San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks
After going 4-5 on their recent road trip, the San Diego Padres (39-37, 19-19 Home) will try to get back on the right side of the scoreboard tonight when they host the Atlanta Braves in the first game of a three-game series at Petco Park. The game will be the finale of MLB’s Monday schedule, with First Pitch scheduled for 10 p.m. EST, with coverage provided by MLB.TV.
Atlanta will be looking to get back on the right side of the scoreboard as well after dropping the series finale to the Brewers in Milwaukee Sunday, 9-4.
San Diego is scheduled to give Michael King the start. King is 4-6 in 15 starts with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. He is 2-3 in eight home starts with a 3.30 ERA and a .216 OBA. In 66-career at-bats against the Braves, King held them to a .242 BA, striking out 20 and giving up just one home run (to Ozzie Albies).
As for the Braves, Atlanta is expected to start Grant Holmes. Holmes has gone 4-3 in 14 starts with a 4.33 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. In six starts on the road, he is 1-0 with a 4.40 ERA and a .237 OBA.
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San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.632 | 76 | 48 | 28 |
|
10
|
0.513 | 76 | 39 | 37 |
San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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San Diego Padres against Atlanta Braves : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
May 25, 2025 - MLB
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San Diego Padres - Atlanta Braves Key Points
- Atlanta leads the all-time series vs. the Padres, 373-303.
- The Padres are 20-18 ATS (run line) at home; the Braves are 24-14 ATS (run line) on the road.
- The OVER is 16-2-1 for Atlanta at home and 24-12-2 for the Braves on the road.
- Betting Public: 40% of moneyline tickets and 69% of the handle are on the Padres.
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Our San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
Neither lineup has been doing great over the last week. Atlanta has hit .235 and San Diego .232, but the Padres did more, scoring 24 runs (six games) to 18 for the Braves (five games). So, there is no real advantage for anyone at the plate in this game, but I have to give the Padres a slight edge on the mound. King has been stingy on the mound at home and will not take it easy on the Braves' lineup. But I wouldn’t count on the Padres lineup to go off, hence taking the moneyline over the run line (and the run line price is too high at -196).
Our Atlanta vs. San Diego Pick: Padres ML
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.