Minnesota Lynx
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
83 :  99
Atlanta Dream

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  95
Atlanta Dream

Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  75
Atlanta Dream

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
81 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
80 :  79
Atlanta Dream

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  90
Atlanta Dream
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
86 :  65
Chicago Sky

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
88 :  85
Dallas Wings

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
72 :  87
Las Vegas Aces

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
86 :  49
Chicago Sky
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
60 :  95
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
66 :  82
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  67
Chicago Sky

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  95
Atlanta Dream

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
101 :  107
Indiana Fever

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  72
Washington Mystics
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
60 :  95
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
66 :  82
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
71 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
72 :  102
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
84 :  81
Phoenix Mercury
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  67
Chicago Sky

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  95
Atlanta Dream

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
101 :  107
Indiana Fever

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  72
Washington Mystics

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  89
New York Liberty

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  79
Minnesota Lynx

Atlanta Dream against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Atlanta Dream

60 %

Phoenix Mercury

40 %

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  95
Atlanta Dream

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 3, 2024 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
66 :  74
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 23, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
82 :  80
Atlanta Dream

Aug 21, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
63 :  72
Atlanta Dream

Players list

Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream
B. Jones A. Gray J. Canada T. Paopao N. Hillmon
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack M. Akoa-Makani A. Thomas S. Sabally K. Copper

Substitutes

Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream
T. Thierry B. Griner R. Howard M. Caldwell K. Smalls S. Walker-Kimbrough N. Coffey
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Brown K. Laksa S. Whitcomb D. Bonner L. Held K. Westbeld

Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. Atlanta’s Rhyne Howard is a Game-Time Decision
  2. Atlanta’s Brittney Griner is a Game-Time Decision
  3. The Dream are 2-0 SU vs the Mercury this season
  4. The Dream are 2-0 ATS vs the Mercury this season
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Our Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

Atlanta and Phoenix have been two of the best teams in the league this season, and will be playing each other for the third time this season on Sunday. So far, Atlanta has dominated Phoenix, winning both of the regular-season matchups and doing so by an average margin of 17 points per game.

The Dream have injury concerns of their own with Rhyne Howard and Brittney Griner questionable for this matchup; however, Allisha Gray has been anchoring the Dream offense, averaging 18.9 points per game and 24.3 points per game over her last three games. 

Gray is also averaging 27 points per game against the Mercury this season, and the Dream have won each of their last four games in a row. Therefore, because the Dream looks to be in better form, our Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream prediction is: Atlanta Dream +3.5.

Prediction:

 

Atlanta Dream +3.5

-110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Picks